English
Related papers

Related papers: Parameter Distributions for the Drag-Based Modelin…

200 papers

We describe a new modeling approach to develop a more quantitative understanding of the charge state distributions of the ions of various elements detected in situ during halo Coronal Mass Ejection (CME) events by the Advanced Composition…

Astrophysics · Physics 2019-08-19 Cara E. Rakowski , J. Martin Laming , Susan T. Lepri

Coronal mass ejections (CMEs) are large-scale ejections of plasma and magnetic field from the solar corona, which propagate through interplanetary space at velocities of $\sim$100--2500~km~s$^{-1}$. Although plane-of-sky coronagraph…

Solar and Stellar Astrophysics · Physics 2011-06-09 Shane A. Maloney , Peter T. Gallagher

Weather regimes are recurrent and persistent large-scale atmospheric circulation patterns that modulate the occurrence of local impact variables such as extreme precipitation. In their capacity as mediators between long-range…

Ensemble forecast post-processing is a necessary step in producing accurate probabilistic forecasts. Conventional post-processing methods operate by estimating the parameters of a parametric distribution, frequently on a per-location or…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2023-05-01 Peter Mlakar , Janko Merše , Jana Faganeli Pucer

The magnetic fields of interplanetary coronal mass ejections (ICMEs), which originate close to the Sun in the form of a flux rope, determine their geoeffectiveness. Therefore, robust flux rope-based models of CMEs are required to perform…

Space Physics · Physics 2020-06-24 Talwinder Singh , Tae K. Kim , Nikolai V. Pogorelov , Charles N. Arge

Predicting the impacts of coronal mass ejections (CMEs) is a major focus of current space weather forecasting efforts. Typically, CME properties are reconstructed from stereoscopic coronal images and then used to forward model a CME's…

Solar and Stellar Astrophysics · Physics 2024-04-05 C. Kay , E. Palmerio

Solar eruptive events are complex phenomena, which most often include coronal mass ejections (CME), CME-driven compressive and shock waves, flares, and filament eruptions. CMEs are large eruptions of magnetized plasma from the Sun's outer…

Solar and Stellar Astrophysics · Physics 2025-12-19 Oleg Stepanyuk , Kamen Kozarev

Solar energetic particle (SEP) events are associated with coronal mass ejections (CMEs) and/or solar flares. SEPs travel through the corona and interplanetary space to reach Earth, posing a radiation hazard to spacecraft and astronauts…

Solar and Stellar Astrophysics · Physics 2024-11-07 Lei Cheng , Ming Zhang , Ryun Young Kwon , David Lario

We analyze multi-spacecraft observations associated with the 2012 July 12 Coronal Mass Ejection (CME), covering the source region on the Sun from SDO, stereoscopic imaging observations from STEREO, magnetic field characteristics at…

Solar and Stellar Astrophysics · Physics 2016-10-05 Huidong Hu , Ying D. Liu , Rui Wang , Christian Möstl , Zhongwei Yang

Although numerical weather forecasting methods have dominated the field, recent advances in deep learning methods, such as diffusion models, have shown promise in ensemble weather forecasting. However, such models are typically…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2025-09-16 Kevin Valencia , Ziyang Liu , Justin Cui

Height-time plots of the leading edge of coronal mass ejections (CME) have often been used to study CME kinematics. We propose a new method to analyze the CME kinematics in more detail by determining the radial mass transport process…

Solar and Stellar Astrophysics · Physics 2015-03-31 Li Feng , Bernd Inhester , Weiqun Gan

We investigate the performance of six methods for predicting the CME time of arrival (ToA) and velocity at Earth using a sample of nine Earth-impacting CMEs between May 2010 and June 2011. The CMEs were tracked continuously from the Sun to…

Solar and Stellar Astrophysics · Physics 2013-11-01 R. C. Colaninno , A. Vourlidas , C. -C. Wu

Coronal Mass Ejections (CMEs) contributes to the perturbation of solar wind in the heliosphere. Thus, depending on the different phases of the solar cycle and the rate of CME occurrence, contribution of CMEs to solar wind parameters near…

Solar and Stellar Astrophysics · Physics 2019-01-30 Wageesh Mishra , Nandita Srivastava , Zavkiddin Mirtoshev , Yuming Wang

The task of simplifying the complex spatio-temporal variables associated with climate modeling is of utmost importance and comes with significant challenges. In this research, our primary objective is to tailor clustering techniques to…

Applications · Statistics 2023-11-21 Alexis Boulin , Elena Di Bernardino , Thomas Laloë , Gwladys Toulemonde

A physical model is proposed for the prediction of the non-monotonic variation of the drag coefficient, C_d, with wind speed. The model approximates the effective C_d by the area-weighted averaging of the distinct drag coefficients…

Atmospheric and Oceanic Physics · Physics 2014-01-09 E. Golbraikh , Y. M. Shtemler

Electric vehicles (EVs) have the potential to reduce grid stress through smart charging strategies while simultaneously meeting user demand. This requires accurate forecasts of key charging parameters, such as energy demand and connection…

Systems and Control · Electrical Eng. & Systems 2025-08-26 Parnian Alikhani , Nico Brinkel , Wouter Schram , Ioannis Lampropoulos , Wilfried van Sark

During the propagation of interplanetary coronal mass ejections (ICMEs), evolution of the ICME-driven shock along with interactions with other solar wind structures, planetary bodies, and general changes to their morphology can alter…

The LASCO coronagraphs, in continuous operation since 1995, have observed the evolution of the solar corona and coronal mass ejections (CMEs) over a full solar cycle with high quality images and regular cadence. This is the first time that…

Solar and Stellar Astrophysics · Physics 2015-05-19 Angelos Vourlidas , Russ A. Howard , Ed Esfandiari , Spiros Patsourakos , Seiji Yashiro , Gregorz Michalek

We study the coronal mass ejection (CME) with a complex acceleration profile. The event occurred on April 23, 2009. It had an impulsive acceleration phase, an impulsive deceleration phase, and a second impulsive acceleration phase. During…

Solar and Stellar Astrophysics · Physics 2017-12-19 A. A Reva , A. S. Kirichenko , A. S. Ulyanov , S. V. Kuzin

State-of-the-art weather forecasts usually rely on ensemble prediction systems, accounting for the different sources of uncertainty. As ensembles are typically uncalibrated, they should get statistically postprocessed. Several multivariate…

Methodology · Statistics 2016-09-21 Roman Schefzik