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We introduce an interactive market setup with sequential auctions where agents receive variegated signals with a known deadline. The effects of differential information and mutual learning on the allocation of overall profit \& loss (P\&L)…

Mathematical Finance · Quantitative Finance 2016-10-14 N. Serhan Aydin

Is an option especially tempting when it is both immediate and certain? I test the effect of risk on the present-bias factor given quasi-hyperbolic discounting. In my experiment workers allocate about thirty to fifty minutes of real-effort…

General Economics · Economics 2024-08-28 J. Lucas Reddinger

Major Internet advertising platforms offer budget pacing tools as a standard service for advertisers to manage their ad campaigns. Given the inherent non-stationarity in an advertiser's value and also competing advertisers' values over…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2023-02-07 Santiago Balseiro , Rachitesh Kumar , Vahab Mirrokni , Balasubramanian Sivan , Di Wang

We develop a distribution regression model with a censored selection rule, offering a semi-parametric generalization of the Heckman selection model. Our approach applies to the entire distribution, extending beyond the mean or median,…

Econometrics · Economics 2025-05-19 Ivan Fernandez-Val , Seoyun Hong

Online labor platforms, such as the Amazon Mechanical Turk, provide an effective framework for eliciting responses to judgment tasks. Previous work has shown that workers respond best to financial incentives, especially to extra bonuses.…

Human-Computer Interaction · Computer Science 2016-09-05 Sephora Madjiheurem , Valentina Sintsova , Pearl Pu

Online reviews are typically written by volunteers and, as a consequence, information about seller quality may be under-provided in digital marketplaces. We study the extent of this under-provision in a large-scale randomized experiment…

General Economics · Economics 2021-12-21 Andrey Fradkin , David Holtz

Using administrative data from Germany, this study provides first evidence on the wage effects of collective bargaining compliance laws. These laws require establishments receiving public contracts to pay wages set by a representative…

General Economics · Economics 2025-07-03 Vinzenz Pyka

An employer contracts with a worker to incentivize efforts whose productivity depends on ability; the worker then enters a market that pays him contingent on ability evaluation. With non-additive monitoring technology, the interdependence…

Theoretical Economics · Economics 2025-07-31 Tan Gan , Hongcheng Li

We formalize an allocation model under ordinal preferences that is more general than the well-studied Shapley-Scarf housing market. In our model, the agents do not just care which house or resource they get but also care about who gets…

Computer Science and Game Theory · Computer Science 2018-07-17 Haris Aziz , Edward Lee

We empirically investigate the distributional effects of inflation on workers' unemployment tail risks using instrumental variable quantile regression. We find that supply-driven inflation disproportionately raises unemployment tail risks…

General Economics · Economics 2025-05-12 Hie Joo Ahn , Lam Nguyen

This study quantifies how contract duration influences buyers' willingness-to-pay (WTP) when they hold real options that allow them to flexibly time consumption in response to changing market conditions. Using contract data from the US…

General Economics · Economics 2025-12-11 Shosuke Noguchi , Suguru Otani

Suppose you have one unit of stock, currently worth 1, which you must sell before time $T$. The Optional Sampling Theorem tells us that whatever stopping time we choose to sell, the expected discounted value we get when we sell will be 1.…

Probability · Mathematics 2016-07-22 Philip Ernst , L. C. G. Rogers , Quan Zhou

The liberalization of electricity markets and the development of renewable energy sources has led to new challenges for decision makers. These challenges are accompanied by an increasing uncertainty about future electricity price movements.…

Applications · Statistics 2018-09-12 Florian Ziel , Rick Steinert

We study the problem of scheduling periodic real-time tasks so as to meet their individual minimum reward requirements. A task generates jobs that can be given arbitrary service times before their deadlines. A task then obtains rewards…

Other Computer Science · Computer Science 2010-07-06 I-Hong Hou , P. R. Kumar

Unemployment insurance transfers should balance the provision of consumption to the unemployed with the disincentive effects on the search behavior. Developing countries face the additional challenge of informality. Workers can choose to…

General Economics · Economics 2022-02-07 Martin Gonzalez-Rozada , Hernan Ruffo

This paper studies stochastic mechanisms under which light-tailed latent price dynamics yield realized prices with power-law tails. The realized price is modeled as $P_T=e^{X_T}$, where $X$ is a Markov-modulated L\'evy process and $T$ is…

Probability · Mathematics 2026-05-05 Won-Ki Seo

By studying all the trades and best bids/asks of ultra high frequency snapshots recorded from the order books of a basket of 10 futures assets, we bring qualitative empirical evidence that the impact of a single trade depends on the…

Trading and Market Microstructure · Quantitative Finance 2010-10-28 Khalil al Dayri , Emmanuel Bacry , Jean-Francois Muzy

Financial markets are subject to long periods of polarized behavior, such as bull-market or bear-market phases, in which the vast majority of market participants seem to almost exclusively choose one action (between buying or selling) over…

Physics and Society · Physics 2007-05-23 Sitabhra Sinha , Srinivas Raghavendra

An expanding literature articulates the view that Taylor rules are helpful in predicting exchange rates. In a changing world however, Taylor rule parameters may be subject to structural instabilities, for example during the Global Financial…

Statistical Finance · Quantitative Finance 2014-03-05 Joseph Byrne , Dimitris Korobilis , Pinho Ribeiro

Theory purports that animal foraging choices evolve to maximize returns, such as net energy intake. Empirical research in both human and nonhuman animals reveals that individuals often attend to the foraging choices of their competitors…

Populations and Evolution · Quantitative Biology 2013-01-31 Serguei Saavedra , R. Dean Malmgren , Nicholas Switanek , Brian Uzzi