Related papers: The trap of complacency in predicting the maximum
We study the extremes of variable speed branching Brownian motion (BBM) where the time-dependent "speed functions", which describe the time-inhomogeneous variance, converge to the identity function. We consider general speed functions lying…
We address the problem of optimizing a Brownian motion. We consider a (random) realization $W$ of a Brownian motion with input space in $[0,1]$. Given $W$, our goal is to return an $\epsilon$-approximation of its maximum using the smallest…
In this paper, we investigate the optimal control problem for systems driven by mixed fractional Brownian motion (including a fractional Brownian motion with Hurst parameter $H>1/2$ and the standard Brownian motion). By using Malliavin…
In this note we investigate the behaviour of Brownian motion conditioned on a growth constraint of its local time which has been previously investigated by Berestycki and Benjamini. For a class of non-decreasing positive functions $f(t);…
We present a new deep primal-dual backward stochastic differential equation framework based on stopping time iteration to solve optimal stopping problems. A novel loss function is proposed to learn the conditional expectation, which…
We formulate and solve a free target optimal Brownian stopping problem from a given distribution while the target distribution is free and is conditioned to satisfy a given density height constraint. The free target optimization problem…
The present paper studies a kind of robust optimization problems with constraint. The problem is formulated through Backward Stochastic Differential Equations (BSDEs) with quadratic generators. A necessary condition is established for the…
Consider a large system of $N$ Brownian motions in $\R ^d$ fixed on a time interval $[0,\beta]$ with symmetrized initial and terminal conditions, under the influence of a trap potential. Such systems describe systems of bosons at positive…
Let $W$ be a standard Brownian motion with $W_0 = 0$ and let $b\colon[0,\infty) \to \mathbb{R}$ be a continuous function with $b(0) > 0$. In this article, we look at the classical First Passage Time (FPT) problem, i.e., the question of…
The purpose of the article is twofold. Firstly, we review some recent results on the maximum likelihood estimation in the regression model of the form $X_t = \theta G(t) + B_t$, where $B$ is a Gaussian process, $G(t)$ is a known function,…
The problem of stopping a Brownian bridge with an unknown pinning point to maximise the expected value at the stopping time is studied. A few general properties, such as continuity and various bounds of the value function, are established.…
We propose and analyze a continuous-time robust reinforcement learning framework for optimal stopping under ambiguity. In this framework, an agent chooses a robust exploratory stopping time motivated by two objectives: robust…
The joint distribution of maximum increase and decrease for Brownian motion up to an independent exponential time is computed. This is achieved by decomposing the Brownian path at the hitting times of the infimum and the supremum before the…
A random walk (or a Wiener process), possibly with drift, is observed in a noisy or delayed fashion. The problem considered in this paper is to estimate the first time \tau the random walk reaches a given level. Specifically, the p-moment…
In this short note we will provide a sufficient and necessary condition to have uniqueness of the location of the maximum of a stochastic process over an interval. The result will also express the mean value of the location in terms of the…
In this paper, we develop an interior-point method for solving a class of convex optimization problems with time-varying objective and constraint functions. Using log-barrier penalty functions, we propose a continuous-time dynamical system…
We study the properties of the free boundaries and the corresponding hitting times in the context of optimal stopping in discrete time. We first prove the continuity of the map from the boundaries to the expected value of the corresponding…
In this paper, we study the optimal stopping problem in the case where the reward is given by a family $(\phi(\tau ),\;\;\tau \in \stopo)$ of non negative random variables indexed by predictable stopping times. We treat the problem by means…
In this paper we consider the iterated Brownian motion $ ^{\mu_1}_{\mu_2}\!I(t) = B_1^{\mu_1} ( | B_{2}^{\mu_2} (t)|) $ where $B_j^{\mu_j} , j=1,2$ are two independent Brownian motions with drift $\mu_j$. Here we study the last zero…
We consider a class of time-inhomogeneous optimal stopping problems and we provide sufficient conditions on the data of the problem that guarantee monotonicity of the optimal stopping boundary. In our setting, time-inhomogeneity stems not…