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The article presents a general discrete time dividend valuation model when the dividend growth rate is a general continuous variable. The main assumption is that the dividend growth rate follows a discrete time semi-Markov chain with…

Mathematical Finance · Quantitative Finance 2016-05-10 Guglielmo D'Amico

We propose a new non-linear single-factor asset pricing model $r_{it}=h(f_{t}\lambda_{i})+\epsilon_{it}$. Despite its parsimony, this model represents exactly any non-linear model with an arbitrary number of factors and loadings -- a…

General Finance · Quantitative Finance 2024-04-15 Nicola Borri , Denis Chetverikov , Yukun Liu , Aleh Tsyvinski

Drifts of asset returns are notoriously difficult to model accurately and, yet, trading strategies obtained from portfolio optimization are very sensitive to them. To mitigate this well-known phenomenon we study robust growth-optimization…

Mathematical Finance · Quantitative Finance 2026-01-01 Balint Binkert , David Itkin , Paul Mangers Bastian , Josef Teichmann

We discuss the finding that cross-sectional characteristic based models have yielded portfolios with higher excess monthly returns but lower risk than their arbitrage pricing theory counterparts in an analysis of equity returns of stocks…

Pricing of Securities · Quantitative Finance 2016-02-18 D. L. Wilcox , T. J. Gebbie

We consider a generalization of the Heath Jarrow Morton model for the term structure of interest rates where the forward rate is driven by Paretian fluctuations. We derive a generalization of It\^{o}'s lemma for the calculation of a…

Other Condensed Matter · Physics 2008-12-02 Przemyslaw Repetowicz , Brian Lucey , Peter Richmond

We discuss the foundations of factor or regression models in the light of the self-consistency condition that the market portfolio (and more generally the risk factors) is (are) constituted of the assets whose returns it is (they are)…

Physics and Society · Physics 2009-11-13 Y. Malevergne , D. Sornette

This paper develops a spectral theory of Markovian asset pricing models where the underlying economic uncertainty follows a continuous-time Markov process X with a general state space (Borel right process (BRP)) and the stochastic discount…

Mathematical Finance · Quantitative Finance 2015-09-11 Likuan Qin , Vadim Linetsky

Conditions of Stability for explicit finite difference scheme and some results of numerical analysis for a unified 2 factor model of structural and reduced form types for corporate bonds with fixed discrete coupon are provided. It seems to…

Pricing of Securities · Quantitative Finance 2018-08-28 Hyong-Chol O. , Jong-Chol Kim , Il-Gwang Jon

In this article we show how to analyze the covariation of bond prices nonparametrically and robustly, staying consistent with a general no-arbitrage setting. This is, in particular, motivated by the problem of identifying the number of…

Statistical Finance · Quantitative Finance 2024-07-01 Dennis Schroers

We study how delegating pricing to large language models (LLMs) can facilitate collusion in a duopoly when both sellers rely on the same pre-trained model. The LLM is characterized by (i) a propensity parameter capturing its internal bias…

Theoretical Economics · Economics 2026-03-24 Shengyu Cao , Ming Hu

On a periodic basis, publicly traded companies report fundamentals, financial data including revenue, earnings, debt, among others. Quantitative finance research has identified several factors, functions of the reported data that…

Statistical Finance · Quantitative Finance 2020-07-16 Lakshay Chauhan , John Alberg , Zachary C. Lipton

Analyzing multiple studies allows leveraging data from a range of sources and populations, but until recently, there have been limited methodologies to approach the joint unsupervised analysis of multiple high-dimensional studies. A recent…

Methodology · Statistics 2020-07-27 Isabella N. Grabski , Roberta De Vito , Lorenzo Trippa , Giovanni Parmigiani

Predicting high-growth firms has attracted increasing interest from the technological forecasting and machine learning communities. Most existing studies primarily utilize financial data for these predictions. However, research suggests…

Physics and Society · Physics 2024-08-20 Yiwei Huang , Shuqi Xu , Linyuan Lü , Andrea Zaccaria , Manuel Sebastian Mariani

Credit risk in the China's bond market has become increasingly evident, creating a progressively escalating risk of default for credit bond investors. Given the current incomplete and inaccurate bond information disclosure, timely tracking…

Risk Management · Quantitative Finance 2023-06-09 Kai Ren

An efficient method to price bonds with optional sinking feature is presented. Such instruments equip their issuer with the option (but not the obligation) to redeem parts of the notional prior to maturity, therefore the future cash flows…

Pricing of Securities · Quantitative Finance 2013-05-23 Jan-Frederik Mai , Marc Wittlinger

In this paper is proposed a 2 factor structural PDE model of pricing puttable bond with credit risk and derived the analytical pricing formula. To this end, first, a 2 factor structural (PDE) model of pricing zero coupon bond with credit…

Pricing of Securities · Quantitative Finance 2022-03-14 Hyong Chol O , Dae Song Choe , Gyong-Dok Rim

Portfolio optimization in real-world financial markets is notoriously difficult due to non-stationarity, noisy data, and high transaction costs. Standard predict-then-optimize methods first forecast returns and then solve for weights,…

Portfolio Management · Quantitative Finance 2026-05-29 Rahul Fernandes , Travis Desell

This paper proves existence of the long bond, long forward measure and long-term factorization of the stochastic discount factor (SDF) of Alvarez and Jermann (2005) and Hansen and Scheinkman (2009) in Heath-Jarrow-Morton (HJM) models in the…

Mathematical Finance · Quantitative Finance 2017-07-28 Likuan Qin , Vadim Linetsky

In this paper, We propose a new style panel data factor stochastic volatility model with observable factors and unobservable factors based on the multivariate stochastic volatility model, which is mainly composed of three parts, such as the…

Methodology · Statistics 2019-04-09 Guobin Fang , Huimin Ma , Michelle Xia , Bo Zhang

We analyze the relative price change of assets starting from basic supply/demand considerations subject to arbitrary motivations. The resulting stochastic differential equation has coefficients that are functions of supply and demand. We…

Theoretical Economics · Economics 2020-08-26 Carey Caginalp , Gunduz Caginalp