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Ising models originated in statistical physics and are widely used in modeling spatial data and computer vision problems. However, statistical inference of this model remains challenging due to intractable nature of the normalizing constant…

统计方法学 · 统计学 2021-09-06 Minwoo Kim , Shrijita Bhattacharya , Tapabrata Maiti

We study a Bayesian approach to nonparametric estimation of the periodic drift function of a one-dimensional diffusion from continuous-time data. Rewriting the likelihood in terms of local time of the process, and specifying a Gaussian…

统计方法学 · 统计学 2013-02-14 Y. Pokern , A. M. Stuart , J. H. van Zanten

Gaussian process models typically contain finite dimensional parameters in the covariance function that need to be estimated from the data. We study the Bayesian fixed-domain asymptotics for the covariance parameters in a universal kriging…

统计理论 · 数学 2022-09-27 Cheng Li

We study the use of Gaussian process emulators to approximate the parameter-to-observation map or the negative log-likelihood in Bayesian inverse problems. We prove error bounds on the Hellinger distance between the true posterior…

数值分析 · 数学 2024-10-01 Andrew M. Stuart , Aretha L. Teckentrup

Piecewise constant priors are routinely used in the Bayesian Cox proportional hazards model for survival analysis. Despite its popularity, large sample properties of this Bayesian method are not yet well understood. This work provides a…

统计理论 · 数学 2023-06-16 Bo Y. -C. Ning , Ismaël Castillo

We consider Bayesian nonparametric inference in the right-censoring survival model, where modeling is made at the level of the hazard rate. We derive posterior limiting distributions for linear functionals of the hazard, and then for `many'…

统计理论 · 数学 2021-06-01 Ismaël Castillo , Stéphanie van der Pas

A new methodology for model determination in decomposable graphical Gaussian models is developed. The Bayesian paradigm is used and, for each given graph, a hyper inverse Wishart prior distribution on the covariance matrix is considered.…

统计计算 · 统计学 2015-03-13 Sophie Donnet , Jean-Michel Marin

Biological data objects often have both of the following features: (i) they are functions rather than single numbers or vectors, and (ii) they are correlated due to phylogenetic relationships. In this paper we give a flexible statistical…

定量方法 · 定量生物学 2012-12-20 Nick S. Jones , John Moriarty

Bayesian inference and uncertainty quantification in a general class of non-linear inverse regression models is considered. Analytic conditions on the regression model $\{\mathscr G(\theta): \theta \in \Theta\}$ and on Gaussian process…

统计理论 · 数学 2021-04-16 François Monard , Richard Nickl , Gabriel P. Paternain

In this paper we analyze, for a model of linear regression with gaussian covariates, the performance of a Bayesian estimator given by the mean of a log-concave posterior distribution with gaussian prior, in the high-dimensional limit where…

概率论 · 数学 2021-11-12 Jean Barbier , Wei-Kuo Chen , Dmitry Panchenko , Manuel Sáenz

We study the problem of estimating the mode and maximum of an unknown regression function in the presence of noise. We adopt the Bayesian approach by using tensor-product B-splines and endowing the coefficients with Gaussian priors. In the…

统计理论 · 数学 2018-03-16 William Weimin Yoo , Subhashis Ghosal

We introduce a novel Bayesian estimator for the class proportion in an unlabeled dataset, based on the targeted learning framework. Our procedure requires the specification of a prior (and outputs a posterior) only for the target of…

统计方法学 · 统计学 2019-11-26 Iván Díaz , Oleksander Savenkov , Hooman Kamel

The behavior of many Bayesian models used in machine learning critically depends on the choice of prior distributions, controlled by some hyperparameters that are typically selected by Bayesian optimization or cross-validation. This…

机器学习 · 统计学 2023-10-09 Eliezer de Souza da Silva , Tomasz Kuśmierczyk , Marcelo Hartmann , Arto Klami

Gaussian processes (GPs) are widely used metamodels for approximating expensive computer simulations, particularly in engineering design and spatial prediction. However, their performance can deteriorate significantly when covariance…

统计计算 · 统计学 2025-11-17 Ayumi Mutoh , Junoh Heo

A Bayesian non-parametric framework for studying time-to-event data is proposed, where the prior distribution is allowed to depend on an additional random source, and may update with the sample size. Such scenarios are natural, for…

统计方法学 · 统计学 2025-05-06 Martin Bladt , Jorge González Cázares

Gaussian process regression is a powerful Bayesian nonlinear regression method. Recent research has enabled the capture of many types of observations using non-Gaussian likelihoods. To deal with various tasks in spatial modeling, we benefit…

机器学习 · 统计学 2025-08-26 Yuta Shikuri

Posterior computation for high-dimensional data with many parameters can be challenging. This article focuses on a new method for approximating posterior distributions of a low- to moderate-dimensional parameter in the presence of a…

统计计算 · 统计学 2022-04-08 Willem van den Boom , Galen Reeves , David B. Dunson

Gaussian process regression is a popular Bayesian framework for surrogate modeling of expensive data sources. As part of a broader effort in scientific machine learning, many recent works have incorporated physical constraints or other a…

机器学习 · 计算机科学 2021-01-07 Laura Swiler , Mamikon Gulian , Ari Frankel , Cosmin Safta , John Jakeman

Posterior contractions rates (PCRs) strengthen the notion of Bayesian consistency, quantifying the speed at which the posterior distribution concentrates on arbitrarily small neighborhoods of the true model, with probability tending to 1 or…

统计理论 · 数学 2022-01-31 Federico Camerlenghi , Emanuele Dolera , Stefano Favaro , Edoardo Mainini

Variational autoencoders often assume isotropic Gaussian priors and mean-field posteriors, hence do not exploit structure in scenarios where we may expect similarity or consistency across latent variables. Gaussian process variational…

机器学习 · 统计学 2020-11-17 Metod Jazbec , Michael Pearce , Vincent Fortuin