相关论文: Likelihood ratios and Bayesian inference for Poiss…

As a powerful tool for longitudinal data analysis, the generalized estimating equations have been widely studied in the academic community. However, in large-scale settings, this approach faces pronounced computational and storage…

Bayesian predictive probabilities are commonly used for interim monitoring of clinical trials through efficacy and futility stopping rules. Despite their usefulness, calculation of predictive probabilities, particularly in pre-experiment…

We describe a statistical hypothesis test for the presence of a signal based on the likelihood ratio statistic. We derive the test for a special case of interest. We study extensions of the test to cases where there are multiple channels…

Using Malliavin operators together with an interpolation technique inspired by Arratia, Goldstein and Gordon (1989), we prove a new inequality on the Poisson space, allowing one to measure the distance between the laws of a general random…

In this paper, we give an upper bound for a probabilistic distance between a Gaussian vector and a vector of U-statistics of Poisson point processes by applying Malliavin-Stein inequality on the Poisson space.

In this paper we propose an efficient stochastic optimization algorithm to search for Bayesian experimental designs such that the expected information gain is maximized. The gradient of the expected information gain with respect to…

The main challenges that arise when adopting Gaussian Process priors in probabilistic modeling are how to carry out exact Bayesian inference and how to account for uncertainty on model parameters when making model-based predictions on…

Posterior distributions often feature intractable normalizing constants, called marginal likelihoods or evidence, that are useful for model comparison via Bayes factors. This has motivated a number of methods for estimating ratios of…

Suppose that $X_1,X_2,\ldots$ are a stream of independent, identically distributed Poisson random variables with mean $\mu$. This work presents a new estimate $\mu_k$ for $\mu$ with the property that the distribution of the relative error…

This paper is devoted to the multivariate estimation of a vector of Poisson means. A novel loss function that penalises bad estimates of each of the parameters and the sum (or equivalently the mean) of the parameters is introduced. Under…

The state estimation problem for nonlinear systems with stochastic uncertainties can be formulated in the Bayesian framework, where the objective is to replace the state completely by its probability density function. Without the…

We present a method for estimating conditionally Gaussian random vectors with random covariance matrices, which uses techniques from the field of machine learning. Such models are typical in communication systems, where the covariance…

The classical Binary Symmetric Channel has a fixed transition probability. We discuss the Binary Symmetric Channel with a variable transition probability that depends on a Poisson distribution. The error rate for this channel is determined…

We demonstrate the use of automatic Bayesian inference for the analysis of LISA data sets. In particular we describe a new automatic Reversible Jump Markov Chain Monte Carlo method to evaluate the posterior probability density functions of…

Bayesian methods estimate a measure of uncertainty by using the posterior distribution. One source of difficulty in these methods is the computation of the normalizing constant. Calculating exact posterior is generally intractable and we…

Gradient-based Monte Carlo sampling algorithms, like Langevin dynamics and Hamiltonian Monte Carlo, are important methods for Bayesian inference. In large-scale settings, full-gradients are not affordable and thus stochastic gradients…

This article develops, and describes how to use, results concerning disintegrations of Poisson random measures. These results are fashioned as simple tools that can be tailor-made to address inferential questions arising in a wide range of…

Bayesian inference for nonlinear diffusions, observed at discrete times, is a challenging task that has prompted the development of a number of algorithms, mainly within the computational statistics community. We propose a new direction,…

In this article we consider likelihood-based estimation of static parameters for a class of partially observed McKean-Vlasov (POMV) diffusion process with discrete-time observations over a fixed time interval. In particular, using the…

In this work, we propose two methods that utilize data symbols in addition to pilot symbols for improved channel estimation quality in a multi-user system, so-called semi-blind channel estimation. To this end, a subspace is estimated based…