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Drift Estimation for Diffusion Processes Using Neural Networks Based on Discretely Observed Independent Paths

Machine Learning 2026-04-01 v2 Machine Learning Statistics Theory Statistics Theory

Abstract

This paper addresses the nonparametric estimation of the drift function over a compact domain for a time-homogeneous diffusion process, based on high-frequency discrete observations from NN independent trajectories. We propose a neural network-based estimator and derive a non-asymptotic convergence rate, decomposed into a training error, an approximation error, and a diffusion-related term scaling as logN/N{\log N}/{N}. For compositional drift functions, we establish an explicit rate. In the numerical experiments, we consider a drift function with local fluctuations generated by a double-layer compositional structure featuring local oscillations, and show that the empirical convergence rate becomes independent of the input dimension dd. Compared to the BB-spline method, the neural network estimator achieves better convergence rates and more effectively captures local features, particularly in higher-dimensional settings.

Keywords

Cite

@article{arxiv.2511.11161,
  title  = {Drift Estimation for Diffusion Processes Using Neural Networks Based on Discretely Observed Independent Paths},
  author = {Yuzhen Zhao and Yating Liu and Marc Hoffmann},
  journal= {arXiv preprint arXiv:2511.11161},
  year   = {2026}
}

Comments

Accepted for an oral presentation at the 40th Annual AAAI Conference on Artificial Intelligence (AAAI-26)

R2 v1 2026-07-01T07:37:14.671Z