中文

聊聊天气:一种基于聚类的天气预报准确性研究方法

应用统计 2023-03-16 v1

摘要

增进对美国天气预报准确性相关特征的理解,有助于气象学家做出更精准的预测,也能帮助美国人更好地解读每日天气预报。本文考察了美国各地的时空特征与预报准确性之间的关系。我们基于天气和地理特征将美国划分为六个气象区域,并分析各气象区域内预报准确性的模式。随后,我们探究了这些气象区域内气候特征与预报准确性之间的关系。我们得出结论:预报误差的模式与刻画各区域的独特气候密切相关。

关键词

引用

@article{arxiv.2303.05484,
  title  = {Let's talk about the weather: A cluster-based approach to weather forecast accuracy},
  author = {Jill Lundell and Brennan Bean and Juergen Symanzik},
  journal= {arXiv preprint arXiv:2303.05484},
  year   = {2023}
}

备注

16 pages, 8 figures, presented at JSM 2018, submitted to and accepted at Statistical Computing (not published yet). Similar paper published in JSM 2018 conference proceedings