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In this paper, we study the exponential utility indifference pricing of pure endowment policies within a stochastic-factor model for an insurer who also invests in a financial market. Our framework incorporates a hazard rate modeled as an…

Portfolio Management · Quantitative Finance 2025-07-30 Alessandra Cretarola , Benedetta Salterini

The paper deals with a generalization of the risk model with stochastic premiums where dividends are paid according to a multi-layer dividend strategy. First of all, we derive piecewise integro-differential equations for the Gerber--Shiu…

Probability · Mathematics 2019-12-19 Olena Ragulina

Because the asset value of a private company does not observable except in quarterly reports, the structural model has not been developed for a private company. For this reason, this paper attempt to develop the Merton's structural model…

Mathematical Finance · Quantitative Finance 2022-08-04 Battulga Gankhuu

At the core of insurance business lies classification between risky and non-risky insureds, actuarial fairness meaning that risky insureds should contribute more and pay a higher premium than non-risky or less-risky ones. Actuaries,…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2022-12-27 Vincent Grari , Arthur Charpentier , Marcin Detyniecki

A new framework for asset price dynamics is introduced in which the concept of noisy information about future cash flows is used to derive the price processes. In this framework an asset is defined by its cash-flow structure. Each cash flow…

Pricing of Securities · Quantitative Finance 2013-01-31 Dorje C. Brody , Lane P. Hughston , Andrea Macrina

Modeling and characterizing multiple factors is perhaps the most important step in achieving excess returns over market benchmarks. Both academia and industry are striving to find new factors that have good explanatory power for future…

Computational Finance · Quantitative Finance 2022-10-31 Zikai Wei , Bo Dai , Dahua Lin

We propose a combined model, which integrates the latent factor model and the logistic regression model, for the citation network. It is noticed that neither a latent factor model nor a logistic regression model alone is sufficient to…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2019-12-03 Namjoon Suh , Xiaoming Huo , Eric Heim , Lee Seversky

We propose an explainable regime-aware portfolio construction framework based on a strictly causal Wasserstein Hidden Markov Model. The model combines rolling Gaussian HMM inference with predictive model-order selection and template-based…

Portfolio Management · Quantitative Finance 2026-03-06 Amine Boukardagha

Instabilities in the price dynamics of a large number of financial assets are a clear sign of systemic events. By investigating a set of 20 high cap stocks traded at the Italian Stock Exchange, we find that there is a large number of high…

Statistical Finance · Quantitative Finance 2013-03-12 Giacomo Bormetti , Lucio Maria Calcagnile , Michele Treccani , Fulvio Corsi , Stefano Marmi , Fabrizio Lillo

We develop Probabilistic Targeted Factor Analysis (PTFA), a likelihood-based framework for constructing latent factors that are explicitly targeted to variables of economic interest. PTFA provides a probabilistic foundation for Partial…

Econometrics · Economics 2026-01-12 Miguel C. Herculano , Santiago Montoya-Blandón

Factor analysis is a statistical technique employed to evaluate how observed variables correlate through common factors and unique variables. While it is often used to analyze price movement in the unstable stock market, it does not always…

Statistical Finance · Quantitative Finance 2014-08-13 Angela Gu , Patrick Zeng

We study a discrete-time consumption-based capital asset pricing model under expectations-based reference-dependent preferences. More precisely, we consider an endowment economy populated by a representative agent who derives utility from…

Mathematical Finance · Quantitative Finance 2024-01-24 Luca De Gennaro Aquino , Xuedong He , Moris Simon Strub , Yuting Yang

In the realm of stock prediction, machine learning models encounter considerable obstacles due to the inherent low signal-to-noise ratio and the nonstationary nature of financial markets. These challenges often result in spurious…

Portfolio Management · Quantitative Finance 2025-03-28 Songci Xu , Qiangqiang Cheng , Chi-Guhn Lee

We study the optimal investment and proportional reinsurance problem of an insurance company, whose investment preferences are described via a forward dynamic utility of exponential type in a stochastic factor model allowing for a possible…

Mathematical Finance · Quantitative Finance 2022-10-20 Katia Colaneri , Alessandra Cretarola , Benedetta Salterini

In this study, we introduce new estimation methods for the required rate of return of the stochastic dividend discount model (DDM) and the private company valuation model, which will appear below. To estimate the required rate of return, we…

General Finance · Quantitative Finance 2022-07-07 Battulga Gankhuu

We demonstrate that machine learning methods provide a powerful framework for modelling conditional asymmetric risk. Using a large cross-section of US stocks and a comprehensive set of firm characteristics, we show that allowing for…

Pricing of Securities · Quantitative Finance 2026-04-28 Thomas Conlon , John Cotter , Iason Kynigakis

We formulate a discrete-time Bayesian stochastic volatility model for high-frequency stock-market data that directly accounts for microstructure noise, and outline a Markov chain Monte Carlo algorithm for parameter estimation. The methods…

Applications · Statistics 2016-02-02 Georgi Dinolov , Abel Rodriguez , Hongyun Wang

We consider a firm that sells a large number of products to its customers in an online fashion. Each product is described by a high dimensional feature vector, and the market value of a product is assumed to be linear in the values of its…

Computer Science and Game Theory · Computer Science 2017-04-26 Adel Javanmard

We are looking for the agent-based treatment of the financial markets considering necessity to build bridges between microscopic, agent based, and macroscopic, phenomenological modeling. The acknowledgment that agent-based modeling…

Statistical Finance · Quantitative Finance 2019-01-01 V. Gontis , A. Kononovicius

An important question in economics is how people choose between different payments in the future. The classical normative model predicts that a decision maker discounts a later payment relative to an earlier one by an exponential function…

Theoretical Economics · Economics 2020-01-09 Alexander T. I. Adamou , Yonatan Berman , Diomides P. Mavroyiannis , Ole B. Peters
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