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An important part of problems in statistical physics and computer science can be expressed as the computation of marginal probabilities over a Markov Random Field. The belief propagation algorithm, which is an exact procedure to compute…

机器学习 · 计算机科学 2011-01-24 Victorin Martin , Jean-Marc Lasgouttes , Cyril Furtlehner

The declining response rates in probability surveys along with the widespread availability of unstructured data has led to growing research into non-probability samples. Existing robust approaches are not well-developed for non-Gaussian…

统计方法学 · 统计学 2022-03-29 Ali Rafei , Michael R. Elliott , Carol A. C. Flannagan

We address the problem of uncertainty propagation in the discrete Fourier transform by modeling the fast Fourier transform as a factor graph. Building on this representation, we propose an efficient framework for approximate Bayesian…

机器学习 · 计算机科学 2025-06-09 Luca Schmid , Charlotte Muth , Laurent Schmalen

Using a diagrammatic approach to Eulerian perturbation theory, we analytically calculate the variance and skewness of the density and velocity divergence induced by gravitational evolution from Gaussian initial conditions, including…

天体物理学 · 物理学 2011-09-30 Roman Scoccimarro , Joshua Frieman

Effectively compressing and optimizing tensor networks requires reliable methods for fixing the latent degrees of freedom of the tensors, known as the gauge. Here we introduce a new algorithm for gauging tensor networks using belief…

量子物理 · 物理学 2025-03-03 Joseph Tindall , Matthew T. Fishman

We extend conformal prediction methodology beyond the case of exchangeable data. In particular, we show that a weighted version of conformal prediction can be used to compute distribution-free prediction intervals for problems in which the…

统计方法学 · 统计学 2020-07-08 Ryan J. Tibshirani , Rina Foygel Barber , Emmanuel J. Candes , Aaditya Ramdas

We propose a new approach for propagating stable probability distributions through neural networks. Our method is based on local linearization, which we show to be an optimal approximation in terms of total variation distance for the ReLU…

机器学习 · 计算机科学 2024-02-14 Felix Petersen , Aashwin Mishra , Hilde Kuehne , Christian Borgelt , Oliver Deussen , Mikhail Yurochkin

Gaussian and quadratic approximations of message passing algorithms on graphs have attracted considerable recent attention due to their computational simplicity, analytic tractability, and wide applicability in optimization and statistical…

信息论 · 计算机科学 2026-03-12 Sundeep Rangan , Alyson K. Fletcher , Vivek K. Goyal , Evan Byrne , Philip Schniter

Approximate Message Passing (AMP) algorithms are a class of iterative procedures for computationally-efficient estimation in high-dimensional inference and estimation tasks. Due to the presence of an 'Onsager' correction term in its…

统计理论 · 数学 2023-02-02 Collin Cademartori , Cynthia Rush

We introduce novel results for approximate inference on planar graphical models using the loop calculus framework. The loop calculus (Chertkov and Chernyak, 2006b) allows to express the exact partition function Z of a graphical model as a…

人工智能 · 计算机科学 2014-08-12 Vicenc Gomez , Hilbert Kappen , Michael Chertkov

Bayesian posterior distributions arising in modern applications, including inverse problems in partial differential equation models in tomography and subsurface flow, are often computationally intractable due to the large computational cost…

机器学习 · 统计学 2023-02-10 Tapio Helin , Andrew Stuart , Aretha Teckentrup , Konstantinos Zygalakis

Distributed parameter estimation for large-scale systems is an active research problem. The goal is to derive a distributed algorithm in which each agent obtains a local estimate of its own subset of the global parameter vector, based on…

多智能体系统 · 计算机科学 2018-06-26 Tianju Sui , Damián Marelli , Minyue Fu , Renquan Lu

Assessing the validity of a real-world system with respect to given quality criteria is a common yet costly task in industrial applications due to the vast number of required real-world tests. Validating such systems by means of simulation…

机器学习 · 计算机科学 2024-09-06 David Reeb , Kanil Patel , Karim Barsim , Martin Schiegg , Sebastian Gerwinn

The sparse Beyesian learning (also referred to as Bayesian compressed sensing) algorithm is one of the most popular approaches for sparse signal recovery, and has demonstrated superior performance in a series of experiments. Nevertheless,…

信息论 · 计算机科学 2015-01-21 Fuwei Li , Jun Fang , Huiping Duan , Zhi Chen , Hongbin Li

In model development, model calibration and validation play complementary roles toward learning reliable models. In this article, we expand the Bayesian Validation Metric framework to a general calibration and validation framework by…

统计方法学 · 统计学 2020-08-04 Tony Tohme , Kevin Vanslette , Kamal Youcef-Toumi

Probabilistic inference problems arise naturally in distributed systems such as sensor networks and teams of mobile robots. Inference algorithms that use message passing are a natural fit for distributed systems, but they must be robust to…

人工智能 · 计算机科学 2012-07-19 Mark Paskin , Carlos E. Guestrin

We show how the notion of message passing can be used to streamline the algebra and computer coding for fast approximate inference in large Bayesian semiparametric regression models. In particular, this approach is amenable to handling…

统计方法学 · 统计学 2016-04-07 M. P. Wand

Probabilistic regression models typically use the Maximum Likelihood Estimation or Cross-Validation to fit parameters. These methods can give an advantage to the solutions that fit observations on average, but they do not pay attention to…

应用统计 · 统计学 2022-05-24 Naoufal Acharki , Antoine Bertoncello , Josselin Garnier

We propose a novel sparse spectrum approximation of Gaussian process (GP) tailored for Bayesian optimization. Whilst the current sparse spectrum methods provide desired approximations for regression problems, it is observed that this…

机器学习 · 计算机科学 2020-06-09 Ang Yang , Cheng Li , Santu Rana , Sunil Gupta , Svetha Venkatesh

Stochastic inference on Lie groups plays a key role in state estimation problems such as; inertial navigation, visual inertial odometry, pose estimation in virtual reality, etc. A key problem is fusing independent concentrated Gaussian…

系统与控制 · 电气工程与系统科学 2025-11-26 Yixiao Ge , Pieter van Goor , Robert Mahony