English

Precise large deviations of the first passage time

Probability 2016-08-09 v1

Abstract

Let SnS_n be partial sums of an i.i.d. sequence {Xi}\{X_i\}. We assume that EX1<0\mathbb{E} X_1 <0 and P[X1>0]>0\mathbb{P}[X_1>0]>0. In this paper we study the first passage time τu=inf{n:  Sn>u}. \tau_u = \inf\{n:\; S_n > u\}. The classical Cram\'er's estimate of the ruin probability says that P[τu<]Ceα0uas u, \mathbb{P}[\tau_u<\infty] \sim C e^{-\alpha_0 u}\quad \text{as } u\to \infty, for some parameter α0\alpha_0. The aim of the paper is to describe precise large deviations of the first crossing by SnS_n a linear boundary, more precisely for a fixed parameter ρ\rho we study asymptotic behavior of P[τu=u/ρ]\mathbb{P}\left[\tau_u = \lfloor u/\rho\rfloor \right] as uu tends to infinity.

Keywords

Cite

@article{arxiv.1608.02175,
  title  = {Precise large deviations of the first passage time},
  author = {Dariusz Buraczewski and Mariusz Maślanka},
  journal= {arXiv preprint arXiv:1608.02175},
  year   = {2016}
}

Comments

10 pages

R2 v1 2026-06-22T15:14:08.093Z