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Herd immunity is a critical concept in epidemiology, describing a threshold at which a sufficient proportion of a population is immune, either through infection or vaccination, thereby preventing sustained transmission of a pathogen. In the…

Populations and Evolution · Quantitative Biology 2025-03-03 Gabriel Turinici

Accurate estimates of microbial species abundances are needed to advance our understanding of the role that microbiomes play in human and environmental health. However, artificially constructed microbiomes demonstrate that intuitive…

Methodology · Statistics 2025-03-17 David S Clausen , Amy D Willis

In this paper we study the problems of estimating heterogeneity in causal effects in experimental or observational studies and conducting inference about the magnitude of the differences in treatment effects across subsets of the…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2022-06-08 Susan Athey , Guido Imbens

We propose a population model for HIV-TB co-infection dynamics by considering treatments for HIV infection, active tuberculosis and co-infection. The HIV only and TB only models are analyzed separately, as well as full model. The basic…

Populations and Evolution · Quantitative Biology 2018-08-10 Sachin Kumar , Shikha Jain

A key objective in two phase 2b AMP clinical trials of VRC01 is to evaluate whether drug concentration over time, as estimated by non-linear mixed effects pharmacokinetics (PK) models, is associated with HIV infection rate. We conducted a…

Quantitative Methods · Quantitative Biology 2018-01-29 Lily Zhang , Peter B. Gilbert , Edmund Capparelli , Yunda Huang

Quantifying the attack ratio of disease is key to epidemiological inference and Public Health planning. For multi-serotype pathogens, however, different levels of serotype-specific immunity make it difficult to assess the population at…

Populations and Evolution · Quantitative Biology 2015-02-05 Flavio Coelho , Luiz Max Carvalho

Efficient screening and early diagnosis of HIV are critical for reducing onward transmission. Although large scale laboratory testing is not feasible, the widespread adoption of Electronic Health Records (EHRs) offers new opportunities to…

Recently, ultra high-throughput sequencing of RNA (RNA-Seq) has been developed as an approach for analysis of gene expression. By obtaining tens or even hundreds of millions of reads of transcribed sequences, an RNA-Seq experiment can offer…

Methodology · Statistics 2011-06-17 Julia Salzman , Hui Jiang , Wing Hung Wong

Experiments often yield non-identically distributed data for statistical analysis. Tests of hypothesis under such set-ups are generally performed using the likelihood ratio test, which is non-robust with respect to outliers and model…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2017-07-25 Abhik Ghosh , Ayanendranath Basu

Measurement error is a common challenge for causal inference studies using electronic health record (EHR) data, where clinical outcomes and treatments are frequently mismeasured. Researchers often address measurement error by conducting…

The United Nations Joint Programme on HIV/AIDS (UNAIDS) has set a target to ensure that 15 million HIV-positive people in the world would be receiving combination anti-retroviral treatment (ART) by 2015. This target is likely to be reached…

Quantitative Methods · Quantitative Biology 2014-06-27 Brian G. Williams

Conducting genome-wide association studies (GWAS) in copy number variation (CNV) level is a field where few people involves and little statistical progresses have been achieved, traditional methods suffer from many problems such as batch…

Methodology · Statistics 2020-11-17 Han Wang , Changhu Wang , Linjie Wu , Ruibin Xi

In small area estimation, it is sometimes necessary to use model-based methods to produce estimates in areas with little or no data. In official statistics, we often require that some aggregate of small area estimates agree with a national…

Methodology · Statistics 2023-01-31 Taylor Okonek , Jon Wakefield

Suppose we are interested in the mean of an outcome that is subject to nonignorable nonresponse. This paper develops new semiparametric estimation methods with instrumental variables which affect nonresponse, but not the outcome. The…

Methodology · Statistics 2024-08-20 Baoluo Sun , Wang Miao , Deshanee S. Wickramarachchi

In this work, we aim to understand the influence of the heterogeneity of infection rates on the Susceptible-Infected-Susceptible (SIS) epidemic spreading. Employing the classic SIS model as the benchmark, we study the influence of the…

Physics and Society · Physics 2016-04-06 Bo Qu , Huijuan Wang

Egocentric-Network Randomized Trials (ENRTs) are increasingly used to estimate causal effects under interference when measuring complete sociocentric network data is infeasible. ENRTs rely on egocentric network sampling, where a set of egos…

Methodology · Statistics 2026-02-06 Bar Weinstein , Daniel Nevo

Causal effects are often characterized with averages, which can give an incomplete picture of the underlying counterfactual distributions. Here we consider estimating the entire counterfactual density and generic functionals thereof. We…

Methodology · Statistics 2021-02-25 Edward H. Kennedy , Sivaraman Balakrishnan , Larry Wasserman

Recent work has focused attention on statistical inference for the population distribution of the number of sexual partners based on survey data. The characteristics of these distributions are of interest as components of mathematical…

Disordered Systems and Neural Networks · Physics 2007-05-23 Mark S. Handcock , James Holland Jones , Martina Morris

We present BayesPIM, a Bayesian prevalence-incidence mixture model for estimating time- and covariate-dependent disease incidence from screening and surveillance data. The method is particularly suited to settings where some individuals may…

Methodology · Statistics 2026-01-12 Thomas Klausch , Birgit I. Lissenberg-Witte , Veerle M. Coupé

When simulating biological populations under different evolutionary genetic models, backward or forward strategies can be followed. Backward simulations, also called coalescent-based simulations, are computationally very efficient. However,…

Populations and Evolution · Quantitative Biology 2008-01-03 Antonio Carvajal-Rodriguez
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