中文

BOOST: Power-Optimal Strong-FWER Testing for Block-Structured Multiplicity

统计方法学 2026-05-28 v1

摘要

Structured multiple-testing problems (gatekeeping trials, dose-finding, multi-tissue eQTL mapping, bundled-challenger A/B experiments) organize hypotheses into design-imposed blocks and demand strong family-wise error rate (FWER) control for confirmatory claims. Practitioners currently use objective-agnostic stepwise rules (Bonferroni, Holm, Hochberg, Hommel), closed-testing and graphical extensions, or hierarchical and resampling methods; none is power-optimal within the block-separable class these designs induce. We introduce BOOST (Block-Optimal Objective-driven Strong-FWER Testing), the power-optimal strong-FWER procedure for block size three, with three guarantees: (i) finite-sample strong-FWER validity at O(K)O(K) cost (versus O(K2)O(K^2) for general closed testing) without independence assumptions, with a strict Sidak improvement under cross-block independence; (ii) power-optimal allocation across heterogeneous blocks via an equalized-marginal KKT condition, solvable by bisection in O(Blog(1/ε))O(B\log(1/\varepsilon)); and (iii) a sample-split plug-in variant for unknown alternative density gg, attaining α\alpha-control up to O(BTEgg^)O(B_T \mathbb E\|g-\widehat g\|_\infty) inflation with per-hypothesis power deficit independent of BTB_T. Simulations across independent, equicorrelated, sparse, and mis-specified regimes show 1.4-1.7×\times power gains over the strongest existing baseline at calibrated FWER. On two published datasets (BLUEPRINT cross-lineage cis-eQTL and Upworthy bundled-challenger A/B experiments), BOOST certifies an order of magnitude more full-block discoveries than existing baselines at controlled FWER.

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引用

@article{arxiv.2605.27664,
  title  = {BOOST: Power-Optimal Strong-FWER Testing for Block-Structured Multiplicity},
  author = {Prasanjit Dubey and Xiaoming Huo},
  journal= {arXiv preprint arXiv:2605.27664},
  year   = {2026}
}