Related papers: Maximum Variation of Total Risk

In the continuous time mean-variance model, we want to minimize the variance (risk) of the investment portfolio with a given mean at terminal time. However, the investor can stop the investment plan at any time before the terminal time. To…

Foster and Hart proposed an operational measure of riskiness for discrete random variables. We show that their defining equation has no solution for many common continuous distributions including many uniform distributions, e.g. We show how…

Estimates for $Z_2(s) = \int_1^|infty |\zeta(1/2+ix)|^4x^{-s}dx (\Re s > 1)$ are discussed, both pointwise and in mean square. It is shown how these estimates can be used to bound $E_2(T)$, the error term in the asymptotic formula for…

An approximate maximum likelihood method of estimation of diffusion parameters $(\vartheta,\sigma)$ based on discrete observations of a diffusion $X$ along fixed time-interval $[0,T]$ and Euler approximation of integrals is analyzed. We…

We investigate the extreme values of the Riemann zeta function $\zeta(s)$. On the 1-line, we obtain a lower bound evaluation $$\max_{t\in[1,T]}|\zeta(1+\i t)|\ge {\rm e}^\gamma(\log_2T+\log_3T+c),$$ with an effective constant $c$ which…

Consider the extreme value of a Bernoulli random walk on the one-dimensional integer lattice, with reflection at 0, over a finite discrete time interval. Only the asymmetric (biased) case is discussed. Asymptotic mean/variance results are…

Consider a sequence of polynomials of bounded degree evaluated in independent Gaussian, Gamma or Beta random variables. We show that, if this sequence converges in law to a nonconstant distribution, then (i) the limit distribution is…

We extend temporal-difference (TD) learning in order to obtain risk-sensitive, model-free reinforcement learning algorithms. This extension can be regarded as modification of the Rescorla-Wagner rule, where the (sigmoidal) stimulus is taken…

We revisit the problem of estimating the mean of a real-valued distribution, presenting a novel estimator with sub-Gaussian convergence: intuitively, "our estimator, on any distribution, is as accurate as the sample mean is for the Gaussian…

This paper investigates the finite-sample prediction risk of the high-dimensional least squares estimator. We derive the central limit theorem for the prediction risk when both the sample size and the number of features tend to infinity.…

We establish the first known upper bound on the exact and Wyner's common information of $n$ continuous random variables in terms of the dual total correlation between them (which is a generalization of mutual information). In particular, we…

A one dimensional diffusion process $X=\{X_t, 0\leq t \leq T\}$, with drift $b(x)$ and diffusion coefficient $\sigma(\theta, x)=\sqrt{\theta} \sigma(x)$ known up to $\theta>0$, is supposed to switch volatility regime at some point $t^*\in…

In this paper, we establish lower bounds for the maximum of derivatives of the Riemann zeta function on vertical homogeneous progressions. When the real part $\sigma$ lies within a suitable range, we show that the discrete case has a…

We prove the leading order of a conjecture by Fyodorov, Hiary and Keating, about the maximum of the Riemann zeta function on random intervals along the critical line. More precisely, as $T \rightarrow \infty$ for a set of $t \in [T, 2T]$ of…

The variation of a martingale $p_0^k=p_0,...,p_k$ of probabilities on a finite (or countable) set $X$ is denoted $V(p_0^k)$ and defined by $V(p_0^k)=E(\sum_{t=1}^k|p_t-p_{t-1}|_1)$. It is shown that $V(p_0^k)\leq \sqrt{2kH(p_0)}$, where…

Let $Z$ be a random variable with values in a proper closed convex cone $C\subset \mathbb{R}^d$, $A$ a random endomorphism of $C$ and $N$ a random integer. We assume that $Z$, $A$, $N$ are independent. Given $N$ independent copies…

Let $V$ be an $n$-set, and let $X$ be a random variable taking values in the powerset of $V$. Suppose we are given a sequence of random coupons $X_1, X_2, \ldots $, where the $X_i$ are independent random variables with distribution given by…

We consider a one-dimensional stationary time series of fixed duration $T$. We investigate the time $t_{\rm m}$ at which the process reaches the global maximum within the time interval $[0,T]$. By using a path-decomposition technique, we…

The tight upper bound $\operatorname{pt}_+(G) \leq \left\lceil \frac{\left\vert \operatorname{V}(G) \right\vert - \operatorname{Z}_+(G)}{2} \right\rceil$ is established for the positive semidefinite propagation time of a graph in terms of…

We study the rank of the instantaneous or spot covariance matrix $\Sigma_X(t)$ of a multidimensional continuous semi-martingale $X(t)$. Given high-frequency observations $X(i/n)$, $i=0,\ldots,n$, we test the null hypothesis…