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In this paper we consider the problem of quickly detecting changes in an intermittent signal that can (repeatedly) switch between a normal and an anomalous state. We pose this intermittent signal detection problem as an optimal stopping…

系统与控制 · 计算机科学 2018-04-27 Jasmin James , Jason J. Ford , Timothy L. Molloy

Since the work of Page in the 1950s, the problem of detecting an abrupt change in the distribution of stochastic processes has received a great deal of attention. In particular, a deep connection has been established between Lorden's…

概率论 · 数学 2017-06-23 José E. Figueroa-López , Sveinn Ólafsson

In this paper, we investigate the optimal control problem for systems driven by mixed fractional Brownian motion (including a fractional Brownian motion with Hurst parameter $H>1/2$ and the standard Brownian motion). By using Malliavin…

最优化与控制 · 数学 2024-12-25 Yuhang Li , Yuecai Han

In this paper, we investigate two-sided bounds for the small ball probability of a mixed fractional Brownian motion with a general deterministic trend function, in terms of respective small ball probability of a mixed fractional Brownian…

概率论 · 数学 2018-06-14 Anne MacKay , Alexander Melnikov , Yuliya Mishura

This paper investigates the quickest change detection of quantum states in a universal setting: specifically, where the post-change quantum state is not known a priori. We establish the asymptotic optimality of a two-stage approach in terms…

量子物理 · 物理学 2026-04-21 Arick Grootveld , Haodong Yang , Nandan Sriranga , Biao Chen , Venkata Gandikota , Jason Pollack

The logarithmic correction for the order of the maximum for two-speed branching Brownian motion changes discontinuously when approaching slopes $\sigma_1^2=\sigma_2^2=1$ which corresponds to standard branching Brownian motion. In this…

概率论 · 数学 2019-05-21 Anton Bovier , Lisa Hartung

We study a simple singular control problem for a Brownian motion with constant drift and variance reflected at the origin. Exerting control pushes the process towards the origin and generates a concave increasing state-dependent yield which…

概率论 · 数学 2024-08-30 Adam Jonsson

The problem of sequential change diagnosis is considered, where observations are obtained on-line, an abrupt change occurs in their distribution, and the goal is to quickly detect the change and accurately identify the post-change…

统计理论 · 数学 2022-11-24 Austin Warner , Georgios Fellouris

We consider offline detection of a single changepoint in binary and count time-series. We compare exact tests based on the cumulative sum (CUSUM) and the likelihood ratio (LR) statistics, and a new proposal that combines exact two-sample…

统计方法学 · 统计学 2020-08-21 Shyamal K. De , Soumendu Sundar Mukherjee

We consider the sequential change-point detection problem of detecting changes that are characterized by a subspace structure. Such changes are frequent in high-dimensional streaming data altering the form of the corresponding covariance…

统计理论 · 数学 2018-06-29 Liyan Xie , George V. Moustakides , Yao Xie

This work focuses on moderate deviations for two-time scale systems with mixed fractional Brownian motion. Our proof uses the weak convergence method which is based on the variational representation formula for mixed fractional Brownian…

动力系统 · 数学 2024-03-13 Xiaoyu Yang , Yuzuru Inahama , Yong Xu

We study the extremes of variable speed branching Brownian motion (BBM) where the time-dependent "speed functions", which describe the time-inhomogeneous variance, converge to the identity function. We consider general speed functions lying…

概率论 · 数学 2025-03-03 Alexander Alban , Anton Bovier , Annabell Gros , Lisa Hartung

This paper solves a Bayes sequential impulse control problem for a diffusion, whose drift has an unobservable parameter with a change point. The partially-observed problem is reformulated into one with full observations, via a change of…

最优化与控制 · 数学 2014-08-19 Lokman A. Abbas-Turki , Ioannis Karatzas , Qinghua Li

In this paper we consider stochastic optimization problems for an ambiguity averse decision maker who is uncertain about the parameters of the underlying process. In a first part we consider problems of optimal stopping under drift…

计算金融 · 定量金融 2015-03-19 Sören Christensen

This paper deals with the problem of asymptotically optimal detection of changes in regime-switching stochastic models. We need to divide the whole obtained sample of data into several sub-samples with observations belonging to different…

统计理论 · 数学 2013-01-25 Boris Brodsky , Boris Darkhovsky

We explore singular second-order boundary value problems with mixed boundary conditions on a general time scale. Using the lower and upper solutions method combined with the Brouwer fixed point theorem we demonstrate the existence of a…

偏微分方程分析 · 数学 2025-06-23 Shalmali Bandyopadhyay , Curtis J Kunkel

Consider a Brownian motion on the circumference of the unit circle, which jumps to the opposite point of the circumference at incident times of an independent Poisson process of rate $\lambda$. We examine the problem of coupling two copies…

概率论 · 数学 2023-05-10 Stephen B. Connor , Roberta Merli

We consider the problem of quickest changepoint detection under the Average Run Length (ARL) constraint where the pre-change and post-change laws lie in composite families $\mathscr{P}$ and $\mathscr{Q}$ respectively. In such a problem, a…

统计理论 · 数学 2026-02-06 Ashwin Ram , Aaditya Ramdas

Consider the problem on sequential change-point detection on multiple data streams. We provide the asymptotic lower bounds of the detection delays at all levels of change-point sparsity and we derive a smaller asymptotic lower bound of the…

统计理论 · 数学 2023-06-02 Jingyan Huang

Given a standard Brownian motion $B^{\mu}=(B_t^{\mu})_{0\le t\le T}$ with drift $\mu \in IR$ and letting $g$ denote the last zero of $B^{\mu}$ before $T$, we consider the optimal prediction problem V_*=\inf_{0\le \tau \le T}\mathsf…

概率论 · 数学 2008-01-03 J. du Toit , G. Peskir , A. N. Shiryaev