English

Local limit theorems and renewal theory with no moments

Probability 2016-11-08 v3

Abstract

We study i.i.d. sums τk\tau_k of nonnegative variables with index 00: this means P(τ1=n)=φ(n)n1\mathbf{P}(\tau_1=n) = \varphi(n) n^{-1}, with φ()\varphi(\cdot) slowly varying, so that E(τ1ε)=\mathbf{E}(\tau_1^\varepsilon)=\infty for all ε>0\varepsilon>0. We prove a local limit and local (upward) large deviation theorem, giving the asymptotics of P(τk=n)\mathbf{P}(\tau_k=n) when nn is at least the typical length of τk\tau_k. A recent renewal theorem by Nagaev [21] is an immediate consequence: P(nτ)P(τ1=n)/P(τ1>n)2\mathbf{P}(n\in\tau) \sim \mathbf{P}(\tau_1=n)/\mathbf{P}(\tau_1 > n)^2 as nn\to\infty. If instead we only assume regular variation of P(nτ)\mathbf{P}(n\in\tau) and slow variation of Un:=k=0nP(kτ)U_n:= \sum_{k=0}^n \mathbf{P}(k\in\tau), we obtain a similar equivalence but with P(τ1=n)\mathbf{P}(\tau_1=n) replaced by its average over a short interval. We give an application to the local asymptotics of the distribution of the first intersection of two independent renewals. We further derive downward moderate and large deviations estimates, that is, the asymptotics of P(τkn)\mathbf{P}(\tau_k \leq n) when nn is much smaller than the typical length of τk\tau_k.

Keywords

Cite

@article{arxiv.1603.05536,
  title  = {Local limit theorems and renewal theory with no moments},
  author = {Kenneth S. Alexander and Quentin Berger},
  journal= {arXiv preprint arXiv:1603.05536},
  year   = {2016}
}

Comments

19 pages. We are grateful to V. Wachtel for bringing the result of Nagaev to our attention, and to an anonymous referee for pointing out a shorter proof of Theorem 1.3. Several changes were made accordingly