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We consider the problem of the estimation of the invariant distribution function of an ergodic diffusion process when the drift coefficient is unknown. The empirical distribution function is a natural estimator which is unbiased, uniformly…

统计理论 · 数学 2007-06-13 Ilia Negri

Parametric estimation for diffusion processes is considered for high frequency observations over a fixed time interval. The processes solve stochastic differential equations with an unknown parameter in the diffusion coefficient. We find…

统计方法学 · 统计学 2017-04-03 Nina Munkholt Jakobsen , Michael Sørensen

A non-parametric diffusion model with an additive fractional Brownian motion noise is considered in this work. The drift is a non-parametric function that will be estimated by two methods. On one hand, we propose a locally linear estimator…

概率论 · 数学 2014-03-13 Bruno Saussereau

This paper addresses the nonparametric estimation of the drift function over a compact domain for a time-homogeneous diffusion process, based on high-frequency discrete observations from $N$ independent trajectories. We propose a neural…

机器学习 · 统计学 2026-04-01 Yuzhen Zhao , Yating Liu , Marc Hoffmann

This paper deals with a copies-based continuously differentiable and strictly decreasing estimator of the drift function for stochastic differential equations defining recurrent diffusion processes. The first part of our paper deals with…

统计理论 · 数学 2026-03-17 Nicolas Marie

We propose a new statistical observation scheme of diffusion processes named convolutional observation, where it is possible to deal with smoother observation than ordinary diffusion processes by considering convolution of diffusion…

统计理论 · 数学 2020-10-28 Shogo H Nakakita , Masayuki Uchida

We consider stationary hidden Markov models with finite state space and nonparametric modeling of the emission distributions. It has remained unknown until very recently that such models are identifiable. In this paper, we propose a new…

统计理论 · 数学 2015-12-29 Yohann De Castro , Élisabeth Gassiat , Claire Lacour

A truncated sequential procedure is constructed for estimating the drift coefficient at a given state point based on discrete data of ergodic diffusion process. A nonasymptotic upper bound is obtained for a pointwise absolute error risk.…

统计理论 · 数学 2015-09-21 L. I. Galtchouk , S. M. Pergamenshchikov

We construct a novel estimator for the diffusion coefficient of the limiting homogenized equation, when observing the slow dynamics of a multiscale model, in the case when the slow dynamics are of bounded variation. Previous research…

统计理论 · 数学 2018-07-04 Theodoros Manikas , Anastasia Papavasiliou

The problem of determining a periodic Lipschitz vector field $b=(b_1, \dots, b_d)$ from an observed trajectory of the solution $(X_t: 0 \le t \le T)$ of the multi-dimensional stochastic differential equation \begin{equation*} dX_t =…

统计理论 · 数学 2020-07-21 Richard Nickl , Kolyan Ray

We assume that we observe $N$ independent copies of a diffusion process on a time-interval $[0,2T]$. For a given time $t$, we estimate the transition density $p_t(x,y)$, namely the conditional density of $X_{t + s}$ given $X_s = x$, under…

统计理论 · 数学 2025-05-01 Fabienne Comte , Nicolas Marie

In this article we consider the estimation of static parameters for partially observed diffusion process with discrete-time observations over a fixed time interval. In particular, we assume that one must time-discretize the partially…

统计计算 · 统计学 2023-09-20 Elsiddig Awadelkarim , Ajay Jasra , Hamza Ruzayqat

This paper presents a numerical method to implement the parameter estimation method using response statistics that was recently formulated by the authors. The proposed approach formulates the parameter estimation problem of It\^o drift…

数值分析 · 数学 2019-03-05 He Zhang , Xiantao Li , John Harlim

We study the problem of parameters estimation in Indirect Observability contexts, where $X_t \in R^r$ is an unobservable stationary process parametrized by a vector of unknown parameters and all observable data are generated by an…

概率论 · 数学 2016-01-20 Robert Azencott , Peng Ren , Ilya Timofeyev

The purpose of this article is to develop a general parametric estimation theory that allows the derivation of the limit distribution of estimators in non-regular models where the true parameter value may lie on the boundary of the…

统计理论 · 数学 2022-11-28 Junichiro Yoshida , Nakahiro Yoshida

In this paper, an alternative approximation to the innovation method is introduced for the parameter estimation of diffusion processes from partial and noisy observations. This is based on a convergent approximation to the first two…

最优化与控制 · 数学 2013-12-19 J. C. Jimenez

In this paper, a modification of the conventional approximations to the quasi-maximum likelihood method is introduced for the parameter estimation of diffusion processes from discrete observations. This is based on a convergent…

最优化与控制 · 数学 2013-12-19 J. C. Jimenez

We propose a new semiparametric approach for modelling nonlinear univariate diffusions, where the observed process is a nonparametric transformation of an underlying parametric diffusion (UPD). This modelling strategy yields a general class…

计量经济学 · 经济学 2020-05-08 Ruijun Bu , Kaddour Hadri , Dennis Kristensen

We study a new parametric approach for hidden discrete-time diffusion models. This method is based on contrast minimization and deconvolution and leads to estimate a large class of stochastic models with nonlinear drift and nonlinear…

统计理论 · 数学 2017-01-01 Salima El Kolei , Florian Pelgrin

We consider nonparametric Bayesian inference in a reflected diffusion model $dX_t = b (X_t)dt + \sigma(X_t) dW_t,$ with discretely sampled observations $X_0, X_\Delta, \dots, X_{n\Delta}$. We analyse the nonlinear inverse problem…

统计理论 · 数学 2020-05-26 Richard Nickl , Jakob Söhl