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Deep Gaussian Processes (DGP) are hierarchical generalizations of Gaussian Processes (GP) that have proven to work effectively on a multiple supervised regression tasks. They combine the well calibrated uncertainty estimates of GPs with the…

Gaussian processes (GPs) defined through intrinsic random fields provide a flexible framework for modeling spatial phenomena, and have been advocated in a variety of applications over the past several decades. Nevertheless, their adoption…

We introduce a variational Bayesian neural network where the parameters are governed via a probability distribution on random matrices. Specifically, we employ a matrix variate Gaussian \cite{gupta1999matrix} parameter posterior…

机器学习 · 统计学 2016-06-24 Christos Louizos , Max Welling

We consider one-dimensional stochastic differential equations with a boundary condition, driven by a Poisson process. We study existence and uniqueness of solutions and the absolute continuity of the law of the solution. In the case when…

概率论 · 数学 2007-05-23 Aureli Alabert , Miguel A. Marmolejo

We discuss the detection of gravitational-wave backgrounds in the context of Bayesian inference and suggest a practical definition of what it means for a signal to be considered stochastic---namely, that the Bayesian evidence favors a…

广义相对论与量子宇宙学 · 物理学 2015-08-12 Neil J. Cornish , Joseph D. Romano

This article introduces the splitting method to systems responding to rough paths as external stimuli. The focus is on nonlinear partial differential equations with rough noise but we also cover rough differential equations. Applications to…

概率论 · 数学 2010-08-04 Peter Friz , Harald Oberhauser

Purely data driven approaches for machine learning present difficulties when data is scarce relative to the complexity of the model or when the model is forced to extrapolate. On the other hand, purely mechanistic approaches need to…

机器学习 · 统计学 2020-03-16 Mauricio A. Álvarez , David Luengo , Neil D. Lawrence

We present a multivariate Gaussian process regression approach for parameter field reconstruction based on the field's measurements collected at two different scales, the coarse and fine scales. The proposed approach treats the parameter…

统计方法学 · 统计学 2018-04-19 David A. Barajas-Solano , Alexandre M. Tartakovsky

We present a novel extension of multi-output Gaussian processes for handling heterogeneous outputs. We assume that each output has its own likelihood function and use a vector-valued Gaussian process prior to jointly model the parameters in…

机器学习 · 统计学 2019-01-04 Pablo Moreno-Muñoz , Antonio Artés-Rodríguez , Mauricio A. Álvarez

Gaussian processes provide a compact representation for modeling and estimating an unknown function, that can be updated as new measurements of the function are obtained. This paper extends this powerful framework to the case where the…

系统与控制 · 电气工程与系统科学 2023-11-30 Jilles van Hulst , Roy van Zuijlen , Duarte Antunes , W. P. M. H. , Heemels

In this article, we consider fractional stochastic wave equations on $\mathbb R$ driven by a multiplicative Gaussian noise which is white/colored in time and has the covariance of a fractional Brownian motion with Hurst parameter…

概率论 · 数学 2019-04-23 Jian Song , Xiaoming Song , Fangjun Xu

Variational inference techniques based on inducing variables provide an elegant framework for scalable posterior estimation in Gaussian process (GP) models. Besides enabling scalability, one of their main advantages over sparse…

机器学习 · 统计学 2021-02-24 Simone Rossi , Markus Heinonen , Edwin V. Bonilla , Zheyang Shen , Maurizio Filippone

We prove the existence and uniqueness of solutions to a class of stochastic scalar conservation laws with joint space-time transport noise and affine-linear noise driven by a geometric p-rough path. In particular, stability of the solutions…

偏微分方程分析 · 数学 2014-03-27 Peter K. Friz , Benjamin Gess

Gaussian processes are a fully Bayesian smoothing technique that allows for the reconstruction of a function and its derivatives directly from observational data, without assuming a specific model or choosing a parameterization. This is…

宇宙学与河外天体物理 · 物理学 2013-11-27 Marina Seikel , Chris Clarkson

A Gaussian operator basis provides a means to formulate phase-space simulations of the real- and imaginary-time evolution of quantum systems. Such simulations are guaranteed to be exact while the underlying distribution remains…

计算物理 · 物理学 2012-04-04 M. Ogren , K. V. Kheruntsyan , J. F. Corney

This paper introduces the path derivatives, in the spirit of Dupire's functional It\^o calculus, for the controlled paths in the rough path theory with possibly non-geometric rough paths. The theory allows us to deal with rough integration…

概率论 · 数学 2014-12-24 Christian Keller , Jianfeng Zhang

Diffusion processes are a class of stochastic differential equations (SDEs) providing a rich family of expressive models that arise naturally in dynamic modelling tasks. Probabilistic inference and learning under generative models with…

机器学习 · 计算机科学 2024-02-28 Prakhar Verma , Vincent Adam , Arno Solin

An approach for the description of stochastic systems is derived. Some of the variables in the system are studied forward in time, others backward in time. The approach is based on a perturbation expansion in the strength of the coupling…

统计力学 · 物理学 2021-08-04 Piero Olla

Let $B=(B_1(t),..,B_d(t))$ be a $d$-dimensional fractional Brownian motion with Hurst index $\alpha\le 1/4$, or more generally a Gaussian process whose paths have the same local regularity. Defining properly iterated integrals of $B$ is a…

概率论 · 数学 2015-05-20 Jacques Magnen , Jérémie Unterberger

The fields of signal processing and information theory have evolved with the goal of developing formulations to extract intrinsic information from limited amount of data. When one considers the modeling of unpredictably varying processes…

信号处理 · 电气工程与系统科学 2019-05-07 Rishabh Singh , Jose C. Principe