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The United Nations (UN) issued official probabilistic population projections for all countries to 2100 in July 2015. This was done by simulating future levels of total fertility and life expectancy from Bayesian hierarchical models, and…

Applications · Statistics 2016-09-15 David J. Sharrow , Jessica Godwin , Yanjun He , Samuel J. Clark , Adrian E. Raftery

Perinatal epidemiology often aims to evaluate exposures on infant outcomes. When the exposure affects the composition of people who give birth to live infants (e.g., by affecting fertility, behavior, or birth outcomes), this "live birth…

Methodology · Statistics 2024-01-23 Shalika Gupta , Laura B. Balzer , Moses R. Kamya , Diane V. Havlir , Maya L. Petersen

We introduce a new quantity known as the network heterogeneity index, denoted by $\mathcal{H}$, which facilitates the investigation of disease propagation and population persistence in heterogeneous environments. Our mathematical analysis…

Populations and Evolution · Quantitative Biology 2024-10-15 Poroshat Yazdanbakhsh , Mark Anderson , Zhisheng Shuai

Count data, for example the number of observed cases of a disease in a city, often arise in the fields of healthcare analytics and epidemiology. In this paper, we consider performing regression on multivariate data in which our outcome is a…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2015-05-21 T. J. Massaro , H. Bozdogan

Survival regression is widely used to model time-to-events data, to explore how covariates may influence the occurrence of events. Modern datasets often encompass a vast number of covariates across many subjects, with only a subset of the…

Methodology · Statistics 2024-09-18 Abhishek Mandal , Abhisek Chakraborty

High throughput sequencing (HTS) continues to expand our understanding of microbial communities, despite insufficient sequencing depths to detect all rare taxa. These low abundance taxa are not accounted for in existing methods for…

Applications · Statistics 2016-05-10 Amy Willis , John Bunge , Thea Whitman

Statistical inference of heterogeneous treatment effects (HTEs) across predefined subgroups is challenging when units interact because treatment effects may vary by pre-treatment variables, post-treatment exposure variables (that measure…

Econometrics · Economics 2024-10-02 Julius Owusu

This research gives a thorough examination of an HIV infection model that includes quiescent cells and immune response dynamics in the host. The model, represented by a system of ordinary differential equations, captures the complex…

Populations and Evolution · Quantitative Biology 2025-03-04 Ibrahim Nali , Attila Dénes , Abdessamad Tridane , Xueyong Zhou

Hepatitis C virus (HCV) coinfection has become one of the most challenging clinical situations to manage in HIV-infected patients. Recently the effect of HCV coinfection on HIV dynamics following initiation of highly active antiretroviral…

Applications · Statistics 2011-05-04 Li Su , Joseph W. Hogan

Background: We estimated the potential number of newly diagnosed HIV infections among adolescent girls and young women (AGYW) using a venue-based approach to HIV testing at sex work hotspots. Methods: We used hotspot enumeration and…

Many microbial populations rapidly adapt to changing environments with multiple variants competing for survival. To quantify such complex evolutionary dynamics in vivo, time resolved and genome wide data including rare variants are…

Populations and Evolution · Quantitative Biology 2016-01-25 Fabio Zanini , Johanna Brodin , Lina Thebo , Christa Lanz , Göran Bratt , Jan Albert , Richard A. Neher

The primary goal of randomized trials is to compare the effects of different interventions on some outcome of interest. In addition to the treatment assignment and outcome, data on baseline covariates, such as demographic characteristics or…

Applications · Statistics 2014-01-09 Alisa J. Stephens , Eric J. Tchetgen Tchetgen , Victor De Gruttola

Missing data is a recurrent issue in epidemiology where the infection process may be partially observed. Approximate Bayesian Computation, an alternative to data imputation methods such as Markov Chain Monte Carlo integration, is proposed…

Applications · Statistics 2010-08-31 Michael G. B. Blum , Viet Chi Tran

A stochastic epidemic model accounting for the effect of contact-tracing on the spread of an infectious disease is studied. Precisely, individuals identified as infected may contribute to detecting other infectious individuals by providing…

Probability · Mathematics 2009-03-28 Stéphan Clémençon , Viet Chi Tran , Hector De Arazoza

Recently, [8] has proposed that heterogeneity of infectiousness (and susceptibility) across individuals in infectious diseases, plays a major role in affecting the Herd Immunity Threshold (HIT). Such heterogeneity has been observed in…

Populations and Evolution · Quantitative Biology 2024-12-18 Jhonatan Tavori , Hanoch Levy

Mediation analysis is a useful tool to evaluate surrogate endpoints in clinical trials. We propose a novel method, the M-survival learner, for estimating heterogeneous indirect treatment effects in the presence of censored outcomes. The…

Methodology · Statistics 2026-04-16 Xingyu Li , Qing Liu , Xun Jiang , Hong Amy Xia , Brian P. Hobbs , Peng Wei

Envelope model also known as multivariate regression model was proposed to solve the multiple response regression problems. It measures the linear association between predictors and multiple responses by using the minimal reducing subspace…

Methodology · Statistics 2018-05-07 Bochao Jia

We propose a new estimation method for heterogeneous causal effects which utilizes a regression discontinuity (RD) design for multiple datasets with different thresholds. The standard RD design is frequently used in applied researches, but…

Econometrics · Economics 2019-05-14 Takayuki Toda , Ayako Wakano , Takahiro Hoshino

TechStep is a randomized trial of a mobile health interventions targeted towards transgender adolescents. The interventions include a short message system, a mobile-optimized web application, and electronic counseling. The primary outcomes…

Applications · Statistics 2020-03-24 David Benkeser , Keith Horvath , Cathy Reback , Joshua Rusow , Michael Hudgens

With the launch of second line anti-retroviral therapy for HIV infected individuals, there has been an increased expectation on surviving period of people with HIV. We consider previously well-known models in HIV epidemiology where the…

Quantitative Methods · Quantitative Biology 2021-06-15 Arni S. R. Srinivasa Rao