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Given the importance of continuous-time stochastic volatility models to describe the dynamics of interest rates, we propose a goodness-of-fit test for the parametric form of the drift and diffusion functions, based on a marked empirical…

A general formalism is developed to construct a Markov chain model that converges to a one-dimensional map in the infinite population limit. Stochastic fluctuations are therefore internal to the system and not externally specified. For…

Statistical Mechanics · Physics 2014-09-15 Joseph D. Challenger , Duccio Fanelli , Alan J. McKane

We examine a class of stochastic mirror descent dynamics in the context of monotone variational inequalities (including Nash equilibrium and saddle-point problems). The dynamics under study are formulated as a stochastic differential…

Optimization and Control · Mathematics 2018-05-07 Panayotis Mertikopoulos , Mathias Staudigl

The generalized polynomial chaos method is applied to the Buckley-Leverett equation. We consider a spatially homogeneous domain modeled as a random field. The problem is projected onto stochastic basis functions which yields an extended…

Numerical Analysis · Mathematics 2016-08-24 Per Pettersson , Hamdi A. Tchelepi

We investigate a two-state conformational conversion system and introduce a novel structure-preserving numerical scheme that couples a local discontinuous Galerkin space discretization with the backward Euler time-integration method. The…

Numerical Analysis · Mathematics 2026-05-20 Paola F. Antonietti , Mattia Corti , Sergio Gómez , Ilaria Perugia

We present a new volatility model, simple to implement, that includes a leverage effect whose return-volatility correlation function fits to empirical observations. This model is able to capture both the "retarded effect" induced by the…

Statistical Finance · Quantitative Finance 2020-01-03 Sebastien Valeyre , Denis Grebenkov , Sofiane Aboura , Qian Liu

In this article, we study the time-reversal properties of a generic Markovian stochastic field dynamics with Gaussian noise. We introduce a convenient functional geometric formalism that allows us to straightforwardly generalize known…

Statistical Mechanics · Physics 2025-04-15 Jérémy O'Byrne , Michael E. Cates

A new multivariate stochastic volatility estimation procedure for financial time series is proposed. A Wishart autoregressive process is considered for the volatility precision covariance matrix, for the estimation of which a two step…

Computational Finance · Quantitative Finance 2013-11-05 K. Triantafyllopoulos

We experimentally investigate the response of a sheared granular medium in a Couette geometry. The apparatus exhibits the expected stick-slip motion and we probe it in the very intermittent regime resulting from low driving. Statistical…

The Gaussian Graphical Model (GGM) is a popular tool for incorporating sparsity into joint multivariate distributions. The G-Wishart distribution, a conjugate prior for precision matrices satisfying general GGM constraints, has now been in…

Computation · Statistics 2012-05-15 Yuan Cheng , Alex Lenkoski

In this paper, we analyze mean-field reflected backward stochastic differential equations when the driver has quadratic growth in the second unknown $z$. Using linearization technique and BMO martingale theory, we first apply fixed point…

Probability · Mathematics 2022-02-16 Ying Hu , Remi Moreau , Falei Wang

Although there are many methods for functional data analysis (FDA), little emphasis is put on characterizing variability among volatilities of individual functions. In particular, certain individuals exhibit erratic swings in their…

Applications · Statistics 2012-12-04 Bin Zhu , David B. Dunson

We show that the Realized GARCH model yields close-form expression for both the Volatility Index (VIX) and the volatility risk premium (VRP). The Realized GARCH model is driven by two shocks, a return shock and a volatility shock, and these…

Econometrics · Economics 2021-12-13 Peter Reinhard Hansen , Zhuo Huang , Chen Tong , Tianyi Wang

In the vanishing learning rate regime, stochastic gradient descent (SGD) is now relatively well understood. In this work, we propose to study the basic properties of SGD and its variants in the non-vanishing learning rate regime. The focus…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2021-06-14 Kangqiao Liu , Liu Ziyin , Masahito Ueda

We develop a stochastic Galerkin method for a coupled Navier-Stokes-cloud system that models dynamics of warm clouds. Our goal is to explicitly describe the evolution of uncertainties that arise due to unknown input data, such as model…

Numerical Analysis · Mathematics 2022-04-20 A. Chertock , A. Kurganov , M. Lukáčová-Medviďová , P. Spichtinger , B. Wiebe

SVR-GARCH model tends to "backward eavesdrop" when forecasting the financial time series volatility in which case it tends to simply produce the prediction by deviating the previous volatility. Though the SVR-GARCH model has achieved good…

Statistical Finance · Quantitative Finance 2022-06-23 Jun Lu , Shao Yi

This paper provides a semiparametric model of estimating states of the volatility defined as the squared diffusion coefficient of a stochastic differential equation. Without assuming any functional form of the volatility function, we…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2007-07-18 I. Shoji

We use duality techniques - specifically Siegmund and Bernstein duality - as tools to analyse ergodic and recurrence properties of $[0,1]$-valued Markov processes. These dualities enable the derivation of sharp bounds on the distance to…

Probability · Mathematics 2025-07-11 Fernando Cordero , Grégoire Véchambre

We consider a large market model of defaultable assets in which the asset price processes are modelled as Heston-type stochastic volatility models with default upon hitting a lower boundary. We assume that both the asset prices and their…

Probability · Mathematics 2019-05-15 Ben Hambly , Nikolaos Kolliopoulos

We consider reflected backward stochastic differential equations with two optional barriers of class (D) satisfying Mokobodzki's separation condition and coefficient which is only continuous and non-increasing. We assume that data are…

Probability · Mathematics 2021-12-02 Tomasz Klimsiak , Maurycy Rzymowski
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