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Bayesian inference provides a methodology for parameter estimation and uncertainty quantification in machine learning and deep learning methods. Variational inference and Markov Chain Monte-Carlo (MCMC) sampling methods are used to…

机器学习 · 统计学 2024-08-27 Rohitash Chandra , Joshua Simmons

This paper focuses on utilizing two different Bayesian methods to deal with a variety of toy problems which occur in data analysis. In particular we implement the Variational Bayesian and Nested Sampling methods to tackle the problems of…

统计计算 · 统计学 2010-03-23 Alan Tua , Kristian Zarb Adami

The Markov Chain Monte Carlo (MCMC) algorithm is a widely recognised as an efficient method for sampling a specified posterior distribution. However, when the posterior is multi-modal, conventional MCMC algorithms either tend to become…

天体物理仪器与方法 · 物理学 2014-08-19 Yi-Ming Hu , Martin Hendry , Ik Siong Heng

Approximate Bayesian computation (ABC) methods are standard tools for inferring parameters of complex models when the likelihood function is analytically intractable. A popular approach to improving the poor acceptance rate of the basic…

统计方法学 · 统计学 2025-01-27 Henri Pesonen , Jukka Corander

This article introduces novel and practicable Bayesian factor analysis frameworks that are computationally feasible for moderate to large spatiotemporal data. Previous Bayesian analysis of spatiotemporal data has utilized a Bayesian factor…

统计方法学 · 统计学 2025-02-18 Yifan Cheng , Cheng Li

Current analysis of astronomical data are confronted with the daunting task of modeling the awkward features of astronomical data, among which heteroscedastic (point-dependent) errors, intrinsic scatter, non-ignorable data collection…

天体物理仪器与方法 · 物理学 2011-12-19 S. Andreon

We introduce a new class of sequential Monte Carlo methods which reformulates the essence of the nested sampling method of Skilling (2006) in terms of sequential Monte Carlo techniques. Two new algorithms are proposed, nested sampling via…

Nested Sampling is a method for computing the Bayesian evidence, also called the marginal likelihood, which is the integral of the likelihood with respect to the prior. More generally, it is a numerical probabilistic quadrature rule. The…

统计计算 · 统计学 2023-10-09 Jonas Latz , Doris Schneider , Philipp Wacker

Multi-scale problems, where variables of interest evolve in different time-scales and live in different state-spaces, can be found in many fields of science. Here, we introduce a new recursive methodology for Bayesian inference that aims at…

统计计算 · 统计学 2024-07-08 Sara Pérez-Vieites , Harold Molina-Bulla , Joaquin Miguez

In this paper, we describe a procedure for modelling strong lensing galaxy clusters with parametric methods, and to rank models quantitatively using the Bayesian evidence. We use a publicly available Markov chain Monte-Carlo (MCMC) sampler…

Computer vision tasks are difficult because of the large variability in the data that is induced by changes in light, background, partial occlusion as well as the varying pose, texture, and shape of objects. Generative approaches to…

计算机视觉与模式识别 · 计算机科学 2018-11-30 Adam Kortylewski , Mario Wieser , Andreas Morel-Forster , Aleksander Wieczorek , Sonali Parbhoo , Volker Roth , Thomas Vetter

Bi-clustering is a useful approach in analyzing biological data when observations come from heterogeneous groups and have a large number of features. We outline a general Bayesian approach in tackling bi-clustering problems in moderate to…

应用统计 · 统计学 2021-02-11 Han Yan , Jiexing Wu , Yang Li , Jun S. Liu

The paper presents a novel approach for unsupervised techniques in the field of clustering. A new method is proposed to enhance existing literature models using the proper Bayesian bootstrap to improve results in terms of robustness and…

机器学习 · 统计学 2024-09-16 Federico Maria Quetti , Silvia Figini , Elena ballante

Bayesian inference in deep neural networks is challenging due to the high-dimensional, strongly multi-modal parameter posterior density landscape. Markov chain Monte Carlo approaches asymptotically recover the true posterior but are…

This paper focuses on a challenging class of inverse problems that is often encountered in applications. The forward model is a complex non-linear black-box, potentially non-injective, whose outputs cover multiple decades in amplitude.…

统计方法学 · 统计学 2025-04-11 Pierre Palud , Pierre-Antoine Thouvenin , Pierre Chainais , Emeric Bron , Franck Le Petit

Nested sampling (NS) is a stochastic method for computing the log-evidence of a Bayesian problem. It relies on stochastic estimates of prior volumes enclosed by likelihood contours, which limits the accuracy of the log-evidence calculation.…

计算物理 · 物理学 2024-11-27 Margret Westerkamp , Jakob Roth , Philipp Frank , Will Handley , Torsten Enßlin

These notes aim at presenting an overview of Bayesian statistics, the underlying concepts and application methodology that will be useful to astronomers seeking to analyse and interpret a wide variety of data about the Universe. The level…

宇宙学与河外天体物理 · 物理学 2017-01-09 Roberto Trotta

Minimization of a stochastic cost function is commonly used for approximate sampling in high-dimensional Bayesian inverse problems with Gaussian prior distributions and multimodal posterior distributions. The density of the samples…

数值分析 · 数学 2022-06-03 Yuming Ba , Jana de Wiljes , Dean S. Oliver , Sebastian Reich

We introduce zeus, a well-tested Python implementation of the Ensemble Slice Sampling (ESS) method for Bayesian parameter inference. ESS is a novel Markov chain Monte Carlo (MCMC) algorithm specifically designed to tackle the computational…

天体物理仪器与方法 · 物理学 2021-10-05 Minas Karamanis , Florian Beutler , John A. Peacock

Sample-based Bayesian inference provides a route to uncertainty quantification in the geosciences, and inverse problems in general, though is very computationally demanding in the naive form that requires simulating an accurate computer…

统计计算 · 统计学 2019-04-12 Tiangang Cui , Colin Fox , Michael J O'Sullivan