English

Pointwise estimates for first passage times of perpetuity sequences

Probability 2017-04-13 v2

Abstract

We consider first passage times τu=inf{n:  Yn>u}\tau_u = \inf\{n:\; Y_n>u\} for the perpetuity sequence Yn=B1+A1B2++(A1An1)Bn, Y_n = B_1 + A_1 B_2 + \cdots + (A_1\ldots A_{n-1})B_n, where (An,Bn)(A_n,B_n) are i.i.d. random variables with values in R+×R{\mathbb R} ^+\times {\mathbb R}. Recently, a number of limit theorems related to τu\tau_u were proved including the law of large numbers, the central limit theorem and large deviations theorems. We obtain a precise asymptotics of the sequence P[τu=logu/ρ]{\mathbb P}[\tau_u = \log u/\rho ], ρ>0\rho >0, uu\to \infty which considerably improves the previous results. There, probabilities P[τuIu]{\mathbb P}[\tau_u \in I_u] were identified, for some large intervals IuI_u around kuk_u, with lengths growing at least as loglogu\log\log u. Remarkable analogies and differences to random walks are discussed.

Keywords

Cite

@article{arxiv.1512.03449,
  title  = {Pointwise estimates for first passage times of perpetuity sequences},
  author = {Dariusz Buraczewski and Ewa Damek and Jacek Zienkiewicz},
  journal= {arXiv preprint arXiv:1512.03449},
  year   = {2017}
}