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This paper introduces a unique and valuable research design aimed at analyzing Bitcoin price volatility. To achieve this, a range of models from the Markov Switching-GARCH and Stochastic Autoregressive Volatility (SARV) model classes are…

Statistical Finance · Quantitative Finance 2024-01-12 Dennis Koch , Vahidin Jeleskovic , Zahid I. Younas

The stochastic volatility model is one of volatility models which infer latent volatility of asset returns. The Bayesian inference of the stochastic volatility (SV) model is performed by the hybrid Monte Carlo (HMC) algorithm which is…

Computational Finance · Quantitative Finance 2014-08-06 Tetsuya Takaishi

A stochastic version of the Noether Theorem is derived for systems under the action of external random forces. The concept of moment generating functional is employed to describe the symmetry of the stochastic forces. The theorem is applied…

Statistical Mechanics · Physics 2018-07-04 Alfredo Gonzalez Lezcano , Alejandro Cabo Montes de Oca

In this short paper, we study the simulation of a large system of stochastic processes subject to a common driving noise and fast mean-reverting stochastic volatilities. This model may be used to describe the firm values of a large pool of…

Numerical Analysis · Mathematics 2021-10-13 Andrei Cozma , Christoph Reisinger

A standard model of (conditional) heteroscedasticity, i.e., the phenomenon that the variance of a process changes over time, is the Generalized AutoRegressive Conditional Heteroskedasticity (GARCH) model, which is especially important for…

Methodology · Statistics 2018-07-24 Balázs Csanád Csáji

In an asset return series there is a conditional asymmetric dependence between current return and past volatility depending on the current return's sign. To take into account the conditional asymmetry, we introduce new models for asset…

Statistical Finance · Quantitative Finance 2013-11-21 Geon Ho Choe , Kyungsub Lee

In this paper, we introduce a new kind of "variant" reflected backward doubly stochastic differential equations (VRBDSDEs in short), where the drift is the nonlinear function of the barrier process. In the one stochastic case, this type of…

Probability · Mathematics 2011-08-04 Auguste Aman , Yong Ren

We consider an SPDE description of a large portfolio limit model where the underlying asset prices evolve according to certain stochastic volatility models with default upon hitting a lower barrier. The asset prices and their volatilities…

Probability · Mathematics 2020-05-11 Ben Hambly , Nikolaos Kolliopoulos

Understanding the stability and long-time behavior of generative models is a fundamental problem in modern machine learning. This paper provides quantitative bounds on the sampling error of score-based generative models by leveraging…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2026-01-30 Stanislas Strasman , Gabriel Cardoso , Sylvain Le Corff , Vincent Lemaire , Antonio Ocello

We consider a continuous-time financial market with an asset whose price is modeled by a linear stochastic differential equation with drift and volatility switching driven by a uniformly ergodic jump Markov process with a countable state…

Probability · Mathematics 2025-01-14 Vitaliy Golomoziy , Kamil Kladivko , Yuliya Mishura

Generalized autoregressive conditional heteroscedasticity (GARCH) models have long been considered as one of the most successful families of approaches for volatility modeling in financial return series. In this paper, we propose an…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2013-01-29 Emmanouil A. Platanios , Sotirios P. Chatzis

In this work, we investigate the multidimensional Skorokhod problem for c\`adl\`ag processes, where the reflection is subject to a minimality condition depending on the law of the solution. We then apply these results to establish existence…

Probability · Mathematics 2025-12-24 Imane Jarni , Ayoub Laayoun , Badr Missaoui

In this paper, we develop and analyze an integral fixed-time sliding mode control method for a scenario in which the system model is only partially known, utilizing Gaussian processes. We present two theorems on fixed-time convergence. The…

Systems and Control · Electrical Eng. & Systems 2025-05-30 Chaimae El Mortajinea , Moussa Labbadib , Adnane Saoudc , Mostafa Bouzia

The study of both sensitivity analysis and differentiability of the stochastic flow of a reflected process in a convex polyhedral domain is challenging because the dynamics are discontinuous at the boundary of the domain and the boundary of…

Probability · Mathematics 2016-02-08 David Lipshutz , Kavita Ramanan

We give a development of the ODE method for the analysis of recursive algorithms described by a stochastic recursion. With variability modelled via an underlying Markov process, and under general assumptions, the following results are…

Probability · Mathematics 2007-05-23 J. Huang , I. Kontoyiannis , S. P. Meyn

In a discrete time stochastic model of a pension investment funds market Gajek and Kaluszka(2000a) have provided a definition of the average rate of return which satisfies a set of economic correctnes postulates. In this paper the average…

Probability · Mathematics 2016-10-31 Leslaw Gajek , Marek Kaluszka

We propose a new class of financial volatility models, called the REcurrent Conditional Heteroskedastic (RECH) models, to improve both in-sample analysis and out-ofsample forecasting of the traditional conditional heteroskedastic models. In…

Econometrics · Economics 2022-01-25 T. -N. Nguyen , M. -N. Tran , R. Kohn

It is common for long financial time series to exhibit gradual change in the unconditional volatility. We propose a new model that captures this type of nonstationarity in a parsimonious way. The model augments the volatility equation of a…

Econometrics · Economics 2024-10-15 Niklas Ahlgren , Alexander Back , Timo Teräsvirta

In this paper we consider a stochastic process that may experience random reset events which bring suddenly the system to the starting value and analyze the relevant statistical magnitudes. We focus our attention on monotonous…

Mathematical Physics · Physics 2013-01-21 Miquel Montero , Javier Villarroel

We study the mean escape time in a market model with stochastic volatility. The process followed by the volatility is the Cox Ingersoll and Ross process which is widely used to model stock price fluctuations. The market model can be…

Statistical Mechanics · Physics 2009-11-11 Giovanni Bonanno , Davide Valenti , Bernardo Spagnolo