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Bayesian inference for exponential family random graph models (ERGMs) is a doubly-intractable problem because of the intractability of both the likelihood and posterior normalizing factor. Auxiliary variable based Markov Chain Monte Carlo…

统计计算 · 统计学 2020-07-15 Fan Yin , Carter T. Butts

Averaging provides an alternative to bandwidth selection for density kernel estimation. We propose a procedure to combine linearly several kernel estimators of a density obtained from different, possibly data-driven, bandwidths. The method…

统计理论 · 数学 2019-11-05 O. Chernova , F. Lavancier , P. Rochet

Quantum mechanics for many-body systems may be reduced to the evaluation of integrals in 3N dimensions using Monte-Carlo, providing the Quantum Monte Carlo ab initio methods. Here we limit ourselves to expectation values for trial…

计算物理 · 物理学 2010-11-22 John Robert Trail , Ryo Maezono

In this paper we introduce efficient Monte Carlo estimators for the valuation of high-dimensional derivatives and their sensitivities (''Greeks''). These estimators are based on an analytical, usually approximative representation of the…

计算金融 · 定量金融 2008-12-10 Joerg Kampen , Anastasia Kolodko , John Schoenmakers

The complexity of semiparametric models poses new challenges to statistical inference and model selection that frequently arise from real applications. In this work, we propose new estimation and variable selection procedures for the…

统计理论 · 数学 2011-03-09 Bo Kai , Runze Li , Hui Zou

In this paper, we consider nonparametric multidimensional finite mixture models and we are interested in the semiparametric estimation of the population weights. Here, the i.i.d. observations are assumed to have at least three components…

统计理论 · 数学 2017-12-14 Elisabeth Gassiat , Judith Rousseau , Elodie Vernet

The paper addresses the problem to estimate the power spectral density of an ARMA zero mean Gaussian process. We propose a kernel based maximum entropy spectral estimator. The latter searches the optimal spectrum over a class of high order…

最优化与控制 · 数学 2020-04-30 Mattia Zorzi

Envelope methods improve the estimation efficiency in multivariate linear regression by identifying and separating the material and immaterial parts of the responses or the predictors and estimating the regression coefficients using only…

统计方法学 · 统计学 2025-09-10 Tate Jacobson

This paper develops a nonparametric density estimator with parametric overtones. Suppose $f(x,\theta)$ is some family of densities, indexed by a vector of parameters $\theta$. We define a local kernel smoothed likelihood function which for…

统计方法学 · 统计学 2026-04-22 Nils Lid Hjort , M. C. Jones

A spectral mixture (SM) kernel is a flexible kernel used to model any stationary covariance function. Although it is useful in modeling data, the learning of the SM kernel is generally difficult because optimizing a large number of…

机器学习 · 统计学 2020-06-15 Yohan Jung , Kyungwoo Song , Jinkyoo Park

In the absence of unobserved confounders, matching and weighting methods are widely used to estimate causal quantities including the Average Treatment Effect on the Treated (ATT). Unfortunately, these methods do not necessarily achieve…

统计方法学 · 统计学 2016-05-03 Chad Hazlett

Sequential neural posterior estimation (SNPE) techniques have been recently proposed for dealing with simulation-based models with intractable likelihoods. Unlike approximate Bayesian computation, SNPE techniques learn the posterior from…

机器学习 · 统计学 2025-01-17 Yifei Xiong , Xiliang Yang , Sanguo Zhang , Zhijian He

Generative models, like large language models, are becoming increasingly relevant in our daily lives, yet a theoretical framework to assess their generalization behavior and uncertainty does not exist. Particularly, the problem of…

机器学习 · 计算机科学 2024-07-11 Sebastian G. Gruber , Florian Buettner

The estimation of probability density functions is a fundamental problem in science and engineering. However, common methods such as kernel density estimation (KDE) have been demonstrated to lack robustness, while more complex methods have…

机器学习 · 计算机科学 2025-06-30 Anna Mészáros , Julian F. Schumann , Javier Alonso-Mora , Arkady Zgonnikov , Jens Kober

Recent work has focused on the problem of nonparametric estimation of information divergence functionals. Many existing approaches are restrictive in their assumptions on the density support set or require difficult calculations at the…

信息论 · 计算机科学 2021-07-30 Kevin R. Moon , Kumar Sricharan , Kristjan Greenewald , Alfred O. Hero

This article investigates nonparametric estimation of variance functions for functional data when the mean function is unknown. We obtain asymptotic results for the kernel estimator based on squared residuals. Similar to the finite…

统计方法学 · 统计学 2008-12-16 Heng Lian

Approximate Markov chain Monte Carlo (MCMC) offers the promise of more rapid sampling at the cost of more biased inference. Since standard MCMC diagnostics fail to detect these biases, researchers have developed computable Stein discrepancy…

机器学习 · 统计学 2020-10-16 Jackson Gorham , Lester Mackey

In the gravitational-wave analysis of pulsar-timing-array datasets, parameter estimation is usually performed using Markov Chain Monte Carlo methods to explore posterior probability densities. We introduce an alternative procedure that…

广义相对论与量子宇宙学 · 物理学 2024-05-16 Michele Vallisneri , Marco Crisostomi , Aaron D. Johnson , Patrick M. Meyers

The computation of Greeks for exponential L\'evy models are usually approached by Malliavin Calculus and other methods, as the Likelihood Ratio and the finite difference method. In this paper we obtain exact formulas for Greeks of European…

证券定价 · 定量金融 2014-07-08 Federico De Olivera , Ernesto Mordecki

In this paper, we are interested in the study of beta kernel estimators from an asymptotic minimax point of view. It is well known that beta kernel estimators are, on the contrary of classical kernel estimators, "free of boundary effect"…

统计理论 · 数学 2010-01-15 Karine Bertin , Nicolas Klutchnikoff