Related papers: Contradictory predictions with multiple agents

We consider a one-dimensional discrete symmetric random walk with a reflecting boundary at the origin. Generating functions are found for the 2- dimensional probability distribution P{Sn = x,max1?j?n Sn = a} of being at position x after n…

The classical theorem of Wendel provides an exact formula for the probability that the convex hull of independent symmetrically distributed vectors in ${\mathbb R}^d$ contains the origin as long as the distributions of the vectors are…

Let $X_1, X_2,\ldots, X_n$ (resp. $Y_1, Y_2,\ldots, Y_n$) be independent random variables such that $X_i$ (resp. $Y_i$) follows generalized exponential distribution with shape parameter $\theta_i$ and scale parameter $\lambda_i$ (resp.…

This paper considers the maximum likelihood estimation of panel data models with interactive effects. Motivated by applications in economics and other social sciences, a notable feature of the model is that the explanatory variables are…

Fix a positive integer $N$. Select an additive composition $\xi$ of $N$ uniformly out of $2^{N-1}$ possibilities. The interplay between the number of parts in $\xi$ and the maximum part in $\xi$ is our focus. It is not surprising that…

Suppose X is a frequency vector that follows a central multiple hyper-geometric distribution, such as arises in random sampling of an m-category attribute from a finite population without replacement. We show that the probability that X…

We establish a lower bound on the entropy of weighted sums of (possibly dependent) random variables $(X_1, X_2, \dots, X_n)$ possessing a symmetric joint distribution. Our lower bound is in terms of the joint entropy of $(X_1, X_2, \dots,…

We prove the Courtade-Kumar conjecture, which states that the mutual information between any Boolean function of an $n$-dimensional vector of independent and identically distributed inputs to a memoryless binary symmetric channel and the…

Randomized approximation algorithms for many #P-complete problems (such as the partition function of a Gibbs distribution, the volume of a convex body, the permanent of a $\{0,1\}$-matrix, and many others) reduce to creating random…

Every element $\theta=(\theta_1,\ldots,\theta_n)$ of the probability $n$-simplex induces a probability distribution $P_\theta$ of a random variable $X$ that can assume only a finite number of real values $x_1 < \cdots < x_n$ by defining…

We establish the existence of an irreducible representation of $A_n$ whose dimension does not occur as the dimension of an irreducible representation of $S_n$, and vice versa. This proves a conjecture by Tong-Viet. The main ingredient in…

We present a new variant of the secretary problem. Let $A$ be a totally ordered set of $n$ \emph{applicants}. Given $P\subseteq A$ and $x\in A$, let $rr(P,x)=\vert\{z\in P \mid z\leq x\}\vert\mbox{ }$ be the \emph{relative rank of} $x$…

Let $M$ be a semifinite von Neumann algebra and $T$ a positive contraction on both $L^1(M)$ and $L^\infty(M)$. We consider ergodic averages along a random sparse subsequence determined by independent Bernoulli variables $(X_n)_{n\geq 1}$…

Let $\mathbf{X}_p=(\mathbf{s}_1,...,\mathbf{s}_n)=(X_{ij})_{p \times n}$ where $X_{ij}$'s are independent and identically distributed (i.i.d.) random variables with $EX_{11}=0,EX_{11}^2=1$ and $EX_{11}^4<\infty$. It is showed that the…

Let $X_1,X_2,\ldots,X_n$ be independent random variables and $S_k=\sum_{i=1}^k X_i$. We show that for any constants $a_k$, \[ \Pr(\max_{1\leq k\leq n}||S_{k}|-a_{k}|>11t)\leq 30 \max_{1\leq k\leq n}\Pr(||S_{k}|-a_{k}|>t). \] We also discuss…

Let $X$ be a random variable distributed according to the binomial distribution with parameters $n$ and $p$. It is shown that $P(X>EX)\ge1/4$ if $1>p\ge c/n$, where $c:=\ln(4/3)$, the best possible constant factor.

Let $f_n$ be a random polynomial of degree $n$, whose coefficients are independent and identically distributed random variables with mean-zero and variance one. Let $\Delta(f_n)$ denote the discriminant of $f_n$, that is $\Delta(f_n) =…

We consider the fair division of indivisible items among $n$ agents with additive non-negative normalized valuations, with the goal of obtaining high value guarantees, that is, close to the proportional share for each agent. We prove that…

For a word $\pi$ and integer $i$, we define $L^i(\pi)$ to be the length of the longest subsequence of the form $i(i+1)\cdots j$, and we let $L(\pi):=\max_i L^i(\pi)$. In this paper we estimate the expected values of $L^1(\pi)$ and $L(\pi)$…

In classical statistics and distribution testing, it is often assumed that elements can be sampled from some distribution $P$, and that when an element $x$ is sampled, the probability $P$ of sampling $x$ is also known. Recent work in…