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In engineering examples, one often encounters the need to sample from unnormalized distributions with complex shapes that may also be implicitly defined through a physical or numerical simulation model, making it computationally expensive…

统计方法学 · 统计学 2024-11-27 Promit Chakroborty , Michael D. Shields

In this paper, we consider the well known problem of non-linear identification of the rates of the reactions involved in cells with Monod functions. In bioprocesses, generating data is very expensive and long and so it is important to…

统计方法学 · 统计学 2024-02-08 Kévin Colin , Håkan Hjalmarsson , Véronique Chotteau

In the following article we provide an exposition of exact computational methods to perform parameter inference from partially observed network models. In particular, we consider the duplication attachment (DA) model which has a likelihood…

统计计算 · 统计学 2013-06-20 Junshan Wang , Ajay Jasra , Maria De Iorio

Metropolis algorithms are classical tools for sampling from target distributions, with broad applications in statistics and scientific computing. Their convergence speed is governed by the spectral gap of the associated Markov operator.…

概率论 · 数学 2026-04-13 Shuigen Liu , Xin T. Tong

Uncertainty estimation in deep models is essential in many real-world applications and has benefited from developments over the last several years. Recent evidence suggests that existing solutions dependent on simple Gaussian formulations…

机器学习 · 计算机科学 2022-05-11 Jurijs Nazarovs , Ronak R. Mehta , Vishnu Suresh Lokhande , Vikas Singh

Bernstein-von Mises results (BvM) establish that the Laplace approximation is asymptotically correct in the large-data limit. However, these results are inappropriate for computational purposes since they only hold over most, and not all,…

统计理论 · 数学 2019-05-01 Guillaume P. Dehaene

Central limit theorems for random walks in quenched random environments have attracted plenty of attention in the past years. More recently still, finer local limit theorems -- yielding a Gaussian density multiplied by a highly oscillatory…

概率论 · 数学 2013-03-07 Mikko Stenlund

Exponential random graph models are extremely difficult models to handle from a statistical viewpoint, since their normalising constant, which depends on model parameters, is available only in very trivial cases. We show how inference can…

应用统计 · 统计学 2010-09-30 Alberto Caimo , Nial Friel

In big data context, traditional MCMC methods, such as Metropolis-Hastings algorithms and hybrid Monte Carlo, scale poorly because of their need to evaluate the likelihood over the whole data set at each iteration. In order to resurrect…

统计计算 · 统计学 2017-06-20 Changye Wu , Christian P. Robert

Despite the enormous success of Hamiltonian Monte Carlo and related Markov Chain Monte Carlo (MCMC) methods, sampling often still represents the computational bottleneck in scientific applications. Availability of parallel resources can…

统计计算 · 统计学 2026-01-26 Jakob Robnik , Uroš Seljak

Sampling from high dimensional distributions is a computational bottleneck in many scientific applications. Hamiltonian Monte Carlo (HMC), and in particular the No-U-Turn Sampler (NUTS), are widely used, yet they struggle on problems with a…

统计计算 · 统计学 2025-05-20 Jakob Robnik , Reuben Cohn-Gordon , Uroš Seljak

The multi-point Metropolis algorithm is an advanced MCMC technique based on drawing several correlated samples at each step and choosing one of them according to some normalized weights. We propose a variation of this technique where the…

统计计算 · 统计学 2012-10-18 Luca Martino , Victor Pascual Del Olmo , Jesse Read

We describe a Bayesian approach to estimating luminosity functions. We derive the likelihood function and posterior probability distribution for the luminosity function, given the observed data, and we compare the Bayesian approach with…

天体物理学 · 物理学 2009-11-13 Brandon C. Kelly , Xiaohui Fan , Marianne Vestergaard

Lifted samplers form a class of Markov chain Monte Carlo methods which has drawn a lot attention in recent years due to superior performance in challenging Bayesian applications. A canonical example of lifted samplers is the one that is…

统计计算 · 统计学 2026-05-01 Philippe Gagnon , Florian Maire

For Bayesian computation in big data contexts, the divide-and-conquer MCMC concept splits the whole data set into batches, runs MCMC algorithms separately over each batch to produce samples of parameters, and combines them to produce an…

统计计算 · 统计学 2019-11-25 Wu Changye , Christian P. Robert

We determine the computational complexity of approximately counting and sampling independent sets of a given size in bounded-degree graphs. That is, we identify a critical density $\alpha_c(\Delta)$ and provide (i) for $\alpha <…

数据结构与算法 · 计算机科学 2023-01-26 Ewan Davies , Will Perkins

Graph-limit theory focuses on the convergence of sequences of graphs when the number of nodes becomes arbitrarily large. This framework defines a continuous version of graphs allowing for the study of dynamical systems on very large graphs,…

概率论 · 数学 2020-05-20 Julien Petit , Renaud Lambiotte , Timoteo Carletti

Implementing Bayesian inference is often computationally challenging in applications involving complex models, and sometimes calculating the likelihood itself is difficult. Synthetic likelihood is one approach for carrying out inference…

统计计算 · 统计学 2021-03-15 David T. Frazier , David J. Nott , Christopher Drovandi , Robert Kohn

The Laplace approximation is a popular method for constructing a Gaussian approximation to the Bayesian posterior and thereby approximating the posterior mean and variance. But approximation quality is a concern. One might consider using…

统计理论 · 数学 2025-06-17 Mikołaj J. Kasprzak , Ryan Giordano , Tamara Broderick

The Metropolis-Hastings algorithm allows one to sample asymptotically from any probability distribution $\pi$. There has been recently much work devoted to the development of variants of the MH update which can handle scenarios where such…

统计计算 · 统计学 2018-03-28 Christophe Andrieu , Arnaud Doucet , Sinan Yıldırım , Nicolas Chopin