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We present a new approach to semiparametric inference using corrected posterior distributions. The method allows us to leverage the adaptivity, regularization and predictive power of nonparametric Bayesian procedures to estimate…

统计方法学 · 统计学 2023-06-21 Andrew Yiu , Edwin Fong , Chris Holmes , Judith Rousseau

Given a sample of a Poisson point process with intensity $\lambda_f(x,y) = n \mathbf{1}(f(x) \leq y),$ we study recovery of the boundary function $f$ from a nonparametric Bayes perspective. Because of the irregularity of this model, the…

统计理论 · 数学 2020-06-15 Markus Reiss , Johannes Schmidt-Hieber

We consider a family of infinite dimensional product measures with tails between Gaussian and exponential, which we call $p$-exponential measures. We study their measure-theoretic properties and in particular their concentration. Our…

统计理论 · 数学 2020-10-09 Sergios Agapiou , Masoumeh Dashti , Tapio Helin

We consider the fractional posterior distribution that is obtained by updating a prior distribution via Bayes theorem with a fractional likelihood function, a usual likelihood function raised to a fractional power. First, we analyze the…

统计理论 · 数学 2016-11-08 Anirban Bhattacharya , Debdeep Pati , Yun Yang

Computer models are widely used in science and engineering to simulate complex systems. However, these models are affected by several sources of uncertainty, which may limit their use for decision making in risk management. We present a…

统计计算 · 统计学 2026-03-17 Oumar Baldé , Guillaume Damblin , Amandine Marrel , Antoine Bouloré , Loïc Giraldi

Recent works have shown an interest in investigating the frequentist asymptotic properties of Bayesian procedures for high-dimensional linear models under sparsity constraints. However, there exists a gap in the literature regarding…

统计理论 · 数学 2025-09-23 Marion Naveau , Maud Delattre , Laure Sansonnet

We study random series priors for estimating a functional parameter (f\in L^2[0,1]). We show that with a series prior with random truncation, Gaussian coefficients, and inverse gamma multiplicative scaling, it is possible to achieve…

统计理论 · 数学 2017-06-15 Jan van Waaij , Harry van Zanten

High dimensional statistics deals with the challenge of extracting structured information from complex model settings. Compared with the growing number of frequentist methodologies, there are rather few theoretically optimal Bayes methods…

统计理论 · 数学 2018-08-21 Chao Gao , Aad W. van der Vaart , Harrison H. Zhou

Models with dimension more than the available sample size are now commonly used in various applications. A sensible inference is possible using a lower-dimensional structure. In regression problems with a large number of predictors, the…

统计理论 · 数学 2025-11-25 Sayantan Banerjee , Ismaël Castillo , Subhashis Ghosal

Variational inference techniques based on inducing variables provide an elegant framework for scalable posterior estimation in Gaussian process (GP) models. Besides enabling scalability, one of their main advantages over sparse…

机器学习 · 统计学 2021-02-24 Simone Rossi , Markus Heinonen , Edwin V. Bonilla , Zheyang Shen , Maurizio Filippone

Gaussian processes are distributions over functions that are versatile and mathematically convenient priors in Bayesian modelling. However, their use is often impeded for data with large numbers of observations, $N$, due to the cubic (in…

机器学习 · 统计学 2020-08-04 David R. Burt , Carl Edward Rasmussen , Mark van der Wilk

Nonparametric regression for massive numbers of samples (n) and features (p) is an increasingly important problem. In big n settings, a common strategy is to partition the feature space, and then separately apply simple models to each…

机器学习 · 统计学 2014-06-10 Rajarshi Guhaniyogi , David B. Dunson

Gaussian processes are important models in the field of probabilistic numerics. We present a procedure for optimizing Mat\'ern kernel temporal Gaussian processes with respect to the kernel covariance function's hyperparameters. It is based…

机器学习 · 计算机科学 2025-08-14 Wouter M. Kouw

While Gaussian processes are a mainstay for various engineering and scientific applications, the uncertainty estimates don't satisfy frequentist guarantees and can be miscalibrated in practice. State-of-the-art approaches for designing…

机器学习 · 计算机科学 2023-11-20 Alexandre Capone , Geoff Pleiss , Sandra Hirche

This paper brings a contribution to the Bayesian theory of nonparametric and semiparametric estimation. We are interested in the asymptotic normality of the posterior distribution in Gaussian linear regression models when the number of…

统计理论 · 数学 2012-03-05 Dominique Bontemps

Gaussian graphical models have been used to study intrinsic dependence among several variables, but the Gaussianity assumption may be restrictive in many applications. A nonparanormal graphical model is a semiparametric generalization for…

统计方法学 · 统计学 2020-05-20 Jami J. Mulgrave , Subhashis Ghosal

We study high-dimensional Bayesian linear regression with a general beta prime distribution for the scale parameter. Under the assumption of sparsity, we show that appropriate selection of the hyperparameters in the beta prime prior leads…

统计方法学 · 统计学 2019-07-19 Ray Bai , Malay Ghosh

Gaussian process regression in its most simplified form assumes normal homoscedastic noise and utilizes analytically tractable mean and covariance functions of predictive posterior distribution using Gaussian conditioning. Its…

应用统计 · 统计学 2023-01-20 Pooja Algikar , Lamine Mili

Parameter inference is a fundamental problem in data-driven modeling. Given observed data that is believed to be a realization of some parameterized model, the aim is to find parameter values that are able to explain the observed data. In…

数据结构与算法 · 计算机科学 2016-04-20 Carlo Albert , Simone Ulzega , Ruedi Stoop

Gaussian processes are probabilistic models that are commonly used as functional priors in machine learning. Due to their probabilistic nature, they can be used to capture the prior information on the statistics of noise, smoothness of the…

统计计算 · 统计学 2024-02-02 Ahmad Farooq , Cristian A. Galvis-Florez , Simo Särkkä