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In this article we consider parametric Bayesian inference for stochastic differential equations (SDE) driven by a pure-jump stable Levy process, which is observed at high frequency. In most cases of practical interest, the likelihood…

统计理论 · 数学 2017-07-28 Ajay Jasra , Kengo Kamatani , Hiroki Masuda

We aim to improve upon the exploration of the general-purpose random walk Metropolis algorithm when the target has non-convex support $A \subset \mathbb{R}^d$, by reusing proposals in $A^c$ which would otherwise be rejected. The algorithm…

概率论 · 数学 2021-08-17 John Moriarty , Jure Vogrinc , Alessandro Zocca

Recent advances in Markov chain Monte Carlo (MCMC) extend the scope of Bayesian inference to models for which the likelihood function is intractable. Although these developments allow us to estimate model parameters, other basic problems…

统计计算 · 统计学 2019-12-12 Minh-Ngoc Tran , Marcel Scharth , David Gunawan , Robert Kohn , Scott D. Brown , Guy E. Hawkins

It is common practice to use Laplace approximations to compute marginal likelihoods in Bayesian versions of generalised linear models (GLM). Marginal likelihoods combined with model priors are then used in different search algorithms to…

统计方法学 · 统计学 2022-02-01 Jon Lachmann , Geir Storvik , Florian Frommlet , Aliaksadr Hubin

Markov chain Monte Carlo methods such as Gibbs sampling and simple forms of the Metropolis algorithm typically move about the distribution being sampled via a random walk. For the complex, high-dimensional distributions commonly encountered…

bayes-an · 物理学 2008-02-03 R. M. Neal

We examine the behaviour of the pseudo-marginal random walk Metropolis algorithm, where evaluations of the target density for the accept/reject probability are estimated rather than computed precisely. Under relatively general conditions on…

统计计算 · 统计学 2014-12-31 Chris Sherlock , Alexandre H. Thiery , Gareth O. Roberts , Jeffrey S. Rosenthal

Markov chain Monte Carlo methods are often deemed too computationally intensive to be of any practical use for big data applications, and in particular for inference on datasets containing a large number $n$ of individual data points, also…

统计方法学 · 统计学 2015-05-13 Rémi Bardenet , Arnaud Doucet , Chris Holmes

Quasi-Monte Carlo (QMC) methods for estimating integrals are attractive since the resulting estimators typically converge at a faster rate than pseudo-random Monte Carlo. However, they can be difficult to set up on arbitrary posterior…

统计理论 · 数学 2018-10-03 Tobias Schwedes , Ben Calderhead

Markov Chain Monte Carlo (MCMC) methods have a drawback when working with a target distribution or likelihood function that is computationally expensive to evaluate, specially when working with big data. This paper focuses on…

机器学习 · 计算机科学 2019-10-22 Asif J. Chowdhury , Gabriel Terejanu

Deterministic compartmental models are predominantly used in the modeling of infectious diseases, though stochastic models are considered more realistic, yet are complicated to estimate due to missing data. In this paper we present a novel…

统计计算 · 统计学 2022-06-22 Shuying Wang , Stephen G. Walker

The ability to generate samples of the random effects from their conditional distributions is fundamental for inference in mixed effects models. Random walk Metropolis is widely used to perform such sampling, but this method is known to…

统计方法学 · 统计学 2019-10-29 Belhal Karimi , Marc Lavielle , Eric Moulines

This paper proposes a new sampling scheme based on Langevin dynamics that is applicable within pseudo-marginal and particle Markov chain Monte Carlo algorithms. We investigate this algorithm's theoretical properties under standard…

统计方法学 · 统计学 2016-05-30 Christopher Nemeth , Chris Sherlock , Paul Fearnhead

This paper deals with some computational aspects in the Bayesian analysis of statistical models with intractable normalizing constants. In the presence of intractable normalizing constants in the likelihood function, traditional MCMC…

统计计算 · 统计学 2008-04-22 Yves Atchade , Nicolas Lartillot , Christian P. Robert

Bayesian inference via standard Markov Chain Monte Carlo (MCMC) methods is too computationally intensive to handle large datasets, since the cost per step usually scales like $\Theta(n)$ in the number of data points $n$. We propose the…

The ability to generate samples of the random effects from their conditional distributions is fundamental for inference in mixed effects models. Random walk Metropolis is widely used to conduct such sampling, but such a method can converge…

应用统计 · 统计学 2019-10-29 Belhal Karimi , Marc Lavielle

One main limitation of the existing optimal scaling results for Metropolis--Hastings algorithms is that the assumptions on the target distribution are unrealistic. In this paper, we consider optimal scaling of random-walk Metropolis…

统计计算 · 统计学 2020-05-05 Jun Yang , Gareth O. Roberts , Jeffrey S. Rosenthal

In this paper, we examine the computational complexity of sampling from a Bayesian posterior (or pseudo-posterior) using the Metropolis-adjusted Langevin algorithm (MALA). MALA first employs a discrete-time Langevin SDE to propose a new…

统计理论 · 数学 2024-05-10 Rong Tang , Yun Yang

The term ``sequential Monte Carlo methods'' or, equivalently, ``particle filters,'' refers to a general class of iterative algorithms that performs Monte Carlo approximations of a given sequence of distributions of interest (\pi_t). We…

统计理论 · 数学 2007-06-13 Nicolas Chopin

This paper discusses the challenges presented by tall data problems associated with Bayesian classification (specifically binary classification) and the existing methods to handle them. Current methods include parallelizing the likelihood,…

统计方法学 · 统计学 2017-03-22 Richard D. Payne , Bani K. Mallick

Recent likelihood theory produces $p$-values that have remarkable accuracy and wide applicability. The calculations use familiar tools such as maximum likelihood values (MLEs), observed information and parameter rescaling. The usual…

统计方法学 · 统计学 2008-02-08 M. Bédard , D. A. S. Fraser , A. Wong