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A Proof of Basic Limit Theorem of Renewal Theory

Probability 2024-03-29 v2

Abstract

Let {qn}n=0[0,1]\{q_n\}_{n=0}^\infty\subset [0,1] satisfy q0=0q_0=0, n=0qn=1\sum_{n=0}^\infty q_n=1, and gcd{n1qn0}=1\gcd\{n\geq 1\mid q_n\neq 0\}=1. We consider the following process: Let xx be a real number. We first set x=0x=0. Then xx is increased by ii with probability qi (i=0,1,2,)q_i~(i=0,1,2,\cdots) every time. For n0n\geq 0, let pnp_n be the probability such that x=nx=n occurs, so we have p0=1p_0=1 and pn=q1pn1+q2pn2++qnp0 (n1)p_n=q_1p_{n-1}+q_2p_{n-2}+\cdots+q_np_0~(n\geq 1). In this setting, we have limnpn=1/i=0iqi\lim_n p_n=1/\sum_{i=0}^\infty iq_i, where we define 1/i=0iqi=01/\sum_{i=0}^\infty iq_i=0 if i=0iqi=+\sum_{i=0}^\infty iq_i=+\infty. This result is known as (discrete case of) Blackwell's renewal theorem. The proof of limnpn=1/i=0iqi\lim_n p_n=1/\sum_{i=0}^\infty iq_i is not trivial, while the meaning of limnpn=1/i=0iqi\lim_n p_n=1/\sum_{i=0}^\infty iq_i is clear since the expected value of increasing number ii is i=0iqi\sum_{i=0}^\infty iq_i. Many proofs of this result have been given. In this paper, we will also provide a proof of this result. The idea of our proof is based on Fourier-analytic methods and Tauberian theorems for almost convergent sequences, while we actually need only elementary analysis.

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Cite

@article{arxiv.2402.17953,
  title  = {A Proof of Basic Limit Theorem of Renewal Theory},
  author = {Toshihiro Koga},
  journal= {arXiv preprint arXiv:2402.17953},
  year   = {2024}
}

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