Related papers: Contradictory predictions with multiple agents

The long-standing Gaussian product inequality (GPI) conjecture states that $E [\prod_{j=1}^{n}|X_j|^{\alpha_j}]\geq\prod_{j=1}^{n}E[|X_j|^{\alpha_j}]$ for any centered Gaussian random vector $(X_1,\dots,X_n)$ and any non-negative real…

We revisit classic balancing problems for linear extensions of a partially ordered set $P$, proving results that go far beyond many of the best earlier results on this topic. For example, with $p(x\prec y)$ the probability that $x$ precedes…

We obtain results concerning the so-called factorization for the convergence of random variables almost everywhere (almost surely or with probability one), belonging to the classical Lebesgue-Riesz spaces and we extend these results to the…

We consider a class of sparse random matrices of the form $A_n =(\xi_{i,j}\delta_{i,j})_{i,j=1}^n$, where $\{\xi_{i,j}\}$ are i.i.d.~centered random variables, and $\{\delta_{i,j}\}$ are i.i.d.~Bernoulli random variables taking value $1$…

Let \[Y_j=f_*(X_j)+\xi_j,\qquad j=1,...,n,\] where $X,X_1,...,X_n$ are i.i.d. random variables in a measurable space $(S,\mathcal{A})$ with distribution $\Pi$ and $\xi,\xi_1,... ,\xi_n$ are i.i.d. random variables with ${\mathbb{E}}\xi=0$…

For a sequence $\{X_{n}, \, n \geqslant 1 \}$ of random variables satisfying $\mathbb{E} \lvert X_{n} \rvert < \infty$ for all $n \geqslant 1$, a maximal inequality is established, and used to obtain strong law of large numbers for…

Extending results of Linial (1984) and Aigner (1985), we prove a uniform lower bound on the balance constant of a poset $P$ of width $2$. This constant is defined as $\delta(P) = \max_{(x, y)\in P^2}\min\{\mathbb{P}(x\prec y),…

In $1977$, G. Bennett proved, by means of non-deterministic methods, an inequality which plays a fundamental role in a series of optimization problems. More precisely, Bennett's inequality shows that, for $p_{1},p_{2} \in\lbrack1,\infty]$…

For every list of integers x_1, ..., x_m there is some j such that x_1 + ... + x_j - x_{j+1} - ... - x_m \approx 0. So the list can be nearly balanced and for this we only need one alternation between addition and subtraction. But what if…

We show that for any $1\leq p\leq\infty$, the family of random vectors uniformly distributed on hyperplane projections of the unit ball of $\ell_p^n$ verify the variance conjecture $$ \textrm{Var}\,|X|^2\leq C\max_{\xi\in…

Let $\xi_i$, $i=1,...,n$, and $\eta_j$, $j=1,...,m$ be iid p-stable respectively q-stable random variables, $1<p<q<2$. We prove estimates for $\Ex_{\Omega_1} \Ex_{\Omega_2}\max_{i,j}\abs{a_{ij}\xi_i(\omega_1)\eta_j(\omega_2)}$ in terms of…

For $0<q\le 2,\ 1\le k < n,$ let $X=(X_1,...,X_n)$ and $Y=(Y_1,...,Y_n)$ be symmetric $q$-stable random vectors so that the joint distributions of $X_1,...,X_k$ and $X_{k+1},...,X_n$ are equal to the joint distributions of $Y_1,...,Y_k$ and…

We analyze the asymptotic behavior of random variables $x(n,x\_0)$ defined by $x(0,x\_0)=x\_0$ and $x(n+1,x\_0)=A(n)x(n,x\_0)$, where $\sAn$ is a stationary and ergodic sequence of random matrices with entries in the semi-ring…

In a celebrated work by Hoeffding [J. Amer. Statist. Assoc. 58 (1963) 13-30], several inequalities for tail probabilities of sums M_n=X_1+... +X_n of bounded independent random variables X_j were proved. These inequalities had a…

We give an elementary proof of the fact that a binomial random variable $X$ with parameters $n$ and $0.29/n \le p < 1$ with probability at least $1/4$ strictly exceeds its expectation. We also show that for $1/n \le p < 1 - 1/n$, $X$…

The matrix $A:\mathbb{R}^n \to \mathbb{R}^m$ is $(\delta,k)$-regular if for any $k$-sparse vector $x$, $$ \left| \|Ax\|_2^2-\|x\|_2^2\right| \leq \delta \sqrt{k} \|x\|_2^2. $$ We show that if $A$ is $(\delta,k)$-regular for $1 \leq k \leq…

Two new information-theoretic methods are introduced for establishing Poisson approximation inequalities. First, using only elementary information-theoretic techniques it is shown that, when $S_n=\sum_{i=1}^nX_i$ is the sum of the (possibly…

For a sequence of binary bets, the Kelly criterion provides a closed-form solution that maximizes the expected growth rate of wealth. In contrast, when multiple bets are placed simultaneously (e.g., in portfolio allocation or prediction…

Suppose $\left \{ X_{i,k}; 1\le i \le p, 1\le k \le n \right \} $ is an array of i.i.d.~real random variables. Let $\left \{ p=p_{n}; n \ge1 \right \} $ be positive integers. Consider the maximum interpoint distance $M_{n}=\max_{1\le i<…

For independent random variables $(X_i)_{1\leq i\leq n}$, we consider the maximal correlation coefficient $R=R(\min_{i:1\leq i\leq m}X_i,\min_{j:\ell+1\leq j\leq n}X_j)$. If $X_1,X_2,\ldots,X_n$ are identically distributed with the same…