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相关论文: Spartan Random Processes in Time Series Modeling

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When dealing with time series data, causal inference methods often employ structural vector autoregressive (SVAR) processes to model time-evolving random systems. In this work, we rephrase recursive SVAR processes with possible latent…

统计理论 · 数学 2024-08-19 Nicolas-Domenic Reiter , Andreas Gerhardus , Jonas Wahl , Jakob Runge

This paper introduces a new sparse spatio-temporal structured Gaussian process regression framework for online and offline Bayesian inference. This is the first framework that gives a time-evolving representation of the interdependencies…

机器学习 · 统计学 2018-08-01 Danil Kuzin , Olga Isupova , Lyudmila Mihaylova

We consider the scenario where the parameters of a probabilistic model are expected to vary over time. We construct a novel prior distribution that promotes sparsity and adapts the strength of correlation between parameters at successive…

机器学习 · 统计学 2015-11-10 Dani Yogatama , Bryan R. Routledge , Noah A. Smith

Gaussian processes are used in machine learning to learn input-output mappings from observed data. Gaussian process regression is based on imposing a Gaussian process prior on the unknown regressor function and statistically conditioning it…

机器学习 · 统计学 2019-07-16 Simo Särkkä

Stochastic Petri Nets (SPNs) are an increasingly popular tool of choice for modeling discrete-event dynamics in areas such as epidemiology and systems biology, yet their parameter estimation remains challenging in general and in particular…

机器学习 · 计算机科学 2025-12-09 Bright Kwaku Manu , Trevor Reckell , Beckett Sterner , Petar Jevtic

Linear dynamical relations that may exist in continuous-time, or at some natural sampling rate, are not directly discernable at reduced observational sampling rates. Indeed, at reduced rates, matricial spectral densities of vectorial time…

系统与控制 · 计算机科学 2018-07-25 Tryphon T. Georgiou , Anders Lindquist

Gaussian processes (GPs) are a popular model for spatially referenced data and allow descriptive statements, predictions at new locations, and simulation of new fields. Often a few parameters are sufficient to parameterize the covariance…

机器学习 · 统计学 2021-01-01 Florian Gerber , Douglas W. Nychka

The pair correlation function is a fundamental spatial point process characteristic that, given the intensity function, determines second order moments of the point process. Non-parametric estimation of the pair correlation function is a…

统计理论 · 数学 2023-04-25 Abdollah Jalilian , Yongtao Guan , Rasmus Waagepetersen

Grid-based modelling is widely used for estimating stellar parameters. However, stellar model grid is sparse because of the computational cost. This paper demonstrates an application of a machine-learning algorithm using the Gaussian…

太阳与恒星天体物理 · 物理学 2022-03-02 Tanda Li , Guy R. Davies , Alexander J. Lyttle , Warrick H. Ball , Lindsey M. Carboneau , Rafael A. Garcia

The Gaussian process (GP) regression model is a widely employed surrogate modeling technique for computer experiments, offering precise predictions and statistical inference for the computer simulators that generate experimental data.…

统计方法学 · 统计学 2024-04-02 Lulu Kang , Yuanxing Cheng , Yiwei Wang , Chun Liu

We introduce a novel modeling approach for time series imputation and forecasting, tailored to address the challenges often encountered in real-world data, such as irregular samples, missing data, or unaligned measurements from multiple…

The spectrum and coherency are useful quantities for characterizing the temporal correlations and functional relations within and between point processes. This paper begins with a review of these quantities, their interpretation and how…

生物物理 · 物理学 2007-05-23 M. R. Jarvis , P. P. Mitra

We introduce a simple method to estimate the system parameters in continuous dynamical systems from the time series. In this method, we construct a modified system by introducing some constants (controlling constants) into the given…

混沌动力学 · 物理学 2009-11-10 P. Palaniyandi , M. Lakshmanan

There is an increasing demand to process streams of temporal data in energy-limited scenarios such as embedded devices, driven by the advancement and expansion of Internet of Things (IoT) and Cyber-Physical Systems (CPS). Spiking neural…

神经与进化计算 · 计算机科学 2020-07-08 Haowen Fang , Amar Shrestha , Qinru Qiu

An algorithmic limit of compressed sensing or related variable-selection problems is analytically evaluated when a design matrix is given by an overcomplete random matrix. The replica method from statistical mechanics is employed to derive…

无序系统与神经网络 · 物理学 2018-11-14 Tomoyuki Obuchi , Yoshinori Nakanishi-Ohno , Masato Okada , Yoshiyuki Kabashima

Neurons perform computations, and convey the results of those computations through the statistical structure of their output spike trains. Here we present a practical method, grounded in the information-theoretic analysis of prediction, for…

神经元与认知 · 定量生物学 2022-03-18 Robert Haslinger , Kristina Lisa Klinkner , Cosma Rohilla Shalizi

Stochastic Spatio-Temporal processes are prevalent across domains ranging from modeling of plasma to the turbulence in fluids to the wave function of quantum systems. This letter studies a measure-theoretic description of such systems by…

最优化与控制 · 数学 2021-05-25 George I. Boutselis , Ethan N. Evans , Marcus A. Pereira , Evangelos A. Theodorou

Most machine learning tools work with a single table where each row is an instance and each column is an attribute. Each cell of the table contains an attribute value for an instance. This representation prevents one important form of…

人工智能 · 计算机科学 2011-03-14 Tiago Silva , Inês Dutra

In 2002, in a seminal article, Christoph Bandt and Bernd Pompe proposed a new methodology for the analysis of complex time series, now known as Ordinal Analysis. The ordinal methodology is based on the computation of symbols (known as…

数据分析、统计与概率 · 物理学 2022-06-07 Inmaculada Leyva , Johann Martinez , Cristina Masoller , Osvaldo A. Rosso , Massimiliano Zanin

We introduce a Gaussian process-based model for handling of non-stationarity. The warping is achieved non-parametrically, through imposing a prior on the relative change of distance between subsequent observation inputs. The model allows…

机器学习 · 统计学 2019-12-06 David Tolpin