Related papers: Limit theorems for first passage times of multivar…

We consider first passage times $\tau_u = \inf\{n:\; Y_n>u\}$ for the perpetuity sequence $$ Y_n = B_1 + A_1 B_2 + \cdots + (A_1\ldots A_{n-1})B_n, $$ where $(A_n,B_n)$ are i.i.d. random variables with values in ${\mathbb R} ^+\times…

Let $S_n$ be partial sums of an i.i.d. sequence $\{X_i\}$. We assume that $\mathbb{E} X_1 <0$ and $\mathbb{P}[X_1>0]>0$. In this paper we study the first passage time $$ \tau_u = \inf\{n:\; S_n > u\}. $$ The classical Cram\'er's estimate of…

Let $(\xi_1, \eta_1)$, $(\xi_2, \eta_2),\ldots$ be independent copies of an $\mathbb{R}^2$-valued random vector $(\xi, \eta)$ with arbitrarily dependent components. Put $T_n:= \xi_1+\ldots+\xi_{n-1} + \eta_n $ for $n\in\mathbb{N}$ and…

In a variety of problems in pure and applied probability, it is of relevant to study the large exceedance probabilities of the perpetuity sequence $Y_n := B_1 + A_1 B_2 + \cdots + (A_1 \cdots A_{n-1}) B_n$, where $(A_i,B_i) \subset…

We determine the large exceedance probabilities and large exceedance paths for the matrix recursive sequence $V_n = M_n V_{n-1} + Q_n, \: n=1,2,\ldots,$ where $\{M_n\}$ is an i.i.d. sequence of $d \times d$ random matrices and $\{ Q_n\}$ is…

Consider the product $G_{n}=g_{n} ... g_{1}$ of the random matrices $g_{1},...,g_{n}$ in $GL(d,\mathbb{R}) $ and the random process $ G_{n}v=g_{n}... g_{1}v$ in $\mathbb{R}^{d}$ starting at point $v\in \mathbb{R}^{d}\smallsetminus \{0\} .$…

Consider a random walk $S_n=\sum_{i=1}^n X_i$ with independent and identically distributed real-valued increments $X_i$ of zero mean and finite variance. Assume that $X_i$ is non-lattice and has a moment of order $2+\delta$. For any $x\geq…

We study the site version of (independent) first-passage percolation on the triangular lattice $\mathbb{T}$. Denote the passage time of the site $v$ in $\mathbb{T}$ by $t(v)$, and assume that $P(t(v)=0)=P(t(v)=1)=1/2$. Denote by $a_{0,n}$…

We derive general bounds on the probability that the empirical first-passage time $\overline{\tau}_n\equiv \sum_{i=1}^n\tau_i/n$ of a reversible ergodic Markov process inferred from a sample of $n$ independent realizations deviates from the…

We study i.i.d. sums $\tau_k$ of nonnegative variables with index $0$: this means $\mathbf{P}(\tau_1=n) = \varphi(n) n^{-1}$, with $\varphi(\cdot)$ slowly varying, so that $\mathbf{E}(\tau_1^\varepsilon)=\infty$ for all $\varepsilon>0$. We…

A central limit theorem is proved for some strictly stationary sequences of random variables that satisfy certain mixing conditions and are subjected to the "shrinking operators" $U_r(x):=[\max\{|x|-r,0\}]\cdot x/|x|,\ r \ge 0$. For…

Let {S_n, n=0,1,2,...} be a random walk generated by a sequence of i.i.d. random variables X_1, X_2,... and let tau be the first descending ladder epoch. Assuming that the distribution of X_1 belongs to the domain of attraction of an…

Consider a centred random walk in dimension one with a positive finite variance $\sigma^2$, and let $\tau_B$ be the hitting time for a bounded Borel set $B$ with a non-empty interior. We prove the asymptotic $P_x(\tau_B > n) \sim \sqrt{2 /…

In this paper we analyze a L\'evy process reflected at a general (possibly random) barrier. For this process we prove Central Limit Theorem for the first passage time. We also give the finite-time first passage probability asymptotics.

We obtain the law of large numbers (LLN) and the central limit theorem (CLT) for weakly dependent non-stationary arrays of random fields with asymptotically unbounded moments. The weak dependence condition for arrays of random fields is…

We study the exact asymptotics for the distribution of the first time $\tau_x$ a L\'evy process $X_t$ crosses a negative level $-x$. We prove that $\mathbf P(\tau_x>t)\sim V(x)\mathbf P(X_t\ge 0)/t$ as $t\to\infty$ for a certain function…

Let $X$ be the constrained random walk on ${\mathbb Z}_+^2$ taking the steps $(1,0)$, $(-1,1)$ and $(0,-1)$ with probabilities $\lambda < (\mu_1\neq \mu_2)$; in particular, $X$ is assumed stable. Let $\tau_n$ be the first time $X$ hits…

Let $(g_n)_{n\geq 1}$ be a sequence of independent and identically distributed random elements with law $\mu$ on the general linear group $\textrm{GL}(V)$, where $V=\mathbb R^d$. Consider the random walk $G_n : = g_n \ldots g_1$, $n \geq…

We consider first-passage percolation on the edges of $\mathbb{Z}^2 \times \{1, \cdots, k\},$ namely the slab $\mathbb{S}_k$ of width $k$. Each edge is assigned independently a passage time of either 0 (with probability $p_c(\mathbb{S}_k)$)…

The study of discrete-time stochastic processes on the half-line with mean drift at $x$ given by $\mu_1 (x) \to 0$ as $x \to \infty$ is known as Lamperti's problem. We give sharp almost-sure bounds for processes of this type in the case…