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Predictions and forecasts of machine learning models should take the form of probability distributions, aiming to increase the quantity of information communicated to end users. Although applications of probabilistic prediction and…

机器学习 · 统计学 2024-03-19 Hristos Tyralis , Georgia Papacharalampous

We calculate the propagator of a particle caught in a Paul trap and subject to the continuous quantum measurement of its position. The probabilities of the measurement outputs, the possible trajectories of the particle, are also found. This…

量子物理 · 物理学 2009-10-31 A. Camacho , A. Camacho-Galvan

This article discusses a partially adapted particle filter for estimating the likelihood of a nonlinear structural econometric state space models whose state transition density cannot be expressed in closed form. The filter generates the…

统计方法学 · 统计学 2012-09-05 Jamie Hall , Michael K. Pitt , Robert Kohn

Normalizing flows are a class of machine learning models used to construct a complex distribution through a bijective mapping of a simple base distribution. We demonstrate that normalizing flows are particularly well suited as a Monte Carlo…

核理论 · 物理学 2021-08-11 Jack Brady , Pengsheng Wen , Jeremy W. Holt

We present in this article a novel Lagrangian measurement technique: an instrumented particle which continuously transmits the force/acceleration acting on it as it is advected in a flow. We develop signal processing methods to extract…

流体动力学 · 物理学 2015-06-11 Robert Zimmermann , Lionel Fiabane , Yoann Gasteuil , Romain Volk , Jean-François Pinton

The hydrodynamic equation derived by N-particle statistical mechanics is investigated. This is an attempt to provide additional information concerning the closure problem of turbulence theory. The equation is interpreted as mean velocity…

综合物理 · 物理学 2017-09-22 Juergen Piest

In volume-filtered Euler-Lagrange simulations of particle-laden flows, the fluid forces acting on a particle are estimated using reduced models, which rely on the knowledge of the local undisturbed flow for that particle. Since the two-way…

计算物理 · 物理学 2025-03-07 Fabien Evrard , Akshay Chandran , Ricardo Cortez , Berend van Wachem

Maximum likelihood estimation is a common method of estimating the parameters of the probability distribution from a given sample. This paper aims to introduce the maximum likelihood estimation in the framework of sublinear expectation. We…

概率论 · 数学 2023-01-16 Xinpeng Li , Yue Liu , Jiaquan Lu

A mathematical model to study the flow evolution in RB convection laden with finite-sized particles after a flow perturbation is developed with an Euler-Lagrange viewpoint. A linear analysis is conducted by combining the averaged flow-scale…

流体动力学 · 物理学 2023-10-20 Dai Shi

Recently developed particle flow algorithms provide an alternative to importance sampling for drawing particles from a posterior distribution, and a number of particle filters based on this principle have been proposed. Samples are drawn…

统计计算 · 统计学 2014-12-01 Pete Bunch , Simon Godsill

Particle accelerators generate charged-particle beams with tailored distributions in six-dimensional position-momentum space (phase space). Knowledge of the phase space distribution enables model-based beam optimization and control. In the…

加速器物理 · 物理学 2024-08-09 Austin Hoover , Jonathan C. Wong

We compare the computational performance of two modeling approaches for the flow of dilute cavitation bubbles in a liquid. The first approach is a deterministic model, for which bubbles are represented in a Lagrangian framework as advected…

流体动力学 · 物理学 2023-02-23 Spencer H. Bryngelson , Kevin Schmidmayer , Tim Colonius

When an expert operates a perilous dynamic system, ideal constraint information is tacitly contained in their demonstrated trajectories and controls. The likelihood of these demonstrations can be computed, given the system dynamics and task…

系统与控制 · 电气工程与系统科学 2021-02-26 David L. McPherson , Kaylene C. Stocking , S. Shankar Sastry

We develop, discuss, and compare several inference techniques to constrain theory parameters in collider experiments. By harnessing the latent-space structure of particle physics processes, we extract extra information from the simulator.…

高能物理 - 唯象学 · 物理学 2018-09-19 Johann Brehmer , Kyle Cranmer , Gilles Louppe , Juan Pavez

We study statistical properties of a one dimensional infinite system of coalescing particles. Each particle moves with constant velocity $\pm v$ towards its closest neighbor and merges with it upon collision. We propose a mean-field theory…

统计力学 · 物理学 2015-06-25 S. Ispolatov , P. L. Krapivsky

Modeling complex conditional distributions is critical in a variety of settings. Despite a long tradition of research into conditional density estimation, current methods employ either simple parametric forms or are difficult to learn in…

机器学习 · 统计学 2018-02-15 Brian L Trippe , Richard E Turner

This paper presents a Bayesian parameter estimation approach and identifiability analysis for a lithium-ion battery model, to determine the uniqueness, evaluate the sensitivity and quantify the uncertainty of a subset of the model…

系统与控制 · 电气工程与系统科学 2023-09-04 Antti Aitio , Scott G. Marquis , Pedro Ascencio , David Howey

Due to lack of scientific understanding, some mechanisms may be missing in mathematical modeling of complex phenomena in science and engineering. These mathematical models thus contain some uncertainties such as uncertain parameters. One…

概率论 · 数学 2012-04-05 Jinqiao Duan , Ting Gao , Guowei He

We investigate the statistical properties of an over-damped Brownian particle that is trapped by a harmonic potential and simultaneously exposed to a linear shear flow or to a plane Poiseuille flow. Its probability distribution is…

统计力学 · 物理学 2010-11-08 Jochen Bammert , Walter Zimmermann

A Maximum Likelihood recursive state estimator is derived for non-linear and non-Gaussian state-space models. The estimator combines a particle filter to generate the conditional density and the Expectation Maximization algorithm to compute…

统计方法学 · 统计学 2021-03-22 Mohammad S. Ramadan , Robert R. Bitmead