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Using Bayesian methods for extreme value analysis offers an alternative to frequentist ones, with several advantages such as easily dealing with parametric uncertainty or studying irregular models. However, computations can be challenging…

统计方法学 · 统计学 2023-06-12 Théo Moins , Julyan Arbel , Stéphane Girard , Anne Dutfoy

Exponential random graph models (ERGMs) are a widely used framework for network data, enabling hypothesis testing on the structural mechanisms underlying observed networks. Bayesian ERGMs provide principled uncertainty quantification and…

统计方法学 · 统计学 2026-05-26 Alberto Caimo , Isabella Gollini

We prove an elementary yet useful inequality bounding the maximal value of certain linear programs. This leads directly to a bound on the martingale difference for arbitrarily dependent random variables, providing a generalization of some…

泛函分析 · 数学 2007-05-23 Leonid Kontorovich

We consider upper exponential bounds for the probability of the event that an absolute deviation of sample mean from mathematical expectation p is bigger comparing with some ordered level epsilon. These bounds include 2 coefficients {alpha,…

概率论 · 数学 2010-04-13 Vladimir Nikulin

In this article, we study microscopic properties of a two-dimensional eigenvalue ensemble near a conical singularity arising from insertion of a point charge in the bulk of the support of eigenvalues. In particular, we characterize all…

数学物理 · 物理学 2021-09-01 Yacin Ameur , Nam-Gyu Kang , Seong-Mi Seo

We prove a Bernstein inequality for vector-valued self-normalized martingales. We first give an alternative perspective of the corresponding sub-Gaussian bound due to Abbasi-Yadkori et al. via a PAC-Bayesian argument with Gaussian priors.…

概率论 · 数学 2025-01-07 Ingvar Ziemann

We establish a new scale of $p$-variation estimates for martingale paraproducts, martingale transforms, and It\^o integrals, of relevance in rough paths theory, stochastic, and harmonic analysis. As an application, we introduce rough…

概率论 · 数学 2023-03-22 Peter Friz , Pavel Zorin-Kranich

Consider an n x n Hermitian random matrix with, above the diagonal, independent entries with alpha-stable symmetric distribution and 0 < alpha < 2. We establish new bounds on the rate of convergence of the empirical spectral distribution of…

概率论 · 数学 2012-02-01 Charles Bordenave , Alice Guionnet

This paper extends classical probabilistic results to the broader class of demimartingales and demisubmartingales. We establish variants of Doob's-type optional sampling theorem under minimal structural conditions on stopping times, relying…

概率论 · 数学 2025-07-24 Milto Hadjikyriakou , B. L. S Prakasa Rao

For a simple and connected graph, several lower and upper bounds of graph invariants expressed in terms of the eigenvalues of the normalized Laplacian matrix have been proposed in literature. In this paper, through a unified approach based…

组合数学 · 数学 2017-01-27 Gian Paolo Clemente , Alessandra Cornaro

Let $\Lambda^{\mathbb{R}}$ denote the linear space over $\mathbb{R}$ spanned by $z^{k}$, $k \! \in \! \mathbb{Z}$. Define the real inner product (with varying exponential weights) $\langle \boldsymbol{\cdot},\boldsymbol{\cdot}…

经典分析与常微分方程 · 数学 2007-05-23 K. T. -R. McLaughlin , A. H. Vartanian , X. Zhou

A unified framework for the Expander Mixing Lemma for irregular graphs using adjacency eigenvalues is presented, as well as two new versions of it. While the existing Expander Mixing Lemmas for irregular graphs make use of the notion of…

组合数学 · 数学 2024-07-17 Aida Abiad , Sjanne Zeijlemaker

We give sufficient criteria for the Dol\'eans-Dade exponential of a stochastic integral with respect to a counting process local martingale to be a true martingale. The criteria are adapted particularly to the case of counting processes and…

概率论 · 数学 2015-09-09 Alexander Sokol , Niels Richard Hansen

We define an analytic setting for renormalization of unimodal maps with an arbitrary critical exponent. We prove the global Hyperbolicity of Renormalization conjecture for unimodal maps of bounded type with a critical exponent which is…

动力系统 · 数学 2017-04-18 Igors Gorbovickis , Michael Yampolsky

Consider a real diagonal deterministic matrix $X_n$ of size $n$ with spectral measure converging to a compactly supported probability measure. We perturb this matrix by adding a random finite rank matrix, with delocalized eigenvectors. We…

概率论 · 数学 2011-06-21 Florent Benaych-Georges , Alice Guionnet , Mylène Maïda

We evaluate averages involving characteristic polynomials, inverse characteristic polynomials and ratios of characteristic polynomials for a $N\times N$ random matrix taken from a $L$-deformed Chiral Gaussian Unitary Ensemble with an…

数学物理 · 物理学 2018-03-19 Yan V Fyodorov , Jacek Grela , Eugene Strahov

Rank 1 inhomogeneous random graphs are a natural generalization of Erd\H{o}s R\'enyi random graphs. In this generalization each node is given a weight. Then the probability that an edge is present depends on the product of the weights of…

概率论 · 数学 2021-07-28 Othmane Safsafi

We establish noncommutative analogs of some well-known large deviation inequalities for noncommutative random variables. Firstly, for the noncommutative independent case, we characterize the uniformly exponential integrability of random…

算子代数 · 数学 2026-04-08 Yong Jiao , Sijie Luo , Dejian Zhou

We introduce a theory of probability in $\lambda$-rings designed to efficiently describe random variables valued in multisets of complex numbers, varieties over a field, or other similar enriched settings. A key role is played by the…

数论 · 数学 2025-06-10 Sean Howe

Learning how to figure out sharp $L^p$-estimates of nonlinear differential expressions, to prove and use them, is a fundamental part of the development of PDEs and Geometric Function Theory (GFT). Our survey presents, among what is known to…

复变函数 · 数学 2015-08-24 Kari Astala , Tadeusz Iwaniec , István Prause , Eero Saksman