相关论文: A note on calculating autocovariances of periodic …

The standard approach for studying the periodic ARMA model with coefficients that vary over the seasons is to express it in a vector form. In this paper we introduce an alternative method which views the periodic formulation as a time…

In this paper we investigate the dependence structure for PARMA models (i.e. ARMA models with periodic coefficients) with symmetric alpha-stable innovations. In this case the covariance function is not defined and therefore other measures…

The paper considers high frequency sampled multivariate continuous-time ARMA (MCARMA) models, and derives the asymptotic behavior of the sample autocovariance function to a normal random matrix. Moreover, we obtain the asymptotic behavior…

In this paper we consider portmanteau tests for testing the adequacy of multiplicative seasonal autoregressive moving-average (SARMA) models under the assumption that the errors are uncorrelated but not necessarily independent.We relax the…

In this paper we derive a formula for a covariance matrix of any self-affine measure.

We propose a parametrization of autoregressive unit roots ARMA models (ARUMA) with partial autocorrelation coefficients to specify the autoregressive and integrated part of the model. We obtain the algebraic properties of the partial…

This paper proposes a wavelet-based method for analysing periodic autoregressive moving average (PARMA) time series. Even though Fourier analysis provides an effective method for analysing periodic time series, it requires the estimation of…

This paper describes a new method for generating stationary integer-valued time series from renewal processes. We prove that if the lifetime distribution of renewal processes is nonlattice and the probability generating function is…

Linear time series modelling is dominated by the use of purely autoregressive models even though incorporating moving average components can greatly improve parsimony. We present a convex formulation for vector-ARMA system identification…

In the past four decades, research on count time series has made significant progress, but research on $\mathbb{Z}$-valued time series is relatively rare. Existing $\mathbb{Z}$-valued models are mainly of autoregressive structure, where the…

In this study we show how to represent a continuous time autoregressive moving average (CARMA) as a higher order stochastic delay differential equation, which may be thought of as a continuous-time equivalent of the AR($\infty$)…

In this paper we derive the asymptotic distribution of normalized residual empirical autocovariances and autocorrelations under weak assumptions on the noise. We propose new portmanteau statistics for vector autoregressive moving-average…

We express the classic ARMA time-series model as a directed graphical model. In doing so, we find that the deterministic relationships in the model make it effectively impossible to use the EM algorithm for learning model parameters. To…

Fitting autoregressive moving average (ARMA) time series models requires model identification before parameter estimation. Model identification involves determining the order of the autoregressive and moving average components which is…

In this paper, we provide explicit formulas, in terms of the covariances of sample covariances or sample correlations, for the asymptotic covariances of unrotated factor loading estimates and unique variance estimates. These estimates are…

We provide a novel method for large volatility matrix prediction with high-frequency data by applying eigen-decomposition to daily realized volatility matrix estimators and capturing eigenvalue dynamics with ARMA models. Given a sequence of…

Traditional numerical methods for calculating matrix eigenvalues are prohibitively expensive for high-dimensional problems. Iterative random sparsification methods allow for the estimation of a single dominant eigenvalue at reduced cost by…

In this paper, we propose a novel variable selection approach in the framework of sparse high-dimensional GLARMA models. It consists in combining the estimation of the autoregressive moving average (ARMA) coefficients of these models with…

This is a survey of some recent results on the rational circulant covariance extension problem: Given a partial sequence $(c_0,c_1,\dots,c_n)$ of covariance lags $c_k=\mathbb{E}\{y(t+k)\overline{y(t)}\}$ emanating from a stationary periodic…

Periodicity is a common feature of time series. For finite-dimensional data, periodic autoregressive moving average (ARMA) models have been extensively studied. In functional time series analysis, AR models have been extended to incorporate…