SPIRIT：基于基础模型实现零样本迁移的太阳红外辐射短期预测
核实验
2025-02-17 v1 天体物理仪器与方法
摘要
传统的太阳辐射预测模型依赖于数年乃至五年以上站点特定的历史数据，而这些数据对于新建的光伏农场往往不可得。鉴于可再生能源的高度间歇性，构建精准的太阳辐射预测系统对高效电网管理至关重要，这也是实现联合国净零目标不可或缺的步骤。本文提出 SPIRIT，一种新颖的方法，利用基础模型进行太阳辐射预测，使其适用于新兴的太阳能安装。我们的方法在零样本迁移学习中约高出 70% 的 SOTA 模型，使其在无需任何历史数据的情况下即可在新位置实现有效性能。随着更多地点特定数据可获取，进一步通过 fine-tuning 获得性能提升。这些发现均通过统计显著性验证，进一步确认了我们方法的有效性。SPIRIT 标志着快速、可扩展且具有适应性的太阳预测解决方案的关键一步，推动了可再生能源在全球电力系统中的融合。
引用
@article{arxiv.2502.10306,
title = {Neutron capture measurements for s-process nucleosynthesis; A review about CERN n_TOF developments and contributions},
author = {C. Domingo-Pardo and O. Aberle and V. Alcayne and G. Alpar and M. Al Halabi and S. Amaducci and V. Babiano and M. Bacak and J. Balibrea-Correa and J. Bartolomé and A. P. Bernardes and B. Bernardino Gameiro and E. Berthoumieux and R. Beyer and M. Birch and M. Boromiza and D. Bosnar and B. Brusasco and M. Caamaño and A. Cahuzac and F. Calviño and M. Calviani and D. Cano-Ott and A. Casanovas and D. M. Castelluccio and D. Catlett and F. Cerutti and G. Cescutti and E. Chiaveri and G. Claps and P. Colombetti and N. Colonna and P. Console Camprini and G. Cortés and M. A. Cortés-Giraldo and L. Cosentino and S. Cristallo and A. D'Ottavi and G. de la Fuente Rosales and S. F. Dellmann and M. Diakaki and M. Di Castro and A. Di Chicco and M. Dietz and E. Dupont and I. Durán and Z. Eleme and M. Eslami and S. Fargier and B. Fernández-Domínguez and P. Finocchiaro and W. Flanagan and V. Furman and A. Gandhi and F. García-Infantes and A. Gawlik-Ramiega and G. Gervino and S. Gilardoni and E. González-Romero and S. Goula and E. Griesmayer and C. Guerrero and F. Gunsing and C. Gustavino and J. Heyse and W. Hillman and D. G. Jenkins and E. Jericha and A. Junghans and Y. Kadi and K. Kaperoni and I. Kelly and M. Kokkoris and Y. Kopatch and M. Krtička and N. Kyritsis and C. Lederer-Woods and J. Lerendegui-Marco and A. Manna and T. Martínez and M. Martínez-Cañada and A. Masi and C. Massimi and P. Mastinu and M. Mastromarco and E. A. Maugeri and A. Mazzone and E. Mendoza and A. Mengoni and V. Michalopoulou and P. M. Milazzo and J. Moldenhauer and R. Mucciola and E. Musacchio González and A. Musumarra and A. Negret and E. Odusina and D. Papanikolaou and N. Patronis and J. A. Pavón-Rodríguez and M. G. Pellegriti and P. Pérez-Maroto and A. Pérez de Rada Fiol and G. Perfetto and J. Perkowski and C. Petrone and N. Pieretti and L. Piersanti and E. Pirovano and I. Porras and J. Praena and J. M. Quesada and R. Reifarth and D. Rochman and Y. Romanets and A. Rooney and G. Rovira and C. Rubbia and A. Sánchez-Caballero and R. N. Sahoo and D. Scarpa and P. Schillebeeckx and A. G. Smith and N. V. Sosnin and M. Spelta and M. E. Stamati and K. Stasiak and G. Tagliente and A. Tarifeño-Saldivia and D. Tarrío and P. Torres-Sánchez and S. Tosi and G. Tsiledakis and S. Valenta and P. Vaz and G. Vecchio and D. Vescovi and V. Vlachoudis and R. Vlastou and A. Wallner and C. Weiss and P. J. Woods and T. Wright and R. Wu and P. Žugec and The n\_TOF Collaboration},
journal= {arXiv preprint arXiv:2502.10306},
year = {2025}
}
备注
submitted to Eur. Phys. Jour. Topical Collection