Related papers: Contradictory predictions with multiple agents

We show that if $(X, \mu, T)$ is a probability measure-preserving dynamical system, and $\mathscr{P}$ is a countable partition of $(X, \mu)$, then the limit $$ \lim_{n, k \to \infty} \mathbb{E} \left[ \frac{1}{k} \sum_{j = 0}^{k - 1} f…

We prove the sharp bound for the probability that two experts who have access to different information, represented by different $\sigma$-fields, will give radically different estimates of the probability of an event. This is relevant when…

Bukh and Zhou conjectured that the expectation of the length of the longest common subsequence of two i.i.d random permutations of size $n$ is greater than $\sqrt{n}$. We prove in this paper that there exists a universal constant $n_1$ such…

This paper establishes complete convergence for weighted sums and the Marcinkiewicz--Zygmund-type strong law of large numbers for sequences of negatively associated and identically distributed random variables $\{X,X_n,n\ge1\}$ with general…

In this paper we analyze the status of some `unbelievable results' presented in the paper `On Some Contradictory Computations in Multi-Dimensional Mathematics' [1] published in Nonlinear Analysis, a journal indexed in the Science Citation…

Let ${\bf P}_k^{(\alpha, \beta)} (x)$ be an orthonormal Jacobi polynomial of degree $k.$ We will establish the following inequality \begin{equation*} \max_{x \in [\delta_{-1},\delta_1]}\sqrt{(x- \delta_{-1})(\delta_1-x)}…

In this paper we prove a Large Deviation Principle for the sequence of symmetrised empirical measures $\frac{1}{n} \sum_{i=1}^{n} \delta_{(X^n_i,X^n_{\sigma_n(i)})}$ where $\sigma_n$ is a random permutation and $((X_i^n)_{1 \leq i \leq…

We consider how an agent should update her uncertainty when it is represented by a set $\P$ of probability distributions and the agent observes that a random variable $X$ takes on value $x$, given that the agent makes decisions using the…

A very simple example of an algorithmic problem solvable by dynamic programming is to maximize, over sets A in {1,2,...,n}, the objective function |A| - \sum_i \xi_i 1(i \in A,i+1 \in A) for given \xi_i > 0. This problem, with random…

We introduce a new decomposition technique for random variables that maps a generic instance of the prophet inequalities problem to a new instance where all but a constant number of variables have a tractable structure that we refer to as…

We prove the following conjecture, due to Tomaszewski (1986): Let $X= \sum_{i=1}^{n} a_{i} x_{i}$, where $\sum_i a_i^2=1$ and each $x_i$ is a uniformly random sign. Then $\Pr[|X|\leq 1] \geq 1/2$. Our main novel tools are local…

We consider correlated random variables $X_1,\dots,X_n$ taking values in $\{0,1\}$ such that, for any permutation $\pi$ of $\{1,\dots,n\}$, the random vectors $(X_1,\dots,X_n)$ and $(X_{\pi(1)},\dots,X_{\pi(n)})$ have the same distribution.…

Let $a_n$ be the random increasing sequence of natural numbers which takes each value independently with decreasing probability of order $n^{-\alpha}$, $0 < \alpha < 1/2$. We prove that, almost surely, for every measure-preserving system…

Neglecting many motivating details for the Park-Pham theorem (previously known as the Kahn-Kalai conjecture), the result starts with a finite set $X$, a non-trivial upper set $\mathcal{F} \subseteq 2^X$, and a particular parameterized…

Corresponding to $n$ independent non-negative random variables $X_1,...,X_n$, are values $M_1,...,M_n$, where each $M_i$ is the expected value of the maximum of $n$ independent copies of $X_i$. We obtain an upper bound to the expected value…

Let $X_0$ be a non-constant random variable with finite variance. Given an integer $k\ge2$, define a sequence $\{X_n\}_{n=1}^\infty$ of approximately linear recursions with small perturbations $\{\Delta_n\}_{n=0}^\infty$ by $$X_{n+1} =…

Andresen and Spokoiny's (2013) ``critical dimension in semiparametric estimation`` provide a technique for the finite sample analysis of profile M-estimators. This paper uses very similar ideas to derive two convergence results for the…

This paper proves a conjecture proposed by Ren and Li (2015: 393, \emph{Journal of Inequalities and Applications}). Our result eliminates the constraints on the parity and size of $m$, as well as the restriction $x > 1$, required in Ren and…

In "Recognizing the Maximum of a Sequence", Gilbert and Mosteller analyze a full information game where n measurements from an uniform distribution are drawn and a player (knowing n) must decide at each draw whether or not to choose that…

Probabilistic proofs of the Johnson-Lindenstrauss lemma imply that random projection can reduce the dimension of a data set and approximately preserve pairwise distances. If a distance being approximately preserved is called a success, and…