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In light of the power problems of statistical tests and undisciplined use of alpha-based statistics to compare models, this paper proposes a unified set of distance-based performance metrics, derived as the square root of the sum of squared…

Portfolio Management · Quantitative Finance 2018-03-06 Zhongzhi Lawrence He

We study U.S. Treasury yield curve forecasting under distributional uncertainty and recast forecasting as an operations research and managerial decision problem. Rather than minimizing average forecast error, the forecaster selects a…

Mathematical Finance · Quantitative Finance 2026-01-09 Jinjun Liu , Ming-Yen Cheng

In this paper, we implement a stochastic deflator with five economic and financial risk factors: interest rates, market price of risk, stock prices, default intensities, and convenience yields. We examine the deflator with different…

Risk Management · Quantitative Finance 2019-02-18 Po-Keng Cheng , Frédéric Planchet

The purpose of the present paper is to incorporate stochastic interest rates into a matrix-approach to multi-state life insurance, where formulas for reserves, moments of future payments and equivalence premiums can be obtained as explicit…

Risk Management · Quantitative Finance 2022-11-18 Jamaal Ahmad , Mogens Bladt

In the accompanied paper [14], a delayed nonlinear model for pricing corporate liabilities was developed. Using self-financed strategy and duplication we were able to derive two Random Partial Differential Equations (RPDEs) describing the…

Numerical Analysis · Mathematics 2013-04-09 Elisabeth Kemajou , Antoine Tambue , Salah Mohammed

Pricing interest-rate financial derivatives is a major problem in finance, in which it is crucial to accurately reproduce the time-evolution of interest rates. Several stochastic dynamics have been proposed in the literature to model either…

Researchers are more likely to share notable findings. As a result, published findings tend to overstate the magnitude of real-world phenomena. This bias is a natural concern for asset pricing research, which has found hundreds of return…

General Finance · Quantitative Finance 2023-09-22 Andrew Y. Chen , Tom Zimmermann

Financial literature consists of ample research on similarity and comparison of financial assets and securities such as stocks, bonds, mutual funds, etc. However, going beyond correlations or aggregate statistics has been arduous since…

Computational Finance · Quantitative Finance 2022-10-27 Jerinsh Jeyapaulraj , Dhruv Desai , Peter Chu , Dhagash Mehta , Stefano Pasquali , Philip Sommer

The purpose of this paper is to study the generalized Fong--Vasicek two-factor interest rate model with stochastic volatility. In this model the dispersion of the stochastic short rate (square of volatility) is assumed to be stochastic as…

Statistical Finance · Quantitative Finance 2008-12-10 B. Stehlikova , D. Sevcovic

This paper develops an inferential theory for state-varying factor models of large dimensions. Unlike constant factor models, loadings are general functions of some recurrent state process. We develop an estimator for the latent factors and…

Econometrics · Economics 2020-10-20 Markus Pelger , Ruoxuan Xiong

We study prior-independent pricing for selling a single item to a single buyer when the seller observes only a single sample from the valuation distribution, while the buyer knows the distribution. Classical robust pricing approaches either…

Computer Science and Game Theory · Computer Science 2026-02-23 Zhihao Gavin Tang , Yixin Tao , Shixin Wang

In this paper we introduce a simple continuous-time asset pricing framework, based on general multi-dimensional diffusion processes, that combines semi-analytic pricing with a nonlinear specification for the market price of risk. Our…

Statistical Finance · Quantitative Finance 2009-11-06 Aleksandar Mijatovic , Paul Schneider

This paper examines how risk and budget limits on investment mandates affect the bidding strategy in a uniform-price auction for issuing corporate bonds. I prove the existence of symmetric Bayesian Nash equilibrium and explore how the risk…

General Economics · Economics 2023-06-13 Labrini Zarpala

A large class of stochastic programs involve optimizing an expectation taken with respect to an underlying distribution that is unknown in practice. One popular approach to addressing the distributional uncertainty, known as the…

Optimization and Control · Mathematics 2017-08-30 Di Wu , Helin Zhu , Enlu Zhou

In stochastic multi-factor commodity models, it is often the case that futures prices are explained by two latent state variables which represent the short and long term stochastic factors. In this work, we develop the family of stochastic…

Statistical Finance · Quantitative Finance 2024-10-01 Peilun He , Nino Kordzakhia , Gareth W. Peters , Pavel V. Shevchenko

We study the continuous time portfolio optimization model on the market where the mean returns of individual securities or asset categories are linearly dependent on underlying economic factors. We introduce the functional $Q_\gamma$…

Portfolio Management · Quantitative Finance 2015-01-29 O. S. Rozanova , G. S. Kambarbaeva

In the paper we compare the modelling ability of discrete-time multivariate Stochastic Volatility models to describe the conditional correlations between stock index returns. We consider four trivariate SV models, which differ in the…

Data Analysis, Statistics and Probability · Physics 2008-12-02 Anna Pajor

There has been considerable recent interest in Bayesian modeling of high-dimensional networks via latent space approaches. When the number of nodes increases, estimation based on Markov Chain Monte Carlo can be extremely slow and show poor…

Computation · Statistics 2022-05-30 Emanuele Aliverti , Massimiliano Russo

In this manuscript we propose a method for pricing insurance products that cover not only traditional risks, but also unforeseen ones. By considering the Poisson process parameter to be a mixed random variable, we capture the heterogeneity…

General Finance · Quantitative Finance 2020-08-10 Weihong Ni , Corina Constantinescu , Alfredo Egídio dos Reis , Véronique Maume-Deschamps

Financial institutions and insurance companies that analyze the evolution and sources of profits and losses often look at risk factors only at discrete reporting dates, ignoring the detailed paths. Continuous-time decompositions avoid this…

Mathematical Finance · Quantitative Finance 2024-12-20 Gero Junike , Hauke Stier , Marcus C. Christiansen
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