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This paper presents the Poisson-randomized gamma dynamical system (PRGDS), a model for sequentially observed count tensors that encodes a strong inductive bias toward sparsity and burstiness. The PRGDS is based on a new motif in Bayesian…

机器学习 · 统计学 2019-10-30 Aaron Schein , Scott W. Linderman , Mingyuan Zhou , David M. Blei , Hanna Wallach

The problem of adaptive sampling for estimating probability mass functions (pmf) uniformly well is considered. Performance of the sampling strategy is measured in terms of the worst-case mean squared error. A Bayesian variant of the…

统计方法学 · 统计学 2020-12-09 Dhruva Kartik , Neeraj Sood , Urbashi Mitra , Tara Javidi

We introduce a new approach to prediction in graphical models with latent-shift adaptation, i.e., where source and target environments differ in the distribution of an unobserved confounding latent variable. Previous work has shown that as…

机器学习 · 统计学 2023-06-26 William I. Walker , Arthur Gretton , Maneesh Sahani

Probabilistic graphical models, such as Markov random fields (MRFs), are useful for describing high-dimensional distributions in terms of local dependence structures. The probabilistic inference is a fundamental problem related to graphical…

数据结构与算法 · 计算机科学 2020-11-30 Weiming Feng , Kun He , Xiaoming Sun , Yitong Yin

Inference with population genetic data usually treats the population pedigree as a nuisance parameter, the unobserved product of a past history of random mating. However, the history of genetic relationships in a given population is a…

种群与进化 · 定量生物学 2019-04-02 Peter L. Ralph

In population genetics, diffusions on the unit interval are often used to model the frequency path of an allele. In this setting we derive approximations for fixation probabilities, expected hitting times and the expected…

概率论 · 数学 2018-09-18 Peter Pfaffelhuber , Anton Wakolbinger

This paper proposes small area estimation methods that utilize generalized tree-based machine learning techniques to improve the estimation of disaggregated means in small areas using discrete survey data. Specifically, we present two…

统计方法学 · 统计学 2024-07-09 Nicolas Frink , Timo Schmid

The Wright--Fisher diffusion is important in population genetics in modelling the evolution of allele frequencies over time subject to the influence of biological phenomena such as selection, mutation, and genetic drift. Simulating paths of…

种群与进化 · 定量生物学 2023-01-16 Jaromir Sant , Paul A. Jenkins , Jere Koskela , Dario Spanò

Inferring dynamical models from low-resolution temporal data continues to be a significant challenge in biophysics, especially within transcriptomics, where separating molecular programs from noise remains an important open problem. We…

机器学习 · 计算机科学 2023-10-05 Victor Chardès , Suryanarayana Maddu , Michael J. Shelley

We wish to estimate the total number of classes in a population based on sample counts, especially in the presence of high latent diversity. Drawing on probability theory that characterizes distributions on the integers by ratios of…

统计方法学 · 统计学 2014-12-10 A. Willis , J. Bunge

Kernel methods are powerful and flexible approach to solve many problems in machine learning. Due to the pairwise evaluations in kernel methods, the complexity of kernel computation grows as the data size increases; thus the applicability…

机器学习 · 计算机科学 2017-11-28 Bharath Bhushan Damodaran , Nicolas Courty , Philippe-Henri Gosselin

Understanding political phenomena requires measuring the political preferences of society. We introduce a model based on mixtures of spatial voting models that infers the underlying distribution of political preferences of voters with only…

计算机与社会 · 计算机科学 2016-10-27 Alison Nahm , Alex Pentland , Peter Krafft

Crowd counting aims to learn the crowd density distributions and estimate the number of objects (e.g. persons) in images. The perspective effect, which significantly influences the distribution of data points, plays an important role in…

计算机视觉与模式识别 · 计算机科学 2022-08-19 Xiaoshuang Chen , Yiru Zhao , Yu Qin , Fei Jiang , Mingyuan Tao , Xiansheng Hua , Hongtao Lu

The spectrum of mutations in a collection of cancer genomes can be described by a mixture of a few mutational signatures. The mutational signatures can be found using non-negative matrix factorization (NMF). To extract the mutational…

统计方法学 · 统计学 2022-11-02 Marta Pelizzola , Ragnhild Laursen , Asger Hobolth

Several variants of Neural Radiance Fields (NeRFs) have significantly improved the accuracy of synthesized images and surface reconstruction of 3D scenes/objects. In all of these methods, a key characteristic is that none can train the…

计算机视觉与模式识别 · 计算机科学 2025-06-11 Gonçalo Dias Pais , Valter Piedade , Moitreya Chatterjee , Marcus Greiff , Pedro Miraldo

Within the framework of probability models for overdispersed count data, we propose the generalized fractional Poisson distribution (gfPd), which is a natural generalization of the fractional Poisson distribution (fPd), and the standard…

概率论 · 数学 2021-01-12 Dexter Cahoy , Elvira Di Nardo , Federico Polito

Using techniques from Poisson approximation, we prove explicit error bounds on the number of permutations that avoid any pattern. Most generally, we bound the total variation distance between the joint distribution of pattern occurrences…

组合数学 · 数学 2023-06-22 Harry Crane , Stephen DeSalvo

To learn about the past from a sample of genomic sequences, one needs to understand how evolutionary processes shape genetic diversity. Most population genetic inference is based on frameworks assuming adaptive evolution is rare. But if…

种群与进化 · 定量生物学 2014-03-25 Richard A. Neher

We introduce a multi-allele Wright-Fisher model with non-recurrent, reversible mutation and directional selection. In this setting, the allele frequencies at a single locus track the path of a hybrid jump-diffusion process with state space…

概率论 · 数学 2023-02-16 Ingemar Kaj , Carina F. Mugal , Rebekka Müller

Although the applications of Non-Homogeneous Poisson Processes to model and study the threshold overshoots of interest in different time series of measurements have proven to provide good results, they needed to be complemented with an…

应用统计 · 统计学 2023-09-15 Biviana Marcela Suárez-Sierra , Arrigo Coen , Carlos Alberto Taimal