English

Estimating a class of diffusions from discrete observations via approximate maximum likelihood method

Statistics Theory 2018-08-21 v2 Statistics Theory

Abstract

An approximate maximum likelihood method of estimation of diffusion parameters (ϑ,σ)(\vartheta,\sigma) based on discrete observations of a diffusion XX along fixed time-interval [0,T][0,T] and Euler approximation of integrals is analyzed. We assume that XX satisfies a SDE of form dXt=μ(Xt,ϑ)dt+σb(Xt)dWtdX_t =\mu (X_t ,\vartheta )\, dt+\sqrt{\sigma} b(X_t )\, dW_t, with non-random initial condition. SDE is nonlinear in ϑ\vartheta generally. Based on assumption that maximum likelihood estimator ϑ^T\hat{\vartheta}_T of the drift parameter based on continuous observation of a path over [0,T][0,T] exists we prove that measurable estimator (ϑ^n,T,σ^n,T)(\hat{\vartheta}_{n,T},\hat{\sigma}_{n,T}) of the parameters obtained from discrete observations of XX along [0,T][0,T] by maximization of the approximate log-likelihood function exists, σ^n,T\hat{\sigma}_{n,T} being consistent and asymptotically normal, and ϑ^n,Tϑ^T\hat{\vartheta}_{n,T}-\hat{\vartheta}_T tends to zero with rate δn,T\sqrt{\delta}_{n,T} in probability when δn,T=max0i<n(ti+1ti)\delta_{n,T} =\max_{0\leq i<n}(t_{i+1}-t_i ) tends to zero with TT fixed. The same holds in case of an ergodic diffusion when TT goes to infinity in a way that TδnT\delta_n goes to zero with equidistant sampling, and we applied these to show consistency and asymptotical normality of ϑ^n,T\hat{\vartheta}_{n,T}, σ^n,T\hat{\sigma}_{n,T} and asymptotic efficiency of ϑ^n,T\hat{\vartheta}_{n,T} in this case.

Keywords

Cite

@article{arxiv.1607.06699,
  title  = {Estimating a class of diffusions from discrete observations via approximate maximum likelihood method},
  author = {Miljenko Huzak},
  journal= {arXiv preprint arXiv:1607.06699},
  year   = {2018}
}

Comments

Title changed, and in Section 5 one more example added

R2 v1 2026-06-22T15:01:43.758Z