Related papers: Contradictory predictions with multiple agents
Our first result is a noncommutative form of Jessen/Marcinkiewicz/Zygmund theorem for the maximal limit of multiparametric martingales or ergodic means. It implies bilateral almost uniform convergence with initial data in the expected…
For simultaneous independent events with finitely many outcomes, consider the expected-utility problem with nonnegative wagers and an endogenous cash position. We prove a short support theorem for a broad class of strictly increasing…
The classical Alexandrov-Bakelman-Pucci estimate for the Laplacian states $$ \max_{x \in \Omega}{ |u(x)|} \leq \max_{x \in \partial \Omega}{|u(x)|} + c_{s,n} \mbox{diam}(\Omega)^{2-\frac{n}{s}} \left\| \Delta u\right\|_{L^s(\Omega)}$$ where…
Upon observing $n$-dimensional multivariate Gaussian data, when can we infer that the largest $K$ observations came from the largest $K$ means? When $K=1$ and the covariance is isotropic, \cite{Gutmann} argue that this inference is…
We investigate how basic probability inequalities can be extended to an imprecise framework, where (precise) probabilities and expectations are replaced by imprecise probabilities and lower/upper previsions. We focus on inequalities giving…
We consider how an agent should update her beliefs when her beliefs are represented by a set P of probability distributions, given that the agent makes decisions using the minimax criterion, perhaps the best-studied and most commonly-used…
Let $S$ be a Polish space and $(X_n:n\geq1)$ an exchangeable sequence of $S$-valued random variables. Let $\alpha_n(\cdot)=P(X_{n+1}\in \cdot\mid X_1,\...,X_n)$ be the predictive measure and $\alpha$ a random probability measure on $S$ such…
Let $A \in \Omega_n$ be doubly-stochastic $n \times n$ matrix. Alexander Schrijver proved in 1998 the following remarkable inequality per(\widetilde{A}) \geq \prod_{1 \leq i,j \leq n} (1- A(i,j)); \widetilde{A}(i,j) =: A(i,j)(1-A(i,j)), 1…
It is well known and readily seen that the maximum of $n$ independent and uniformly on $[0,1]$ distributed random variables, suitably standardised, converges in total variation distance, as $n$ increases, to the standard negative…
Let $X_{nr}$ be the $r$th largest of a random sample of size $n$ from a distribution $F (x) = 1 - \sum_{i = 0}^\infty c_i x^{-\alpha - i \beta}$ for $\alpha > 0$ and $\beta > 0$. An inversion theorem is proved and used to derive an…
We derive an $\mathcal{L}_{q}$-maximal inequality for zero mean dependent random variables $\{x_{t}\}_{t=1}^{n}$ on $\mathbb{R}^{p}$, where $p$ $>>$ $% n $ is allowed. The upper bound is a familiar multiple of $\ln (p)$ and an $% l_{\infty…
Let $V \subset \mathbb{R}$ be a finite set with $|V| = n $ and suppose we are given each pairwise distance independently with probability $p$. We show that if $p = (1+\epsilon)/n$, for some fixed $\epsilon >0$, then we can reconstruct a…
In a recent paper, Bary-Soroker, Koukoulopoulos and Kozma proved that when $A$ is a random monic polynomial of $\mathbb{Z}[X]$ of deterministic degree $n$ with coefficients $a_j$ drawn independently according to measures $\mu_j,$ then $A$…
This paper considers a variation of the full-information secretary problem where the random variables to be observed are independent but not necessary identically distributed. The main result is a sharp lower bound for the optimal win…
We consider the following non-interactive simulation problem: Alice and Bob observe sequences $X^n$ and $Y^n$ respectively where $\{(X_i, Y_i)\}_{i=1}^n$ are drawn i.i.d. from $P(x,y),$ and they output $U$ and $V$ respectively which is…
The Cox proportional hazards model is ubiquitous in the analysis of time-to-event data. However, when the data dimension p is comparable to the sample size $N$, maximum likelihood estimates for its regression parameters are known to be…
A sequence of real numbers $\{x_{n}\}_{n\in \mathbb{N}}$ is said to be $\alpha \beta$-statistically convergent of order $\gamma$ (where $0<\gamma\leq 1$) to a real number $x$ \cite{a} if for every $\delta>0,$ $$\underset{n\rightarrow…
For an $n$-dimensional real-valued centered Gaussian random vector $(X_1,\ldots,X_n)$ with any covariance matrix, the following moment product conjecture is proved in this paper \[ \mathbb{E}\prod_{j=1}^nX_j^{2m_j}\geq…
Let $G_1,\dots,G_m$ be independent copies of the standard gaussian random vector in $\mathbb{R}^d$. We show that there is an absolute constant $c$ such that for any $A \subset S^{d-1}$, with probability at least $1-2\exp(-c\Delta m)$, for…
Let $X_1,\ldots,X_n$ be an i.i.d. sample from symmetric stable distribution with stability parameter $\alpha$ and scale parameter $\gamma$. Let $\varphi_n$ be the empirical characteristic function. We prove an uniform large deviation…