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We develop a rough-path framework for two-parameter rough differential equations on rectangular and simplicial domains, motivated by the signature kernel and Schwinger--Dyson kernel equations. The theory is formulated in spaces of jointly…

概率论 · 数学 2026-05-12 Thomas Cass , Dan Crisan , Andrea Iannucci , William F. Turner

We prove existence and uniqueness of the solution of a one-dimensional rough differential equation driven by a step-2 rough path and reflected at zero. In order to deal with the lack of control of the reflection measure the proof uses some…

概率论 · 数学 2016-10-25 Aurelien Deya , Massimiliano Gubinelli , Martina Hofmanova , Samy Tindel

We consider a modification of the covariance function in Gaussian processes to correctly account for known linear constraints. By modelling the target function as a transformation of an underlying function, the constraints are explicitly…

机器学习 · 统计学 2017-09-20 Carl Jidling , Niklas Wahlström , Adrian Wills , Thomas B. Schön

We define a characteristic function for probability measures on the signatures of geometric rough paths. We determine sufficient conditions under which a random variable is uniquely determined by its expected signature, thus partially…

概率论 · 数学 2017-05-19 Ilya Chevyrev , Terry Lyons

For dynamical systems that can be modelled as asymptotically stable linear systems forced by Gaussian noise, this paper develops methods to infer or estimate their modes from observations in real time. The modes can be real or complex. For…

机器学习 · 统计学 2019-10-30 Robert S. MacKay

Existence and uniqueness for rough flows, transport and continuity equations driven by general geometric rough paths are established.

偏微分方程分析 · 数学 2021-10-05 Carlo Bellingeri , Ana Djurdjevac , Peter K. Friz , Nikolas Tapia

Existence of random dynamical systems for a class of coalescing stochastic flows on $\mathbb{R}$ is proved. A new state space for coalescing flows is built. As particular cases coalescing flows of solutions to stochastic differential…

概率论 · 数学 2017-05-16 G. V. Riabov

We study the effect of Gaussian perturbations on a class of model hyperbolic partial differential equations with double symplectic characteristics in low spatial dimensions, extending some recent work in [5]. The coefficients of our partial…

概率论 · 数学 2024-09-04 Enrico Bernardi , Leonardo Marconi

The paper is split in two parts: in the first part, we construct the exact likelihood for a discretely observed rough differential equation, driven by a piecewise linear path. In the second part, we use this likelihood in order to construct…

统计理论 · 数学 2018-07-10 Anastasia Papavasiliou , Kasia B. Taylor

The problem of (pathwise) large deviations for conditionally continuous Gaussian processes is investigated. The theory of large deviations for Gaussian processes is extended to the wider class of random processes -- the conditionally…

概率论 · 数学 2019-02-07 Barbara Pacchiarotti , Alessandro Pigliacelli

Deep Gaussian processes (DGPs) can model complex marginal densities as well as complex mappings. Non-Gaussian marginals are essential for modelling real-world data, and can be generated from the DGP by incorporating uncorrelated variables…

机器学习 · 统计学 2019-05-15 Hugh Salimbeni , Vincent Dutordoir , James Hensman , Marc Peter Deisenroth

We define and solve Volterra equations driven by an irregular signal, by means of a variant of the rough path theory allowing to handle generalized integrals weighted by an exponential coefficient. The results are applied to the fractional…

概率论 · 数学 2008-10-13 Samy Tindel , Aurélien Deya

The averaging principle for slow-fast systems of various kind of stochastic (partial) differential equations has been extensively studied. An analogous result was shown for slow-fast systems of rough differential equations driven by random…

概率论 · 数学 2025-04-07 Yuzuru Inahama

We introduce stochastic variational inference for Gaussian process models. This enables the application of Gaussian process (GP) models to data sets containing millions of data points. We show how GPs can be vari- ationally decomposed to…

机器学习 · 计算机科学 2013-09-27 James Hensman , Nicolo Fusi , Neil D. Lawrence

Graphical models describe associations between variables through the notion of conditional independence. Gaussian graphical models are a widely used class of such models where the relationships are formalized by non-null entries of the…

统计方法学 · 统计学 2023-08-08 Sagnik Bhadury , Riten Mitra , Jeremy T. Gaskins

Complex-valued Gaussian processes are used in Bayesian frequency-domain system identification as prior models for regression. If each realization of such a process were an $H_\infty$ function with probability one, then the same model could…

系统与控制 · 电气工程与系统科学 2022-11-30 Alex Devonport , Peter Seiler , Murat Arcak

Gaussian processes constitute a very powerful and well-understood method for non-parametric regression and classification. In the classical framework, the training data consists of deterministic vector-valued inputs and the corresponding…

系统与控制 · 计算机科学 2018-09-26 Maxim Dolgov , Uwe D. Hanebeck

Gaussian process (GP) priors are non-parametric generative models with appealing modelling properties for Bayesian inference: they can model non-linear relationships through noisy observations, have closed-form expressions for training and…

机器学习 · 统计学 2020-01-31 Gonzalo Rios

Despite the availability of ever more data enabled through modern sensor and computer technology, it still remains an open problem to learn dynamical systems in a sample-efficient way. We propose active learning strategies that leverage…

机器学习 · 计算机科学 2020-12-08 Mona Buisson-Fenet , Friedrich Solowjow , Sebastian Trimpe

The ability of Gaussian noise to induce ordered states in dynamical systems is here presented in an overview of the main stochastic mechanisms able to generate spatial patterns. These mechanisms involve: (i) a deterministic local dynamics…

统计力学 · 物理学 2012-05-14 Stefania Scarsoglio , Francesco Laio , Paolo D'Odorico , Luca Ridolfi