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Understanding the evolution of radial sizes and instantaneous expansion speeds of coronal mass ejections (CMEs) is crucial for assessing their impact duration on Earth's environment. We introduce a non-conventional approach to derive the…

Solar and Stellar Astrophysics · Physics 2024-09-30 Anjali Agarwal , Wageesh Mishra

One essential component of operational space weather forecasting is the prediction of solar flares. With a multitude of flare forecasting methods now available online it is still unclear which of these methods performs best, and none are…

Space Physics · Physics 2020-08-04 Jordan A. Guerra , Sophie A. Murray , D. Shaun Bloomfield , Peter T. Gallagher

The Fixed-\Phi (F\Phi) and Harmonic Mean (HM) fitting methods are two methods to determine the average direction and velocity of coronal mass ejections (CMEs) from time-elongation tracks produced by Heliospheric Imagers (HIs), such as the…

Solar and Stellar Astrophysics · Physics 2012-04-18 N. Lugaz , P. Kintner

In this paper, we demonstrate that CME-driven shocks can be detected in white light coronagraph images and in which properties such as the density compression ratio and shock direction can be measured. Also, their propagation direction can…

Astrophysics · Physics 2011-02-11 Veronica Ontiveros , Angelos Vourlidas

A goal of the NASA STEREO mission is to study the feasibility of forecasting the direction, arrival time and internal structure of solar coronal mass ejections (CMEs) from a vantage point outside the Sun-Earth line. Through a case study, we…

The configuration of the interplanetary magnetic field and features of the related ambient solar wind in the ecliptic and meridional plane are different. Therefore, one can expect that the orientation of the flux-rope axis of a coronal mass…

Solar and Stellar Astrophysics · Physics 2023-11-15 Karmen Martinic , Mateja Dumbovic , Manula Temmer , Astrid Veronig , Bojan Vršnak

In this study, we present a new method for forecasting arrival times and speeds of coronal mass ejections (CMEs) at any location in the inner heliosphere. This new approach enables the adoption of a highly flexible geometrical shape for the…

Solar coronal mass ejections (CMEs) are large-scale eruptions of plasma and magnetic field from the Sun into the corona and interplanetary space. They are the most significant drivers of adverse space weather at Earth and other locations in…

Solar and Stellar Astrophysics · Physics 2012-02-20 Jason P. Byrne

The diffuse morphology and transient nature of coronal mass ejections (CMEs) make them difficult to identify and track using traditional image processing techniques. We apply multiscale methods to enhance the visibility of the faint CME…

Solar and Stellar Astrophysics · Physics 2009-02-20 Jason P. Byrne , Peter T. Gallagher , R. T. James McAteer , C. Alex Young

Coronal Mass Ejections (CMEs) are the main drivers of the disturbances in interplanetary space. Understanding the CME interior magnetic structure is crucial for advancing space weather studies. Assessing the capabilities of a numerical…

Solar and Stellar Astrophysics · Physics 2024-09-11 Tinatin Baratashvili , Benjamin Grison , Brigitte Schmieder , Pascal Demoulin , Stefaan Poedts

In recent years (2000-2021), human-space activities have been increasing faster than ever. More than 36000 Earth' orbiting objects, all larger than 10 cm, in orbit around the Earth, are currently tracked by the European Space Agency (ESA).…

Space Physics · Physics 2023-07-12 S. Aljbaae , J. Murcia-Pineros , A. F. B. A. Prado , R. V. Moraes , V. Carruba , G. A. Carita

Howard and Simnett (HS) employed a new technique for associating LASCO CMEs to SMEI ICMEs. In order to extrapolate the SMEI data back to the LASCO field of view they used nonlinear trajectories, dependent on a speed and direction, what is…

Space Physics · Physics 2009-01-21 Marta Skirgiello

We model two time and space scales discrete observations by using a unique continuous diffusion process with time dependent coefficient. We define new parameters for the large scale model as functions of the small scale distribution…

Methodology · Statistics 2009-09-09 V. Calian , G. Stefansson , L. P. Folkow , A. S. Blix

To understand the global-scale physical processes behind coronal mass ejection (CME)-driven geomagnetic storms and predict their intensity as a space weather forecasting measure, we develop an interplanetary CME flux rope-magnetosphere…

Solar and Stellar Astrophysics · Physics 2023-07-04 Souvik Roy , Dibyendu Nandy

As a follow-up study on Sun-to-Earth propagation of fast coronal mass ejections (CMEs), we examine the Sun-to-Earth characteristics of slow CMEs combining heliospheric imaging and in situ observations. Three events of particular interest,…

Solar and Stellar Astrophysics · Physics 2016-03-23 Ying D. Liu , Huidong Hu , Chi Wang , Janet G. Luhmann , John D. Richardson , Zhongwei Yang , Rui Wang

In this paper, a first sample-based formulation of the recently considered population observers, or ensemble observers, which estimate the state distribution of dynamic populations from measurements of the output distribution is…

Optimization and Control · Mathematics 2017-12-01 Shen Zeng

In this paper, we analyze 91 coronal mass ejection (CME) events studied by Manoharan et al. (2004) and Gopalswamy and Xie (2008). These earth-directed CMEs are large (width $>$160$^\circ$) and cover a wide range of speeds ($\sim$120--2400…

Solar and Stellar Astrophysics · Physics 2015-05-20 P. K. Manoharan , A. Mujiber Rahman

The NASA STEREO mission opened up the possibility to forecast the arrival times, speeds and directions of solar transients from outside the Sun-Earth line. In particular, we are interested in predicting potentially geo-effective…

Solar and Stellar Astrophysics · Physics 2015-06-04 Christian Möstl , Jackie A. Davies

A method for the full three-dimensional (3-D) reconstruction of the trajectories of coronal mass ejections (CMEs) using Solar TErrestrial RElations Observatory (STEREO) data is presented. Four CMEs that were simultaneously observed by the…

Solar and Stellar Astrophysics · Physics 2009-05-14 Shane A. Maloney , Peter T. Gallagher , R. T. James McAteer

Interplanetary coronal mass ejections (ICMEs) are magnetic structures propagating from the Sun's corona to the interplanetary medium. With over 20 years of observations at the L1 libration point, ACE offers hundreds of ICMEs detected at…

Solar and Stellar Astrophysics · Physics 2020-11-11 F. Regnault , M. Janvier , P. Démoulin , F. Auchère , A. Strugarek , S. Dasso , C. Noûs
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