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This paper presents a novel approach to stochastic volatility (SV) modeling by utilizing nonparametric techniques that enhance our ability to capture the volatility of financial time series data, with a particular emphasis on the…

Computation · Statistics 2025-02-18 Yudong Feng , Ashis Gangopadhyay

This paper develops a two-step estimation methodology, which allows us to apply catastrophe theory to stock market returns with time-varying volatility and model stock market crashes. Utilizing high frequency data, we estimate the daily…

Statistical Finance · Quantitative Finance 2013-05-23 Jozef Barunik , Jiri Kukacka

Financial time series exhibit a number of interesting properties that are difficult to explain with simple models. These properties include fat-tails in the distribution of price fluctuations (or returns) that are slowly removed at longer…

Statistical Finance · Quantitative Finance 2013-11-19 Raoul Golan , Austin Gerig

We consider a class of stochastic dynamical systems, called piecewise deterministic Markov processes, with states $(x, \s)\in \O\times \G$, $\O$ being a region in $\bbR^d$ or the $d$--dimensional torus, $\G$ being a finite set. The…

Statistical Mechanics · Physics 2009-02-25 Alessandra Faggionato , Davide Gabrielli , Marco Ribezzi Crivellari

Population dynamics with complex biological interactions, accounting for uncertainty quantification, is critical for many application areas. However, due to the complexity of biological systems, the mathematical formulation of the…

Dynamical Systems · Mathematics 2022-06-20 Thi Kim Thoa Thieu , Adrian Muntean , Roderick Melnik

In this paper, we investigate the deterministic multidimensional Skorokhod problem with normal reflection in a family of time-dependent convex domains that are c\`adl\`ag with respect to the Hausdorff metric. We then show the existence and…

Probability · Mathematics 2024-06-11 Imane Jarni , Badr Missaoui , Youssef Ouknine

We prove a robust super-hedging duality result for path-dependent options on assets with jumps, in a continuous time setting. It requires that the collection of martingale measures is rich enough and that the payoff function satisfies some…

Optimization and Control · Mathematics 2020-04-24 Bruno Bouchard , Xiaolu Tan

We introduce stochastic volatility models, in which the volatility is described by a time-dependent nonnegative function of a reflecting diffusion. The idea to use reflecting diffusions as building blocks of the volatility came into being…

Mathematical Finance · Quantitative Finance 2020-06-30 Archil Gulisashvili

In this paper, we introduce and analyze the fractional Barndorff-Nielsen and Shephard (BN-S) stochastic volatility model. The proposed model is based upon two desirable properties of the long-term variance process suggested by the empirical…

Mathematical Finance · Quantitative Finance 2022-01-26 Nicholas Salmon , Indranil SenGupta

In this paper, we provide some results on Skorokhod embedding with local time and its applications to the robust hedging problem in finance. First we investigate the robust hedging of options depending on the local time by using the…

Probability · Mathematics 2017-10-31 Julien Claisse , Gaoyue Guo , Pierre Henry-Labordere

We consider a stochastic volatility model with jumps where the underlying asset price is driven by the process sum of a 2-dimensional Brownian motion and a 2-dimensional compensated Poisson process. The market is incomplete, resulting in…

Probability · Mathematics 2011-10-31 Youssef El-Khatib

We derive the stationary distribution in various regimes of the extended Chiarella model of financial markets. This model is a stochastic nonlinear dynamical system that encompasses dynamical competition between a (saturating) trending and…

Trading and Market Microstructure · Quantitative Finance 2026-02-11 Jutta G. Kurth , Jean-Philippe Bouchaud

We consider a stochastic volatility asset price model in which the volatility is the absolute value of a continuous Gaussian process with arbitrary prescribed mean and covariance. By exhibiting a Karhunen-Lo\`{e}ve expansion for the…

Mathematical Finance · Quantitative Finance 2017-02-08 Archil Gulisashvili , Frederi Viens , Xin Zhang

Stochastic volatility models describe stock returns $r_t$ as driven by an unobserved process capturing the random dynamics of volatility $v_t$. The present paper quantifies how much information about volatility $v_t$ and future stock…

Mathematical Finance · Quantitative Finance 2016-10-04 Oliver Pfante , Nils Bertschinger

In Gatheral et al. 2018, first posted in 2014, volatility is characterized by fractional behavior with a Hurst exponent $H < 0.5$, challenging traditional views of volatility dynamics. Gatheral et al. demonstrated this using realized…

Statistical Finance · Quantitative Finance 2024-09-06 Saad Mouti

In this paper we study the asymptotic behavior of stochastic approximation schemes with set-valued drift function and non-additive iterate-dependent Markov noise. We show that a linearly interpolated trajectory of such a recursion is an…

Systems and Control · Computer Science 2016-07-19 Vinayaka Yaji , Shalabh Bhatnagar

The gradient discretisation method (GDM) -- a generic framework encompassing many numerical methods -- is studied for a general stochastic Stefan problem with multiplicative noise. The convergence of the numerical solutions is proved by…

Numerical Analysis · Mathematics 2024-08-09 Jerome Droniou , Muhammad Awais Khan , Kim Ngan Le

Recently, to account for low-frequency market dynamics, several volatility models, employing high-frequency financial data, have been developed. However, in financial markets, we often observe that financial volatility processes depend on…

Applications · Statistics 2021-03-01 Dohyun Chun , Donggyu Kim

Irreversible drift-diffusion processes are very common in biochemical reactions. They have a non-equilibrium stationary state (invariant measure) which does not satisfy detailed balance. For the corresponding Fokker-Planck equation on a…

Numerical Analysis · Mathematics 2023-04-12 Yuan Gao , Jian-Guo Liu

This article present a continuous cascade model of volatility formulated as a stochastic differential equation. Two independent Brownian motions are introduced as random sources triggering the volatility cascade. One multiplicatively…

Statistical Finance · Quantitative Finance 2020-10-26 Jun-ichi Maskawa , Koji Kuroda
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