English

The time of ultimate recovery in Gaussian risk model

Probability 2018-01-09 v1

Abstract

We analyze the distance RT(u)\mathcal{R}_T(u) between the first and the last passage time of {X(t)ct:t[0,T]}\{X(t)-ct:t\in [0,T]\} at level uu in time horizon T(0,]T\in(0,\infty], where XX is a centered Gaussian process with stationary increments and cRc\in\mathbb{R}, given that the first passage time occurred before TT. Under some tractable assumptions on XX, we find Δ(u)\Delta(u) and G(x)G(x) such that limuP(RT(u)>Δ(u)x)=G(x),\lim_{u\to\infty}\mathbb{P}\left(\mathcal{R}_T(u)>\Delta(u)x\right)=G(x), for x0x\geq 0. We distinguish two scenarios: T<T<\infty and T=T=\infty, that lead to qualitatively different asymptotics. The obtained results provide exact asymptotics of the ultimate recovery time after the ruin in Gaussian risk model.

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Cite

@article{arxiv.1801.02469,
  title  = {The time of ultimate recovery in Gaussian risk model},
  author = {Krzysztof Debicki and Peng Liu},
  journal= {arXiv preprint arXiv:1801.02469},
  year   = {2018}
}

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21 pages