English

Conditioned local limit theorems for random walks on the real line

Probability 2021-10-12 v1

Abstract

Consider a random walk Sn=i=1nXiS_n=\sum_{i=1}^n X_i with independent and identically distributed real-valued increments XiX_i of zero mean and finite variance. Assume that XiX_i is non-lattice and has a moment of order 2+δ2+\delta. For any x0x\geq 0, let τx=inf{k1:x+Sk<0}\tau_x = \inf \left\{ k\geq 1: x+S_{k} < 0 \right\} be the first time when the random walk x+Snx+S_n leaves the half-line [0,)[0,\infty). We study the asymptotic behavior of the probability \bbP(τx>n)\bb P (\tau_x >n) and that of the expectation E(f(x+Sn),τx>n)\mathbb{E} \left( f(x + S_n ), \tau_x > n \right) for a large class of target function ff and various values of xx, yy possibly depending on nn. This general setting implies limit theorems for the joint distribution P(x+Sny+[0,Δ],τx>n)\mathbb{P} \left( x + S_n \in y+ [0, \Delta], \tau_x > n \right) where Δ>0\Delta>0 may also depend on nn. In particular, the case of moderate deviations y=σqnlogny=\sigma \sqrt{q n\log n} is considered. We also deduce some new asymptotics for random walks with drift and give explicit constants in the asymptotic of the probability \bbP(τx=n)\bb P (\tau_x =n). For the proofs we establish new conditioned integral limit theorems with precise error terms.

Keywords

Cite

@article{arxiv.2110.05123,
  title  = {Conditioned local limit theorems for random walks on the real line},
  author = {Ion Grama and Hui Xiao},
  journal= {arXiv preprint arXiv:2110.05123},
  year   = {2021}
}

Comments

81 pages

R2 v1 2026-06-24T06:47:12.415Z