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We show the variational convergence of an irreversible Markov jump process describing a finite stochastic particle system to the solution of a countable infinite system of deterministic time-inhomogeneous quadratic differential equations…

Analysis of PDEs · Mathematics 2025-07-08 Jasper Hoeksema , Chun Yin Lam , André Schlichting

We derive consistency and asymptotic normality results for quasi-maximum likelihood methods for drift parameters of ergodic stochastic processes observed in discrete time in an underlying continuous-time setting. The special feature of our…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2021-09-20 Teppei Ogihara , Mitja Stadje

HYGARCH model is basically used to model long-range dependence in volatility. We propose Markov switch smooth-transition HYGARCH model, where the volatility in each state is a time-dependent convex combination of GARCH and FIGARCH. This…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2018-03-05 Ferdous Mohammadi Basatini , Saeid Rezakhah

We introduce a new class of continuous-time models of the stochastic volatility of asset prices. The models can simultaneously incorporate roughness and slowly decaying autocorrelations, including proper long memory, which are two stylized…

Statistical Finance · Quantitative Finance 2021-01-06 Mikkel Bennedsen , Asger Lunde , Mikko S. Pakkanen

We consider the Skorokhod problem in a time-varying interval. We prove existence and uniqueness for the solution. We also express the solution in terms of an explicit formula. Moving boundaries may generate singularities when they touch. We…

Probability · Mathematics 2007-12-19 Krzysztof Burdzy , Weining Kang , Kavita Ramanan

In this paper, we obtain stability results for martingale representations in a very general framework. More specifically, we consider a sequence of martingales each adapted to its own filtration, and a sequence of random variables…

Probability · Mathematics 2022-06-06 Antonis Papapantoleon , Dylan Possamai , Alexandros Saplaouras

We propose a structural vector autoregressive model with a new and flexible specification of the volatility process which we call Sparse Heterogeneous Markov-Switching Heteroskedasticity. In this model, the conditional variance of each…

Econometrics · Economics 2026-03-18 Fei Shang , Tomasz Woźniak

This paper expands traditional stochastic volatility models by allowing for time-varying skewness without imposing it. While dynamic asymmetry may capture the likely direction of future asset returns, it comes at the risk of leading to…

Econometrics · Economics 2023-12-04 Igor Ferreira Batista Martins , Hedibert Freitas Lopes

The use of spectral proper orthogonal decomposition (SPOD) to construct low-order models for broadband turbulent flows is explored. The choice of SPOD modes as basis vectors is motivated by their optimality and space-time coherence…

Fluid Dynamics · Physics 2021-09-22 Tianyi Chu , Oliver T. Schmidt

We introduce a class of randomly time-changed fast mean-reverting stochastic volatility models and, using spectral theory and singular perturbation techniques, we derive an approximation for the prices of European options in this setting.…

Pricing of Securities · Quantitative Finance 2012-05-15 Matthew Lorig

Stochastic volatility processes with heavy-tailed innovations are a well-known model for financial time series. In these models, the extremes of the log returns are mainly driven by the extremes of the i.i.d. innovation sequence which leads…

Probability · Mathematics 2016-03-25 Anja Janssen , Holger Drees

We examine the relationship between trading volumes, number of transactions, and volatility using daily stock data of the Tokyo Stock Exchange. Following the mixture of distributions hypothesis, we use trading volumes and the number of…

Statistical Finance · Quantitative Finance 2018-01-19 Tetsuya Takaishi , Ting Ting Chen

Heteroskedasticity is a common feature of financial time series and is commonly addressed in the model building process through the use of ARCH and GARCH processes. More recently multivariate variants of these processes have been in the…

Methodology · Statistics 2015-12-18 Alexander Aue , Lajos Horvath , Daniel Pellatt

Stochastic variational inference algorithms are derived for fitting various heteroskedastic time series models. We examine Gaussian, t, and skew-t response GARCH models and fit these using Gaussian variational approximating densities. We…

Computation · Statistics 2023-08-30 Hanwen Xuan , Luca Maestrini , Feng Chen , Clara Grazian

We study the limit of the joint distribution of a multidimensional Generalized Tempered Stable (GTS) process and its quadratic covariation process when the stable index tends to two. Under a proper scaling, the GTS processes converges to a…

Probability · Mathematics 2025-04-24 Masaaki Fukasawa , Mikio Hirokane

Given a one-dimensional stochastic differential equation, one can associate to this equation a stochastic flow on $[0,+\infty )$, which has an absorbing barrier at zero. Then one can define its dual stochastic flow. In \cite{AW}, Akahori…

Probability · Mathematics 2015-09-01 Takafumi Amaba , Dai Taguchi , Go Yuki

We argue that negative skew and positive mean of the distribution of stock returns are largely due to the broken symmetry of stochastic volatility governing gains and losses. Starting with stochastic differential equations for stock returns…

Statistical Finance · Quantitative Finance 2026-03-10 Siqi Shao , Arshia Ghasemi , Hamed Farahani , R. A. Serota

Large tick assets, i.e. assets where one tick movement is a significant fraction of the price and bid-ask spread is almost always equal to one tick, display a dynamics in which price changes and spread are strongly coupled. We introduce a…

Trading and Market Microstructure · Quantitative Finance 2015-06-17 Gianbiagio Curato , Fabrizio Lillo

For refracted skew Brownian motion (skew Brownian motion with two-valued drift), adopting a perturbation approach we find expressions of its potential densities. As applications, we recover its transition density and study its long-time…

Probability · Mathematics 2025-04-08 Zaniar Ahmadi , Xiaowen Zhou

In this paper, we present the double smoothed nonparametric approach for infinitesimal conditional volatility of jump-diffusion model based on high frequency data. Under certain minimal conditions, we obtain the strong consistency and…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2018-02-14 Yuping Song