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This paper evaluates the short and medium-term effectiveness of payroll tax reductions aimed at promoting the permanent conversion of temporary contracts through social contribution exemptions. Using rich administrative data from Tuscany,…

General Economics · Economics 2025-11-18 Michele Cantarella , Maria Cristina Maurizio , Francesco Serti

We analyze waiting times for price changes in a foreign currency exchange rate. Recent empirical studies of high frequency financial data support that trades in financial markets do not follow a Poisson process and the waiting times between…

Physics and Society · Physics 2009-11-11 Naoya Sazuka

We propose a new approach to estimate selection-corrected quantiles of the gender wage gap. Our method employs instrumental variables that explain variation in the latent variable but, conditional on the latent process, do not directly…

Econometrics · Economics 2026-01-13 Egshiglen Batbayar , Christoph Breunig , Peter Haan , Boryana Ilieva

This paper reports the results of a series of field experiments designed to investigate how peer effects operate in a real work setting. Workers were hired from an online labor market to perform an image-labeling task and, in some cases, to…

Human-Computer Interaction · Computer Science 2010-08-17 John J. Horton

We run experimental asset markets to investigate the emergence of excess trading and the occurrence of synchronised trading activity leading to crashes in the artificial markets. The market environment favours early investment in the risky…

General Finance · Quantitative Finance 2015-12-14 Joao da Gama Batista , Domenico Massaro , Jean-Philippe Bouchaud , Damien Challet , Cars Hommes

Contrary to traditional transit services, supply in ridesourcing systems emerges from individual labour decisions of gig workers. The effect of decentralisation in supply on the evolution of on-demand transit services is largely unknown. To…

Physics and Society · Physics 2022-01-27 Arjan de Ruijter , Oded Cats , Rafal Kucharski , Hans van Lint

Crowdsourcing is a form of "peer production" in which work traditionally performed by an employee is outsourced to an "undefined, generally large group of people in the form of an open call." We present a model of workers supplying labor to…

Human-Computer Interaction · Computer Science 2010-04-19 John Horton , Lydia Chilton

We investigate triangular arbitrage within the spot foreign exchange market using high-frequency executable prices. We show that triangular arbitrage opportunities do exist, but that most have short durations and small magnitudes. We find…

Statistical Finance · Quantitative Finance 2011-09-06 Daniel J. Fenn , Sam D. Howison , Mark McDonald , Stacy Williams , Neil F. Johnson

We provide rigorous guarantees on learning with the weighted trace-norm under arbitrary sampling distributions. We show that the standard weighted trace-norm might fail when the sampling distribution is not a product distribution (i.e. when…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2011-06-23 Rina Foygel , Ruslan Salakhutdinov , Ohad Shamir , Nathan Srebro

This paper shows that the timing of monetary transfers to low-income families affects students' cognitive performance on high-stakes standardized tests. We combine administrative records from the world's largest conditional cash transfer…

General Economics · Economics 2025-07-30 Axel Eizmendi Larrinaga , Germán Reyes

In MT evaluation, pairwise comparisons are conducted to identify the better system. In conducting the comparison, the experimenter must allocate a budget to collect Direct Assessment (DA) judgments. We provide a cost effective way to spend…

Applications · Statistics 2022-11-11 Johnny Tian-Zheng Wei , Tom Kocmi , Christian Federmann

Modern mainstream financial theory is underpinned by the efficient market hypothesis, which posits the rapid incorporation of relevant information into asset pricing. Limited prior studies in the operational research literature have…

Applications · Statistics 2023-09-07 Ben Moews

Despite the widespread implementation of conditional cash transfers in low- and middle-income countries, evidence on their long-term effects remains limited. This paper evaluates the impact of Ecuador's Human Development Grant on the formal…

General Economics · Economics 2025-11-25 Juan Ponce , José-Ignacio Antón , Mercedes Onofa , Roberto Castillo

The paper investigates the effects of the credit market development on the labor mobility between the informal and formal labor sectors. In the case of Russia, due to the absence of a credit score system, a formal lender may set a credit…

General Economics · Economics 2021-02-12 Alina Malkova , Klara Sabirianova Peter , Jan Svejnar

Workers in crowd markets struggle to earn a living. One reason for this is that it is difficult for workers to accurately gauge the hourly wages of microtasks, and they consequently end up performing labor with little pay. In general,…

Human-Computer Interaction · Computer Science 2019-03-19 Susumu Saito , Chun-Wei Chiang , Saiph Savage , Teppei Nakano , Tetsunori Kobayashi , Jeffrey Bigham

Market making is a fundamental trading problem in which an agent provides liquidity by continually offering to buy and sell a security. The problem is challenging due to inventory risk, the risk of accumulating an unfavourable position and…

Artificial Intelligence · Computer Science 2018-04-13 Thomas Spooner , John Fearnley , Rahul Savani , Andreas Koukorinis

We present three large-scale experiments on binary text matching classification task both in Chinese and English to evaluate the effectiveness and generalizability of random text perturbations as a data augmentation approach for NLP. It is…

Computation and Language · Computer Science 2022-10-04 Zhengxiang Wang

Prediction markets are powerful tools to elicit and aggregate beliefs from strategic agents. However, in current prediction markets, agents may exhaust the social welfare by competing to be the first to update the market. We initiate the…

Computer Science and Game Theory · Computer Science 2021-03-09 Grant Schoenebeck , Chenkai Yu , Fang-Yi Yu

A 24-hour exchange market was created on the Web to trade political futures contracts using fictitious money. In this online market, a political futures contract is a futures contract which matures on the election day with a liquidation…

Physics and Society · Physics 2007-05-23 Sun-Chong Wang , Sai-Ping Li , Chung-Ching Tai , Shu-Heng Chen

Interevent times have been studied across various disciplines in search for correlations. In this paper we show analytical and numerical evidence that at the population level a power-law can be obtained by assuming poissonian agents with…

Statistical Mechanics · Physics 2009-11-11 Cesar A. Hidalgo R