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Estimating win probability is one of the classic modeling tasks of sports analytics. Many widely used win probability estimators use machine learning to fit the relationship between a binary win/loss outcome variable and certain game-state…

统计方法学 · 统计学 2025-08-21 Ryan S. Brill , Ronald Yurko , Abraham J. Wyner

Evolutionary game theory is a mathematical toolkit to analyse the interactions that an individual agent has in a population and how the composition of strategies in this population evolves over time. While it can provide neat solutions to…

计算机科学与博弈论 · 计算机科学 2021-09-07 Jacobus Smit , Ed Plumb

Escalation is the fact that in a game (for instance an auction), the agents play forever. It is not necessary to consider complex examples to establish its rationality. In particular, the $0,1$-game is an extremely simple infinite game in…

计算机科学与博弈论 · 计算机科学 2013-06-11 Pierre Lescanne

Strategy changes are an essential part of evolutionary games. Here we introduce a simple rule that, depending on the value of a single parameter $w$, influences the selection of players that are considered as potential sources of the new…

物理与社会 · 物理学 2010-08-16 Zhen Wang , Matjaz Perc

Evolutionary game dynamics in structured populations are strongly affected by updating rules. Previous studies usually focus on imitation-based rules, which rely on payoff information of social peers. Recent behavioral experiments suggest…

种群与进化 · 定量生物学 2018-10-02 Lei Zhou , Bin Wu , Jinming Du , Long Wang

We study the evolutionary dynamics of games under environmental feedback using replicator equations for two interacting populations. One key feature is to consider jointly the co-evolution of the dynamic payoff matrices and the state of the…

种群与进化 · 定量生物学 2021-05-20 Lulu Gong , Jian Gao , Ming Cao

In this paper we unify, simplify, and extend previous work on the evolutionary dynamics of symmetric $N$-player matrix games with two pure strategies. In such games, gains from switching strategies depend, in general, on how many other…

种群与进化 · 定量生物学 2013-10-03 Jorge Peña , Laurent Lehmann , Georg Nöldeke

We study a simple adaptive model in the framework of an N -player normal form game. The model consists of a repeated game where the players only know their own action space and their own payoff scored at each stage, not those of the other…

计算机科学与博弈论 · 计算机科学 2017-06-12 Mario Bravo

Evolutionary game theory has impacted many fields of research by providing a mathematical framework for studying the evolution and maintenance of social and moral behaviors. This success is owed in large part to the demonstration that the…

物理与社会 · 物理学 2024-06-03 José F. Fontanari

We propose a consensus opinion model based on the evolutionary game. In our model, both of the two connected agents receive a benefit if they have the same opinion, otherwise they both pay a cost. Agents update their opinions by comparing…

物理与社会 · 物理学 2018-02-14 Han-Xin Yang

The most common assumption in evolutionary game theory is that players should adopt a strategy that warrants the highest payoff. However, recent studies indicate that the spatial selection for cooperation is enhanced if an appropriate…

物理与社会 · 物理学 2016-05-18 Attila Szolnoki , Matjaz Perc

Wealthy individuals may be less tempted to defect than those with comparatively low payoffs. To take this into consideration, we introduce coevolutionary success-driven multigames in structured populations. While the core game is always the…

物理与社会 · 物理学 2014-10-17 Attila Szolnoki , Matjaz Perc

In a game of persuasion with evidence, a sender has private information. By presenting evidence on the information, the sender wishes to persuade a receiver to take a single action (e.g., hire a job candidate, or convict a defendant). The…

计算机科学与博弈论 · 计算机科学 2024-09-10 Martin Hoefer , Pasin Manurangsi , Alexandros Psomas

In this paper we experiment with a 2-player strategy board game where playing models are evolved using reinforcement learning and neural networks. The models are evolved to speed up automatic game development based on human involvement at…

人工智能 · 计算机科学 2007-05-23 Dimitris Kalles

Evolutionary game theory is a powerful framework for studying evolution in populations of interacting individuals. A common assumption in evolutionary game theory is that interactions are symmetric, which means that the players are…

种群与进化 · 定量生物学 2016-05-04 Alex McAvoy , Christoph Hauert

Optimizing strategic decisions (a.k.a. computing equilibrium) is key to the success of many non-cooperative multi-agent applications. However, in many real-world situations, we may face the exact opposite of this game-theoretic problem --…

计算机科学与博弈论 · 计算机科学 2022-10-05 Jibang Wu , Weiran Shen , Fei Fang , Haifeng Xu

Strategies for sustaining cooperation and preventing exploitation by selfish agents in repeated games have mostly been restricted to Markovian strategies where the response of an agent depends on the actions in the previous round. Such…

种群与进化 · 定量生物学 2023-10-30 Arunava Patra , Supratim Sengupta , Ayan Paul , Sagar Chakraborty

Recent developments of eco-evolutionary models have shown that evolving feedbacks between behavioral strategies and the environment of game interactions, leading to changes in the underlying payoff matrix, can impact the underlying…

物理与社会 · 物理学 2024-06-10 Katherine Betz , Feng Fu , Naoki Masuda

We show in a simulation when economic agents are subject to evolution (random change and selection based on the success in the estimation of the result of the gamble) they acquire risk aversive behavior. This behavior appears in the form of…

物理与社会 · 物理学 2024-02-07 Ihor Kendiukhov

In two-player finite-state stochastic games of partial observation on graphs, in every state of the graph, the players simultaneously choose an action, and their joint actions determine a probability distribution over the successor states.…

计算机科学与博弈论 · 计算机科学 2011-07-13 Krishnendu Chatterjee , Laurent Doyen