应用统计
Biomarker measurements obtained by blood sampling are often used as a non-invasive means of monitoring tumour progression in cancer patients. Diseases evolve dynamically over time, and studying longitudinal observations of specific…
We explore the causal relationship between COVID-19 lockdown policies and changes in personal computer usage. In particular, we examine how lockdown policies affected average daily computer usage, as well as how it affected usage patterns…
This analysis derives the maximum likelihood estimator and applies Bayesian inference to model geometric Brownian motion, incorporating jump diffusion to account for sudden market shifts. The Bayesian approach is implemented using Markov…
For the 2024 U.S. presidential election, would negative, digital ads against Donald Trump impact voter turnout in Pennsylvania (PA), a key "tipping point'' state? The gold standard to address this question, a randomized experiment where…
Contributions from photosynthesis and other natural components of the carbon cycle present the largest uncertainties in our understanding of carbon dioxide (CO$_2$) sources and sinks. While the global spatiotemporal distribution of the net…
The motivation of this article is to estimate multifractality classification and model selection parameters: the first-order scaling exponent $c_1$ and the second-order scaling exponent (or intermittency coefficient) $c_2$. These exponents…
In medical research, understanding changes in outcome measurements is crucial for inferring shifts in health conditions. However, traditional methods often struggle with large, irregularly longitudinal data and fail to account for the…
National forest inventory (NFI) data are often costly to collect, which inhibits efforts to estimate parameters of interest for small spatial, temporal, or biophysical domains. Traditionally, design-based estimators are used to estimate…
Objectives: To examine the distribution, temporal associations, and age/sex-specific patterns of multiple long-term conditions (MLTCs) in adults with intellectual disability (ID). Study Design: Observational study using longitudinal…
National Highway Traffic Safety Administration reported 7,345 pedestrian fatalities in the United States in 2022, making pedestrian safety a pressing issue in urban mobility. This study presents a novel probabilistic simulation framework…
Basketball analytics has significantly advanced our understanding of the game, with shot selection emerging as a critical factor in both individual and team performance. With the advent of player tracking technologies, a wealth of granular…
This paper proposes Bayesian Adaptive Trials (BAT) as both an efficient method to conduct trials and a unifying framework for evaluation social policy interventions, addressing limitations inherent in traditional methods such as Randomized…
We present a replication and correction of a recent article (Ramirez, P., Reade, J.J., Singleton, C., Betting on a buzz: Mispricing and inefficiency in online sportsbooks, International Journal of Forecasting, 39:3, 2023, pp. 1413-1423,…
This study explores information measures based on extropy, introducing dynamic relative extropy measures for residual and past lifetimes, and investigating their various properties. Furthermore, the study analyzes the relationships between…
Nondestructive one-shot device (NOSD) testing plays a crucial role in engineering, particularly in the reliability assessment of high-stakes systems such as aerospace components, medical devices, and semiconductor technologies. Accurate…
Computable phenotypes are used to characterize patients and identify outcomes in studies conducted using healthcare claims and electronic health record data. Chart review studies establish reference labels against which computable…
Due to the increasing complexity and interconnectedness of different components in modern automotive software systems there is a great number of interactions between these system components and their environment. These interactions result…
The current method for forensic analysis of bullet comparison relies on manual examination by forensic examiners to determine if bullets were discharged from the same firearm. This process is highly subjective, prompting the development of…
Accurate and reliable bus travel time prediction in real-time is essential for improving the operational efficiency of public transportation systems. However, this remains a challenging task due to the limitations of existing models and…
The Oaxaca-Blinder decomposition is a widely used method to explain social disparities. However, assigning causal meaning to its estimated components requires strong assumptions that often lack explicit justification. This article…